#15
Rank
595
Comments
302
Likes Received
305
Likes Given
IWillReturn
1 hour ago
Holy shit
n/a
1 hour ago
Nice pnl bro
IWillReturn
1 hour ago
Israelis are patient
Foreseeable.
3 hours ago
i dont understand this sale at all. yesterday was Jewish new year, it was completely clear to me that if they attack, they will do it tonight. Thougt people would appreciate that with their 50% evaluation, apparently they did not. Important: This is until 06:59am of 4th of October due to different time zone. Im Hyped.
IWillReturn
5 hours ago
He actually says tampon a lot
JackBauerPowerHour
5 hours ago
He never mentions Tim Walz… but given that he’s going to be recapping the vp debate at least a little bit… I bet we get a “I can him tampon Tim.” Tim Walz is too boring a name for trump to say the full thing
IWillReturn
10 hours ago
This is a rally, he almost always says Comrade Kamala at those
IWillReturn
12 hours ago
Better luck next time guys
IWillReturn
1 day ago
No one cares
KovacNationalism
1 day ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
IWillReturn
1 day ago
Every poll so far has them in a dead tie. All republicans will say Vance won, and all Democrats will say Walz won
IWillReturn
1 day ago
The only thing that matters
n/a
1 day ago
The vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance on October 2, 2024, ended with no clear winner according to post-debate polls. A CNN instant poll showed a near-even split, with 51% of viewers believing Vance performed better and 49% favoring Walz. A POLITICO/Focaldata snap poll also indicated a 50-50 division among voters on who won the debate, reflecting the country's polarized politics. A CBS survey found similar divisions, with 42% of viewers believing Vance emerged victorious, 41% siding with Walz, and 17% viewing it as a tie.
IWillReturn
1 day ago
You're assuming that people respond to polls based on reality
Clenc
1 day ago
because we watched a 2 hour debate where Vance made you want to vote for his candidate
IWillReturn
1 day ago
Yeah I'd say it's 50-50, maybe a small advantage for Vance
n/a
1 day ago
I don't understand why people are so confident about this, could land either way
IWillReturn
2 days ago
Lol
Apsalar
2 days ago
rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”
IWillReturn
2 days ago
Why would he mention a Hurricane in Wisconsin
IWillReturn
2 days ago
You can live bet all of them
MaccabeanSoldier
2 days ago
Can you live bet the border or any other markets?
IWillReturn
2 days ago
Would the German media lie?
doglover69
2 days ago
@Ken: That was a lot of blah blah, you could have just said, “no, even if troops are in Lebanon, I will continue to argue for no”. But I can answer your question directly: all German media are reporting about ground troops in Lebanon even the ones with reporters in Beirut, so yes, you've lost your mind.
IWillReturn
2 days ago
Or clearing your cache
Poseidon.gmb
2 days ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
IWillReturn
2 days ago
It is a bug, try in incognito mode
Poseidon.gmb
2 days ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
IWillReturn
2 days ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
IWillReturn
2 days ago
What is ME Forum? Al Jazeera, NYT, ABC, WashPo, Bloomberg, none of them call it invasion
n/a
2 days ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
IWillReturn
2 days ago
For example?
n/a
2 days ago
Most media are calling it an invasion.
IWillReturn
2 days ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
IWillReturn
2 days ago
He plays both sides
n/a
2 days ago
lol did you forget what side you are on?
IWillReturn
2 days ago
Report: US voicing concern limited Israeli ground op may transform into 'something larger'
IWillReturn
2 days ago
MTV Lebanon and Al Jazeera both confirming
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Let him rest for his final months
n/a
3 days ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
IWillReturn
3 days ago
If every headline reports that Israel is invading it won’t matter
Foreseeable.
3 days ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Front page
Hamurabi
3 days ago
Really? Link?
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Confirmed by NYT
IWillReturn
3 days ago
No
Rassska
3 days ago
did it get resolved?
