What will Trump say during Reading, Pennsylvania rally? (7 PM ET)

n/a

19 hours ago

LMAO

0

TheTank

19 hours ago

I think we are good ngl

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

1 day ago

First time?

0

Frozencomet

1 day ago

Also i think 2.5-2.9 is undervalued. Sure it isnt likely, but its got to be a more than 1% chance

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

A rich guy buying up millions of shares on Polymarket is his metric lol

0

idfkanything

3 days ago

I think we might have a different definition of "cratering." The 538 average is exact same now as it was the day before the VP debate. What signals are you looking at that indicate a cratering?

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

3 days ago

Don’t worry buddy. I’m sure someone will scoop up your 3 shares if you want to sell it.

3

dav1

3 days ago

damn, that spike just now, lack of liquidity

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

6 days ago

Gladly roll the dice at 1/4 here. Thanks

3

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

It was a post debate interview in the spin room

0

n/a

1 week ago

Don Jr saying Trump won’t debate again is a reason why Trump actually will debate again, because I don't see the tweet. Link?

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

1 week ago

Cue a post by Shayku telling us why Don Jr saying Trump won’t debate again is a reason why Trump actually will debate again

1

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Ryan was +4? I remember Biden doing well against him lol

0

n/a

1 week ago

Vance +2 in CNN closest in recent history. Previous CNN VP debate instant poll results: 2020: Harris +21 2016: Pence +6 2012: Ryan +4 2008: Biden +15

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Well CNN said he won so… ain’t no sure bet buddy

0

n/a

1 week ago

Regarding people saying that Ipsos is biased, and that they said Biden "won" or "barely lost" the debate, have a read of what they actually said yourself. https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/538-ipsos-june-2024-presidential-debate-poll

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

Cue 3 insane Trump lunatics telling you you’re a gay Kamala fan boy for saying something completely logical.

0

HappyAmateur

1 week ago

tbh peoples brains are prob a bit fried after 4 years but Pence also presented as a normal republican during his debate and performed well but still solidly lost to Kamala, and Vance now is much more disliked then he was at the time.

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

n/a

1 week ago

People realizing slowly that the people polled on this poll voted 40% that Biden won when he literally couldn’t talk lol.

6

Will there be another debate?

n/a

1 week ago

Because he changed his mind before, he will therefore do it again is pretty weak logic. All decisions have different variables to them.

2

Car

1 week ago

Just like he switched his mind on meeting Zelensky he will do the same with this debate. Its always the typical angry Trump comments in rallies and (social) media, then he quietly changes his mind and then makes a statement. Just watch and see.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Really they are doing their customers a service by correctly weighing against the “fake news” polls with advanced scientific manipulation. Most on here are too small brained to understand.

4

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why did they drop TIPP 9/13 when there are other polls ending on 9/13 in the results (and a 9/12)? lol fuck rcp.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Wow the biggest pro multi debate guy lol

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yea I mostly pulled out, I don't think it's happening.

Will there be another debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Harris accepted a CNN debate. Which means nothing lol

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

what news is the price moving on?

Will there be another debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I’m not sure you understand how this works…

0

Car

2 weeks ago

Thanks for playing

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

He entered in Rasmussen as +2 kamala and “fixed” it

0

JustinFromPI

3 weeks ago

Insane. He actually dropped them and brought them back. Holy fuck.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Pretty sus… idk I’m sure someone can figure it out

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

self trading?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol okay I think they are messing with us…

2

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

HarrisX

0

TheFinalWord

3 weeks ago

what poll came out

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

That poll was released last night and I had my eye on it… can’t believe that didn’t get to it til now lol

1

diddy

3 weeks ago

What the hell

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol oops.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Barring something completely unforeseen. 2.0 is going to need a new poll +1 Kamala or worse

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol impossible is a stretch but I quite like the bracket

0

diddy

3 weeks ago

In 24 hours it’s impossible

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Completely fair points lol. I feel good about the bracket, i appreciate the chance to ride the shares to maturity. Well played bro

1

JustinFromPI

3 weeks ago

Who had ras as flat on their bingo card?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Barring something completely unforeseen. 2.0 is going to need a new poll +1 Kamala or worse

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Very well played regardless.

