StatusQuo

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Hashes are used to verify public keys in encryption

0

M-Y

1 year ago

Hash is not an encryption 🤓

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

bet everything on no -- if you're wrong money doesn't matter anyways

2

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Read the rules: " "Yes" if the governments of Ukraine and Russia both officially announce"

1

Himanshu42

1 year ago

what if there is a ceasefire but ukraine doesn't announce through 'official' channels?

Trump ends Gaza war by first 100 days?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Why does a ceasefire at a date when Trump isn't even in office yet count towards yes? Title should be "Ceasefire at some timepoint loosely related to Trump taking office?"

2

Presidential Election: Dems win a solid red state?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

No Texas?

2

Will Kamala win 60% of women?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

It's a woman. There are lots of them if you go outside your house

5

johnnysgoski

1 year ago

wtf is this pic

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

That would be a handsome return if you were right :)

1

Clevegasta

1 year ago

Not sure why it won’t let me add any capitol it keeps saying the system is banned in my area but there’s a 0% chance btc is at 70k by the end of October. I’d bet 10k on it if I could

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Email harvesting scam

2

JustKen-Fan

1 year ago

For trade alerts for the biggest players like JustKen, check out https://polymarketsignals.com/

Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Where is your bet?

3

Spartan37

1 year ago

It is NOT PA. PA is going Trump but the tipping state will either be Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, or North Carolina, and the state that wins will go to Trump by a large margin of around 3-5%.

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

you mean the Elon-flavoured "free" speech?

1

realdeep

1 year ago

freedom of speech has won this election. the globalists have lost. good job austria

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I place bets according to what I think will make money. I vote according to what would be the best outcome.

1

li4m20

1 year ago

Lol, you placed a bet on the Nazis

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Fucking Nazis I hope the other parties don't let them get to power

2

Trump wins every swing state?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

You never heard of stochastic indepedence did you?

0

0x4b7ec229f803B6216A88696a08B69eeC33ada6ae-1727295547219

1 year ago

If you break the state by state Polymarket odds down into indivdual money lines and then run it thru a parlay calculator, the payout should be 71 to 1. But you can bet here at 6 to 1???

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

If it was free money you would buy it at 77 cents

2

Arbiter-of-Truth

1 year ago

Waiting for the right time/price but No is free money

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

If it is in fact a tossup election then 30 cents for ÖVP is a good deal!

1

Austragar

1 year ago

Tossup election that I personally wouldn't spend my money on with the current margins... It's gonna be an under 1% lead of either fpö or övp, if övps chances go to about 20% then yes it's worth it. Otherwise 50/50 and risky bet.

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I disagree. Thus it's a nice betting opportunity :)

2

Lizrael

1 year ago

That's an almost 100%, so not very useful.

Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

We need a market if FPÖ is going to be part of the next government

2

When will GPT-5 be announced?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

"GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5"

0

mka

1 year ago

OpenAIs "o1" was just announced and released, and is not based on GPT-4 ("new set of AI models": https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/)

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Domain Name: votenex.com Creation Date: 2024-09-14T07:00:00Z

0

GouValeau

1 year ago

Оn this bеt, VоtеХ [votenex.com] hаs dоublе thе liquiditу, аnd diffеrеnt оdds. it sееms tо hаvе а strоng аrbitrаgе орроrtunitу in thеsе mаrkеts

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

StatusQuo

1 year ago

It's a scam

0

Elyxir

1 year ago

yes looks like so, thanks for sharing it

Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

who tf is betting on these markets

1

shashwatdreams

1 year ago

who tf is making these markets bro

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Shut up. No 1 rule is to be nice to people who make you money

1

aenews3

1 year ago

Rough Day No Holders?

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I mean the market is over 95 cents since 27th of August...

0

qur1l

1 year ago

Looks like there's going to be a debate. Fuck

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Stop scamming already

0

Krat-OS

1 year ago

The same bet has twice more liquidity and odds are different maybe arb opportunity ? https://predictoneio-medium.com/fed-interest-rates-september-2024

Kamala mentions McDonald’s again before debate?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Wow this is worthless

1

nnimrodd

1 year ago

Some key polymarket tips i wrote down https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Trump just chickened out

0

Tiger26

1 year ago

If you think Kamala will actually get on a stage and debate Trump you are trapped in the Matrix.

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

*market manipulation noises*

1

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

If before the election the probabilities for the winner are 60-40 this market will be approximately 100-0.

2

Iz12

1 year ago

Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Mathematically you did zero math on this

3

Iz12

1 year ago

Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)

Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

The 538 forecast at which timepoint? On election day?

0

U.S. Recession in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

What definition of recession did they use?

0

MichaelFowlie

1 year ago

JP Morgan says there's a 35% probability of recession by end of 2024

Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in…?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

"Yes" if there is no ceasefire [...] that begins between...

