#444
Rank
30
Comments
18
Likes Received
33
Likes Given
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Axios
1 year ago
What is going on? Help I'm nervous and can't sell without a massive loss
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What will Trump Say during Pennsylvania rally?
Axios
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K8G0Eg8pmU
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Axios
1 year ago
1:06:31 - 1 1:22:29 - 2 1:58:09 - 2 1:58:31 - 2 2:03:43 - 1 2:04:03 - 1 2:06:31 - 1
What will Trump Say during Pennsylvania rally?
Axios
1 year ago
1:06:31 - 1 1:22:29 - 2 1:58:09 - 2 1:58:31 - 2 2:03:43 - 1 2:04:03 - 1 2:06:31 - 1
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Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
Axios
1 year ago
No, that's saying "DemographicCoin" not "Demographic". No mention of compound words counting and even so a username isn't an actual compound word.
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ChilmarkGeneralStore
1 year ago
Would DemographicCoin count as Demographic? That's more applicable to this situation
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
Axios
1 year ago
Not even a question. If Trump said "deMOGraphic" would that count... of course not. Being a substring doesn't count. He didn't say "mog", "mogs", or "mogging".
0
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
There shouldn't be a bias since 96% of people are on the wrong side, but that is wishful thinking. We'll see though.
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05brownboy
1 year ago
they should honor the rules to resolve the market correctly but i don’t think they will
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
Feels like people are trying to win on technicality. Yes, there exists transactions before midnight but it's likely testing and or senior staff. Official announcements and members of the discord staff state the release was October 1st at 12:00 AM.
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Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
I additionally had conversation with a discord staff member. You can just ask them: “was it unlocked before midnight”. Answer is no.
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0xEBf6Bfe27f0D84a4e50b4a58a31500AC8294aF95-1724784324722
1 year ago
can you proof ?
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
There's transactions dating back to June of this year. Maybe it should have resolved then?
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haraqqqiri
1 year ago
https://etherscan.io/tx/0x0c8d2d2bdc428144a83989257cf3f42827cbd83b52ec40076e11d24983876cd7 first transaction on UNISWAP
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
Link? Will be helpeful in my evidence for the UMA dispute.
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BlackSky123
1 year ago
It's a NO! This shot up to 99 cents last time too, then Polymarket had to clarify that it had to be unlocked and lived, which is what the rules said. These tokens were not unlocked and lived before midnight. There is no onchain data or information from eigen showing that they were unlocked and lived before midnight.
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
Clearly a building in Moscow was hit by something. All we can do is wait for further evidence of what is was, but buildings don't randomly just get hit by projectiles.
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Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
Hey guys, check this out. "On chain" transactions from 100 DAYS AGO. Why didn't this resolve earlier? Because it wasn't live for trading or swapping. Or unlocked. https://etherscan.io/txs?a=0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83&p=2000
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Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
You just linked on-chain stuff. Not proof it was live for trading. It was maybe live for a couple of developers.
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Moj
1 year ago
https://etherscan.io/address/0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
What was? Last second developer testing or actual LIVE trading. If so, which platform allowed it before they literally announced it?
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Moj
1 year ago
it was about 15 minutes before midnight
Airdrops by September 30?
Axios
1 year ago
On-chain "stuff" doesn't matter. That could be developers working and verifying that it works before launching. Was it unlocked and live? Someone link proof and I'll exit. As it stands, it was announced at midnight. It's a no.
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Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1?
Axios
1 year ago
They already rejected it: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/30/ports-strike-truckers-rails-billions-in-cargo-shutdown.html
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P00PYPANTS
1 year ago
USMX just offered 50% wage increases, triple the current retirement contributions and language regarding automation. This baby could very well settle no.
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
The fact it was "updated" today but it still said yesterday for the page is evidence itself. Also the fact that today is out and those changes are not reflected as well.
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X.x
1 year ago
it's literally a clear YES unless theres evidence that the map was updated in error. but i don't see nor have they posted any evidence supporting this
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
Just to add for those that are tracking this. If you know what the map looked like for September 29th (on Twitter) and what it looked like today, it's very clear they were moving around the boundaries in ArcGIS to prepare for today's release and made unofficial changes. Again, the argument of people here is if they're dragging boundaries around while changing the map and for 1 second they drag the boundary over Kyiv then Kyiv is captured. Of course not.
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Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
A tweet does not suffice. ISW is the source. They have released their final map of the month (September 30th map) and the intersection isn't shaded.
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BlackSky123
1 year ago
I can't propose yes, this always happens when I try to propose right after a dispute. Is there some sort of cooldown period?
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
No, what matters is the truth. If someone hacks ISW and shades it red does it resolve Yes... obviously not. Whatever is the truth is what matters, which is that location has not been captured according to ISW.
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X.x
1 year ago
we're not trying to win on a technicality but on reality. the rules state that if it is shaded red then its yes. anythin after doesnt matter, you are trying to win on a technicality for your own benefit
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
You're trying to win on a technicality. The market is about them capturing that intersection and they haven't according to ISW. If ISW glitched for 1 second and showed all of Ukraine red, would all markets resolve that way, no.
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Boston1
1 year ago
Thats not in the polymarkrt rules so its not relevant here
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
Here are the facts: 1) If Russia captures an area and then it is recaptured, it will be shaded blue 2) The area of interest is not shaded blue and is not shaded red thus has never been and is not currently controlled by Russia.
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Liked by n/a, tsybka and 14 others
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
I can edit the HTML to paint it red. An imgur photo is not official.
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AgricultureSecretary
1 year ago
https://i.imgur.com/8aQ8Rs3.jpeg Proof that Russia controlled the intersection.
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
They did not capture it. If they mistakenly shaded the entire country red would everything be captured, no. This is the official map for today.
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X.x
1 year ago
it's not a GG at all lol. it was shaded red for 30 mins, it resolves yes. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Axios
1 year ago
Map is updated for September 30th and it is not shaded red. GG.
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Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?
Axios
1 year ago
https://x.com/N12News/status/1839212298545537187
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Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Axios
1 year ago
https://x.com/ABCPolitics/status/1831417006307819776
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RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
Axios
1 year ago
It'll be disputed. Bernie precedence.
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Bank.
1 year ago
The fact this is actually being resolved as "endorsed" is a joke when his campaign manager said it was not an endorsement. This shit is rigged as hell.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
Axios
1 year ago
RFK is registered to vote in the state of New York, which is not a battleground state. Therefore, it is nonsensical that he would vote for President Trump, because he did not suspend his campaign there today. His campaign spokeperson Stephanie Spear explicitly stated he did not endorse Trump.
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Liked by asdf4, CheerfulPe... and 7 others
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
Axios
1 year ago
Facts: 1) RFK said he "supports" Donald Trump and would suspend his campaign in battleground states 2) He did not say the word "endorse" or "vote," but it's debatable whether support counts as that 3) AP: '“Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated.'
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