0

JustinFromPI

3 weeks ago

Who had ras as flat on their bingo card?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I assume that was you selling at 66? Feel like you coulda got more

1

JustinFromPI

3 weeks ago

Who had ras as flat on their bingo card?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I think technically, depending on the decimal points, it could be a legit 2. Small window for it though.

0

mombil

3 weeks ago

WTF is going on today, RCP fucking up, Rasmussen staying flat after they published different data? idk what to believe anymore

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Well that was fun. Huge curveball by ras there

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Two polls. Removing the Emerson +2 would net nothing.

0

432

3 weeks ago

still even with rassmussen RCP just needs to take out one old poll and we are back at 2.1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

They know that juicy Rasmussen is coming so they didn’t mind throwing a bone lol

0

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I’m sure they will take very kindly to hyper obsessed perceived Kamala supporters spamming them with emails to drop the other NYT lol

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

My guess is that it's because they didn't remove the 'NY Times/Siena' down below yet, when you remove that, it's 2.1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

People think there are “rules” and they made a “mistake”

1

diddy

3 weeks ago

Can someone explain logic for 2.1 mass buy NYT makes it worse for this range

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

“Should be very slightly positive for Harris on net” - Nate silver

0

TheFinalWord

3 weeks ago

lol Marist PA tie, it's Joever

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I don’t know. I’m just another dude so they could easily know something I don’t.

2

n/a

3 weeks ago

Was that way people started panic buying Harris +2.1-2.5

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Not a bad call eh? Haha

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Which polls are we expecting other than Rasmussen next?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Marist poll tonight notably NOT a national poll.

1

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Not really lol.

2

TheFinalWord

3 weeks ago

there's a little too much enthusiasm here

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

None for sure that I know. Fox or Emerson seem to have a shot. A couple others possible

2

n/a

3 weeks ago

Which polls are we expecting other than Rasmussen next?

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

X.com/polymarketbet/isuckathis

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

The cope is strong with this one.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Like clockwork, today's polling shows a strong post-debate bounce for Harris. The pressure mounts, and it will continue to get worse for Trump in the next days. I expect the debate negotiations to be known some time between Sep 20th and Sep 25th.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Harris in as Forbes. Monmouth not counted as they don’t poll “horserace”

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

HarrisX+Monmouth otw?

Will there be another debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Buy more then. Free money.

3

n/a

3 weeks ago

Trump is nowhere near sure enough of winning to avoid a debate. He will have to, and Kamala will goad him. He will look like a coward if he doesn’t. It’s possible there won’t be a debate but it’s a 70% yes at least. 33 is just silly.

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Kamalamentum

1

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

It was a prevent me from losing money defense

3

4thand10

3 weeks ago

LOL that may have been the worst prevent defense I've ever seen in my life.

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

Aged very well.

1

TCA

3 weeks ago

I can't believe anyone would take the falcons over the eagles with no points it's insanity. Eagles are going to absolutely CRUSH them. This is free money imo.

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

If by trash you meant bank. Correct.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

fr throwing money in the trash

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

Rekt

0

PinochetsAirplane

3 weeks ago

ncie

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

LMAO GGS

0

NFL Monday

n/a

3 weeks ago

Tasty. Eagles defense is trash lol

1

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

True lol they fucking celebrate when the outliers are on the side they want haha

1

Justifax

3 weeks ago

the problem is ras is they don't warn their audience that the +6 is probably BS noise

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Reuters is a news organization, not a pollster

0

Randomchooser

3 weeks ago

atlas intel rules! And its just sunday...

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

See Robinhood’s answer. There are no rules they do whatever they want and they will pick whichever way favors the GOP

1

sdiff123

3 weeks ago

It's a second ipsos poll. When did they not uphold this rule for Trump @BallstotheWalz

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

My theory is they consider it “second ipsos poll” a rule they wouldn’t uphold for Trump but… see the main posters point lol

2

Randomchooser

3 weeks ago

atlas intel rules! And its just sunday...