0

JeffreyBezos

1 year ago

is this an an opposite market? This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement... so if you buy the Yes market you are betting on No ceasfire, and if you buy the NO you are betting that there WIll be a ceasfire? is this correct or am i understanding it wrong

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

How do you simulate one event?

0

backflip

1 year ago

After running 10,000 simulations of the remaining events on August 9, 10, and 11, 2024, here are the estimated probabilities: China winning the most gold medals: 8.93%, USA winning the most gold medals: 67.0%, a tie in the number of gold medals: 24.07%.

Maduro out in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I don't think Polymarket resolved the election correctly, but this is not contradictory, at the very least since his term is still ongoing

1

Chimp1

1 year ago

I'm confused, I thought the opposition won the election?

UK civil war in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Yeah, I'm not touching this. I learned my lesson with such markets.

1

kurwa18989

1 year ago

These rules are far too precise and could be written more vaguely.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Why are you on a betting site when you can't afford food?

6

Idonisio

1 year ago

Hello everyone, I hope this message finds you well. I’m reaching out to this generous community because I find myself in a very difficult situation. I’m a Venezuelan, living in a country where the economic conditions have deteriorated drastically. The inflation rate is skyrocketing, and basic necessities like food and medicine have become almost unattainable. I’m doing everything I can to make ends meet, but it’s been a constant struggle. I have a family to support, and sometimes, it’s hard to put food on the table. I’m humbly asking for any contribution, be it $5, $10, or $20, that you can spare. I know there are many people in need, and I wouldn’t ask if I wasn’t truly desperate. Your help would mean the world to me and my family. It’s not just about the money, but about the hope and humanity it represents. Thank you for taking the time to read my message, and for any assistance you can provide. God bless you all.

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

@Apsalar

0

Nasi_Goreng

1 year ago

Won't happen. Trump is scared af. This is basically free money.

Democratic VP nominee?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

...that's why I'm here.

1

Truthy

1 year ago

Pete on par with Mark lmao the volatility of this market would make crypto bros blush

GPT-5 released in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

We already have this market: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-announced?tid=1722470579405

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Read the rules

1

n/a

1 year ago

Done https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1818333110318080036

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I feel like this is poor sportsmanship but that's probably the reason I have negative PnL and others make 100k

0

elputoamo

1 year ago

You leave limit orders and wait for some guy to market order 300k

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

StatusQuo

1 year ago

"You won't have to vote anymore"

0

0xbb9a20d4cE0F759F052328ef8dCdc3E83B002B05-1721612781205

1 year ago

Your brainwash is strong. I feel sorry for you. You’re bet on Maduro says it all.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

StatusQuo

1 year ago

If they're just panic sellers why don't you make a profit off them?

0

yeezus

1 year ago

Stupid ass panic sellers, ugh

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Good luck to the people of Venezuela

3

VenVen

1 year ago

Scratch that, already voted. It was swift and calm.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Maybe they're just pessimistic

0

VenVen

1 year ago

What the fuck why am I seeing Maduro sympathizers on the comments but theyre holding NO shares on Maduro??? Do they even know how this works

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/24/health/cold-showers-benefits-risks-wellness/index.html

1

Jsoooky

1 year ago

what just happened?

Will Biden finish his term?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Thank you!

0

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I bought No instead of Yes on accident, can somebody fill it?

Will Biden finish his term?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I bought No instead of Yes on accident, can somebody fill it?

0

Will Biden finish his term?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

It will resolve to No

2

Solipnihil

1 year ago

If by any chance he dies will it resolve to yes or no?

Will Biden finish his term?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I think the CFTC doesn't like Polymarket so maybe you can't?

0

SocialMomentum

1 year ago

How do you participate in Polymarket in the USA? i want in on these trades

Will Biden finish his term?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I don't see you holding NO shares

2

poopy.caca

1 year ago

Biden will not finish his term

Democratic Nominee 2024

StatusQuo

1 year ago

You should read carefully: "Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market."

1

PolyMucket

1 year ago

You guys keep forgetting what John McAfee wrote and I quote “ Russia's first time traveller has returned. Guess what he said: In September Biden is medically diagnosed as unfit for office and quits. They discover that the DNC has legal power to choose a replacement without a National vote! Weird huh? You'll never guess who they chose.“ - John McAfee

Biden drops out today?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Now we have a market for the 11th AND for the 12th!

2

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Not even a billion shares change anything. It's betting not voting.

0

myx

1 year ago

10 shares decide nothing

Democrats flip a 2020 Trump state?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

It's NC

1

McDonalds-Employee

1 year ago

Dear Yes Buyers, which state do you have in mind? Would like to join the party :)

What will Biden say in ABC interview?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

I don't see you buying yes shares though?

0

Car

1 year ago

alley cat very high chance

Biden senile during the debate?

StatusQuo

1 year ago

Sounds like the same bet with with extra steps

6

THE.DONALD.TRUMP

1 year ago

Wanna bet?