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

We’ll see what aggregators rate them after this cycle.

0

sdiff123

3 weeks ago

Good thing they started - Atlas Intel is an A+ pollster!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Couldn’t deny those tasty Trump numbers any longer. Busted their nut as they threw it in.

1

MrNFT

3 weeks ago

I’ve never seen them use atlas intel for the 5+ years I’ve been tracking rcp lol

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Wow. As far as I know the first time I’ve ever seen them add an Atlas Intel poll. RCP gonna RCP

6

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Will likely be entered as +4 fyi

0

Smokey-Joe

3 weeks ago

ABC/IPSOS +6 https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1835289319197536436

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Tell me you’re a losing trader without telling me you’re a losing trader.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

how is the bracket that the average is currently in priced at 20c lol?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol. This won’t age well.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

I still guess that 1.6-2.0 is the most realistic

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I don’t think you are taking into account historical effects of debates and the upside (or downsides) for each candidate respectively. But agree to disagree. We’ll see.

0

Dick Cheney

3 weeks ago

He probably should debate if the polls are brutal. If she is gaining an advantage than you want variance if you are the Trump campaign. Plus his ego won’t allow not debating, can’t feel like a loser

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You know she’s already been ahead in it right? Lol

2

-Rocambole-

3 weeks ago

This Nate Silver bulletin isn't Polymarket. She will never going to flip him

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

These polls are absolutely brutal for Trump. The clear play is to not risk it happening again and hope this bump is temporary (as they have been in he past). His advisors and donors will be pushing hard for him to not debate again. Sure he can overrule them but… he seems happy to make excuses that go along with what they advise and they will stroke his ego as much as they need to get him to do what they want.

0

Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Hi lucy! (It’s fitzy)

1

LucyCross

0 months ago

The market makers seem more comfortable spreading their legs wider than I ever was.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Not really. Even if he wants to they have to negotiate the terms which is more of a question of weighing incentives. His mood matters for sure but there are other factors.

0

sahee

3 weeks ago

This 3 million dollar market is completely dependent on Donald Trump's "mood" 💀

Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

This and the others lol

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Trump: "There will not be another debate." This market: Eh, Trump says a lot of stuff.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol are you in Trumps room with him at night? That’s some crazy analysis.

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

Every night, he's replaying it in his mind, cringing and imagining what he should have said. He needs a bit more time to process, but he'll want his shot when he feels ready again.

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Gg

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Thanks for playing!

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You’re a breakeven trader.

1

nnimrodd

3 weeks ago

I wrote a polymarket playbook https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol I got 4K worth and had just sold some of a different market to buy more and came back and missed another buy by seconds :( still a nice free $300 though

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

Big shoutout to @trumpisreal, who clearly forgot to cancel his limit order

Will there be another debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Not really. If they don’t start ironing out details within next few weeks it’ll be too late

2

Fact

3 weeks ago

We still have 1.5 months to see whether there will be another one

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I like my Trump officials that haven’t been fired.

2

Chen1996

3 weeks ago

CNN: Ex-Trump Official predicts Trump will “change his tune” on his third debate.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Only issue with this is he doesn’t believe “fake news” polls only polls that show him winning. So he will never be down.

0

Chen1996

0 months ago

She will keep insisting and if the polls show trump down, he’ll be forced to accept the debate

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Fun to see the 2 debate cope-ing lol

3

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

0 months ago

Obviously lol people fall for his tough act. It’s bull..

3

Scoobs

0 months ago

Ahahaha he’s such a biiiitch

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

0 months ago

Okay bro

0

n/a

0 months ago

mark my words, we will get 2nd and possibly 3rd debate. easiest money to be made

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?

n/a

0 months ago

RCP hold my beer Hail Mary time

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

0 months ago

Yea I also think they are content with how this one went and okay to leave it there. Also clearly Trump isn’t very interested. I have this more like 75/25

0

n/a

0 months ago

It's simple: Kamala spent a week preparing for this debate. She doesn't have the time left to waqste another week. There will be plenty of posturing but no second debate.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

0 months ago

Cope harder. He very obviously lost and doesn’t want to go through that again.

1

Meow.Zedong

0 months ago

He offered her 3 debates when she became the nominee and she declined all but ABC.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

0 months ago

Sounds like hes gonna chicken out

1

Will the Debate finish by 10:30 PM?

n/a

0 months ago

gg, 2 min closing statements

0

What will Trump say at the debate?

n/a

0 months ago

Gang is all here

1

Gaeten-Dugas

0 months ago

Holy shit he's back. Perfect electoral college map wen?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Classic RCP move there. Too bad I was busy and couldn’t be around for movement. Oh well

3

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Dude it was obviously a mistake, they will probably fix the dates and update them but it literally changes nothing for the average.

0

Randomchooser

1 month ago

tbh i expected it to be update to +1 trump for the 31/8 - 06/06 week but i don't really understand why they changed the +2 related to the past week

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

They are trying to convince themselves they aren’t holding bags lol

1

n/a

1 month ago

No lol you guys are confused

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

I’m not buying at 75+ so yea it’s possible but I’m also not selling for under 75

0

n/a

1 month ago

Why you guys bailing on 1.5-1.9... it's like 80% certain for 1.5-1.9 right now

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Oh I just saw your position lol. Well played.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Why you guys bailing on 1.5-1.9... it's like 80% certain for 1.5-1.9 right now

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

LOL Rip RCP aka Truck. The largest lifetime loser in RCP poll history keeps his streak alive and deletes his incorrect predictions in comments. Very predictable

6

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Reload your RCP…

2

n/a

1 month ago

Why you guys bailing on 1.5-1.9... it's like 80% certain for 1.5-1.9 right now

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Omg this is Truck again. Dude you are wrong everytime in RCP markets lmaoooo

0

diddy

1 month ago

Guys I made a calculation previously, I don’t think this will be +2 Kamala, don’t take my word for it but let’s see

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Your math ain’t mathin then lol

0

diddy

1 month ago

Guys I made a calculation previously, I don’t think this will be +2 Kamala, don’t take my word for it but let’s see

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Not the best math I’ve ever seen. It replaces the other Rass poll.

0

diddy

1 month ago

Guys I made a calculation previously, I don’t think this will be +2 Kamala, don’t take my word for it but let’s see

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Lol people buying out both 1.5-1.9 and 2.0-2.4. Good work team.

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Not how this market works.

1

n/a

1 month ago

it's august 31. shouldn't this get resolved already?

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

What could go wrong? It wasn’t at 94 cents a couple days ago and completely collapsed or anything like that.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

sure hope nothing weird happens, cause like woah

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

n/a

1 month ago

Redfield too now, we’ll see if it’s enough to overcome that convention bounce. Probably close.

0

ACat

1 month ago

Godspeed if you’ve truly done the math to show that those Morning Consult swing state polls today aren’t enough to get this to or close to resolving for Harris on tomorrow’s update.

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Ggs, until next time. (Ty for 10k shares of 2.5 no @80. Very generous.)

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I think some ptsd and there is one good reason why I am still out at these prices

1

n/a

1 month ago

Wild how little it has moved in the last hour. Think everyone has PTSD from the updates today.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

It has 6% Kennedy it’s in the article.

0

n/a

1 month ago

So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Dude you’ve been nonstop wrong about everything all day. In both RCP markets. Maybe this isn’t your thing.

2

diddy

1 month ago

Fuckkkkkkkk how is it 1.6…….

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Great advice

1

Slytherin

1 month ago

Don’t just rely on others’ analysis; think independently. Even smart money can be wrong at times.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

It’s when the graphs says 31 not when the day hits fyi, gonna be like 4-5 more days

0

jl3128776

1 month ago

Let’s take a real tally of which polls could be added between now and end of tomorrow

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

You’ll need one. You don’t want this to come to down a daily kos replacement

0

n/a

1 month ago

Siena and Marist have not dropped in a while, and they likely conducted new polls after the DNC. Hopefuly we get at least one.

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Truck what happened to all the loads of polls coming in?

1

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

An interesting aspect of this is, to close the “time frame window” on the graph, we may need another daily kos poll. Which would replace the +4, so even a +3 there would help trump a bit

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Mostly me tbh, don’t mind me

0

n/a

1 month ago

Why is everyone buying TRUMP?

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

That was my thought as well. I expect Quinn to absolutely be added

0

grappli

1 month ago

If I had to guess, they might be ignoring Ipsos because it included Kennedy. Let's see about the Quinnipiac poll, which should be out in a couple of hours

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

2 hours ago I got mocked for buying 2.5 No lol

3

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Assuming of course, they add Reuters. Which is likely but not a lock, RCP plays by their own rules.

0

n/a

1 month ago

As expected there. 2.5 needs a drop Kamala +7 or 2 polls averaging Kamala +4.5

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

As expected there. 2.5 needs a drop Kamala +7 or 2 polls averaging Kamala +4.5

0

grappli

1 month ago

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_48_harris_46 Rasmussen just dropped, +2 Trump

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

That poll would have to be a Kamala +7

0

diddy

1 month ago

Yes, your NO is at huge risk, not a smart move if old poll drops

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Scared money don’t make money.

1

diddy

1 month ago

Yes, your NO is at huge risk, not a smart move if old poll drops

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

I have Rasmussen coming it at +2 and that they will add Reuters as listed (they have in the past) and that puts it at 2. May get another poll by noon tomorrow, may not.

0

diddy

1 month ago

Tbh, I don’t care which way it goes, I have both shares, it gets or doesn’t get added, it’s the same to me

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

It depends on how they ask the question in the crosstabs. Explain to me why they haven’t added a USA Today head to head all year?

1

diddy

1 month ago

They haven’t added it yet same with Yahoo, it went first to 5 way race

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

**panic as all the confident traders realize the +5 will not be tallied in the head to head**

3

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes. They included it in the multi- candidate. As they always do.

0

diddy

1 month ago

Mate, RCP will include USA Today because they are needy for all post-DNC polls, I sent them an e-mail

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

(See below)

0

TheOneB

1 month ago

some good polls are coming out, should be added to RCP shortly

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Ayeeee someone figured it out!

0

n/a

1 month ago

USA Today is already included in the 5-way race, but not included in head-to-head. I do think they’ll include Reuters, which will put Kamala up +1.88.

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Wow it’s nice you seem genuinely nice about it!

1

diddy

1 month ago

Sorry man…I figured out you did

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Oh shit I was looking at Trump Biden!!! I’m fucked

2

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

It’s added brother.

0

diddy

1 month ago

You will see 2.1 when it’s added :)

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

I’ll give you a hint. They already added the USA Today.

0

n/a

1 month ago

2.5+ might or might not hit, but i wouldnt feel comfortable holding that bet tbh

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

Deciding whether to say something or let you geniuses figure it out yourselves

2

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Fair

1

Justifax

1 month ago

There should be a rule that you're only allowed to talk smack if you've bought up to 90s.

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

n/a

1 month ago

This is cooked. We hadn’t even started counting our fake ballots yet, that starts at 3 am.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

Good luck genius

2

n/a

1 month ago

lawsuit incoming

RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?

n/a

1 month ago

Cry more tears

3

coolguy69

1 month ago

I'm fucking deleting my account. This is horse cock

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Nice seeing you here TT - fitzy

1

n/a

1 month ago

guys polymarket has already resolved it. stop waiting your time and money

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

I’ll gladly buy it with my 9k profit pleb

1

432

1 month ago

get a new tampon

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Down 2k weak ass gambler

1

hillary2win

1 month ago

he didn't drop out

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Cry more

0

hillary2win

1 month ago

he didn't drop out

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Imagine buying no for dirt cheap and expecting then to flip it for you. Y’all deserve to lose your money.

0

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Lol the sore losers are really gonna make us wait 3 days for our money?

1

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

Lolllll

0

anciano

1 month ago

Aside from the fact that anyone with even a semblance of a brain understands that RFK has in fact dropped out, the fact is that poly has *already* resolved that he has dropped out regarding the "by November" and "before September" markets! (That means he has dropped out "by Friday" for you morons who are disputing this.)

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

He’s got 60k of RFK endorses yes. It’s a really tough argument to say he endorsed but didn’t withdraw.

1

Slaylorswift

1 month ago

You’re telling me the persons who’s up 150k and has 100k shares of no is gonna be wrong? gL

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

I mean…. He did withdraw. But we’ll see.

3

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Shouldn’t the rules have an exact time that the polling is checked? Also it’s confusing about posting on the 8th day to get results for the 7th day? That’s not really how the polling average works

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

WE LIT

5

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Yup yup yup yup

2

mattyrice

1 month ago

yup yup yup

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

n/a

1 month ago

You’re high TT

0

n/a

1 month ago

the odds aren't gonna be close enough to make that possible

What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

The truth social post was a dead give away

0

IWillReturn

1 month ago

Keep it simple: he just used Comrade Kamala, so he will remember it. He hasn’t said Zelensky in like a month, so he won’t remember it.

What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

I woulda been so tilted lol

0

IWillReturn

1 month ago

Third World War lmao he is so funny. Thank god he didn’t say Kamala Comrade

What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Finally a nice bink

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

She constantly had “Donald Trump will ban abortion” in her stump speech

5

KingofRingx3

1 month ago

Also the word "Abortion" is a bit of a nono to use. I don't think it will be used in a prepared speech

Who will speak at the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

Seems like you’re the one who needs the gl lol

8

dreamer

1 month ago

gl everyone

Who will speak at the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

Michelle confirmed

2

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Good

0

stupidarb

1 month ago

how we feeling about trans?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

If you actually believe this you should be shoving all your money in this market right now.

1

qlemxis

2 months ago

Gold medal “locks” for USA: M 4x400m (34), W 4x400m (35), M Bball (36), W Bball (37) Gold medal favorites for USA: W Soccer (38) Other realistic chances: W 200m Canoe (39), W Volleyball (40), ?? Other wrestling (41) Gold medal “locks” for China: W Team Table tennis (33), W 81kg Weightlifting (34), M 102kg Weightlifting (35) Gold medal favorites for China: M Platform diving (36), W Swimming Duet (37), W Middleweight boxing (38) Other realistic chances: W Flyweight boxing (39), W Welterweight boxing (40). The "modal outcome" is a 38-38 tie, unless China wins at least one of the two boxing bouts coming up today

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Doesn’t look like they agree with you

1

KingofRingx3

2 months ago

actually china won round1

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

I’m not watching but it looks like China must be getting peppered with jabs in the ring

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Good thing we have Ronda Rousey going.

0

0x8D698FF2D1E90253CA3227564bAFD2e2ced99dDB-1723230400794

2 months ago

2 womens boxing finals coming upnnow for China. They need to win at least one of them.

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Wemby tho… jk we clowning them

0

diddy

2 months ago

Imagine USA losing vs France in basketball lol

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Comeback city

1

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

2 months ago

Losing once, and deciding “therefore this must not be profitable” is a big reason why you are not profitable.

2

tomn

2 months ago

yeah this was a crazy few days it was not fun losing a few thousand but now it confirms i should not be betting on the weather

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Track is like the most Olympic event there is lmao

3

0xCb9cF4773A232Ac612E656dF7733e659E1eEf515-1722999050018

2 months ago

USA getting from swimming and track? Kinda fucking lame as well dude... learn from Aussie

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Should count as half a gold

4

tomn

2 months ago

china gets half their golds from diving and table tennis that's lame af

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

2 months ago

That was a fun game of “follow the guy who seems smart” look forward to the next.

0

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

Ggs

5

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

To where? Exactly

0

grappli

2 months ago

Y'all better start dumping

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

My goodness you managed to hold the worse possible positions

1

n/a

2 months ago

oops

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

2 months ago

You’re in the hole $500 lol

0

FranciscoJoseEliasNavarro

2 months ago

The Y guys are scared af 🤣

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

You are incredibly desperate

1

PolyPredictor

2 months ago

This isn't completely dead yet. I have all events that are realistically winnable for both teams. If USA wins their locks but loses their 50/50 or worse events and China wins their locks and their 50%+ events this ends up 41 China and 39 USA. So your saying there's a chance

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Dude you sound desperate. Just try to enjoy the sweat. Never bet money you can’t lose.

1

PolyPredictor

2 months ago

China somehow got 5 boxers into the finals. One already lost in a split decision but if they can win 3 golds there that would be a game changer for this market

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

It’s very close to Sportsbook odds so imagine it’s pretty fair

0

PolyPredictor

2 months ago

I missed wrestling so it is really closer to 38 for US and 35 for China with current projections. That makes me think the market is actually pretty fairly priced

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Fiddy/fiddy

1

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Take a position then

6

0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047

2 months ago

I still think it’s Shapiro.. Walz is a dumb choice.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Get help.

8

TheGuru

2 months ago

Imagine if y'all are all thinking it's Walz or Shapiro and it's actually Hillary Clinton lol. Would be hilarious and I'd be a millionaire

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Call and I shall answer

2

Arbguy

2 months ago

BALLZ TO THE WALZ

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Congrats to no holders. Lost a few hundred in this market. Y’all played it well. Gg

8

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

They will and it won’t be enough ;)

0

oxamo

2 months ago

I don't think that information is publicly available. I think the real bet here is whether or not Rasmussen Reports will be included in the average on Friday. I'm betting yes

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

:)

1

Munners

2 months ago

Kindly

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

n/a

2 months ago

Let’s dance kids

2

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Gonna be such an exciting rose ceremony

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

kelly rises from the dead

0

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

To the windowwwwwww to the WALZ

3

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Uh I think he'll be okay.

0

Yanoya4sure

2 months ago

If it isnt him, hes done some damage to his reelection for Gov

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

You already know we’re out here

3

Iran military response by Friday?

n/a

2 months ago

Okay bro.

2

spacino

2 months ago

ballistics takes 12 min (iran to israeli)

Iran military response by Friday?

n/a

2 months ago

Very reliable reporting

1

polymathzz

2 months ago

⚡️ IMPORTANT: Currently, Tehran-Istanbul flights are being cancelled one by one. This development indicates that there may be Iranian retaliation tonight. https://x.com/warintel4u/status/1819416488635138410

50m Freestyle Winner (M)

n/a

2 months ago

Ggs fun sweat

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Dude I was agreeing with you below lol get yourself together.

1

vote.fun

2 months ago

BEFORE BUYING YES: please understand Bernie has not given a FORMAL endorsement yet. If it is something before this comment, it was not formal.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Only issue is the market requires a “formal endorsement” not just a colloquial endorsement. If you’re trying to win this way just sell.

5

Colorguesser

2 months ago

We have a clear endorsement of Harris by Sanders. Let me answer all concerns pointed out here. ---- 1. The Rules do not require that Sanders uses the word "endorsemen" they require that he endorses the candidate. Which he has done and which is described and depicted in the comments in detail. ---- 2. He stated that he supports her and clarified that he does not accept any third-party distinction between his support and a formal endorsement. Therefore, since he rejects any difference between his support and external differentiation, he is, in fact, endorsing her. ---- 3. This also constitutes an endorsement according to the Cambridge dictionary, as well as a "political endorsement" according to the Quarterly Journal of Political Science

When will Kamala announce VP pick?

n/a

2 months ago

What? Is this a VP announcement? Wow fake media said Monday at the earliest. Caught lying again.

1

mattyrice

2 months ago

https://x.com/umichvoter/status/1819206469553729610

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Selling more shares I see? Screams confidence.

2

n/a

2 months ago

It's just until "...before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election.". So if they make an announcement saying she's their official candidate (e.g. announcing she has secured enough votes to officially be the candidate), it would meet the criteria. But we might have to wait until Monday.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Would celebrate too early buddy.

0

Paganheat

2 months ago

Looking forward to cashing out on this. Nice job @Laura!

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

2 months ago

Lol guess we all learn our lessons at the beginning.

2

AnarchyFishing

2 months ago

I'm knew at this, I have no money in any market, but this one seems like it could potentially have a lot of upside. I'm surprised this isn't 50/50.