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Another successful scam
Car
3 days ago
Nobody is gonna dispute this with the current evidence we have. Sorry NO holders, but its a YES
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Polymarket resolves based on headline vibes
Caligulas.dog
3 days ago
I sold my no at a 50 % loss and think this will resolve to yes, but in fairness to all the holders, so far the reports have not confirmed COMBAT OPERATIONS.
IWillReturn
3 days ago
It’s Joever
IWillReturn
3 days ago
Seems pretty clear
IWillReturn
3 days ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
IWillReturn
3 days ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
IWillReturn
3 days ago
The problem is nowadays all media copy each other. The WSJ made a report and Times of Israel and Telegraph both cited that same report. Suddenly you have consensus
IWillReturn
3 days ago
It’s over, Polymarket always resolves based on headline vibes
IWillReturn
3 days ago
People need to stop listening to the mainstream media
IWillReturn
4 days ago
Sorry you were wrong
Bohemian
4 days ago
If you call this free money, then I understand your negative overall profit... 😒
IWillReturn
4 days ago
fpo wins if there is a tie in seats
Bohemian
4 days ago
Can you explain me, what is so interesting in rules?
IWillReturn
4 days ago
Free money if you read the rules
IWillReturn
5 days ago
Whenever someone proposes, should be very soon
0x429aff1255d8bCABe0AD46f610f8B03034E68070-1711892138111
5 days ago
when review start??
IWillReturn
5 days ago
The border giveth and the border taketh away
0x429aff1255d8bCABe0AD46f610f8B03034E68070-1711892138111
5 days ago
border guys get smoked LOL
IWillReturn
5 days ago
He has like never said this lol
n/a
5 days ago
wen bitcoin
IWillReturn
5 days ago
Thanks
Gauth
5 days ago
4
IWillReturn
5 days ago
Border count anyone?
IWillReturn
1 week ago
Just put the fries in the bag bro
n/a
1 week ago
If the question is "Will Israel invade Lebanon?" The answer is a clear and obvious yes. Israel's entire goal is expansion, using the same playbook, tactics and justifications that they used in Gaza. "They're using human shields, our war is with Hezbollah/Hamas, not you, citizens of Gaza/Lebanon!" While they target any and everyone. Hospitals, apartment complexes, etc. Even going so far as to say "Lebanon cannot technically be classified as a sovereign nation. They're repeating Gaza. That much is not up for debate. What is, however is the timeframe. Will they put boots on the ground, tanks, etc within the next 40 so days? With the rate they're escalating, I would be surprised if the answer was no. The US is sending troops to the region as we speak. A wider war is brewing, one that the US is likely getting itself pulled into. Israel is already talking about establishing control of a buffer zone within Lebanon. And you have the anniversary of October 7th on just a couple of weeks. If a major push isn't made before this date, It likely will on the 7th. Why is the US sending troops? To protect Israel. From what? An attack/push from Hezbollah. Israel's only move against this is to establish a buffer zone ASAP, which they will do.
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
Those are like all his favorite topics bro lmao
BlitzDaTweetGod
2 weeks ago
Can’t believe I really bailed on the one winner and piled into all losers lol 💀
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
Him rating his own nicknames for Kamala is so funny
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
Like a thousand
n/a
2 weeks ago
Does anyone have a border count?
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
He's bringing out all the oldies for this one
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
Just send everyone to bed at this point
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
He’s not gonna say it
BlitzDaTweetGod
2 weeks ago
Bigger question is why TF is moderator at .17c lol
IWillReturn
2 weeks ago
20 minutes
ShizWizard
2 weeks ago
Anybody know roughly how long till we get final results? (Noon ET?)
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
This is a spanking
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
It will drop below 95
n/a
3 weeks ago
Alright 44m previews estimate scared me yesterday and I had to sell of 105m+ no shares I held since 20c, but now the official number is 41.5m on Friday, there is no way this is doing 105m + anymore, 95-105 is the bet here for anyone new
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
You don’t need a reason to pardon someone as President
MissionDreamer
3 weeks ago
The key point is that he doesn't have a valid reason for a pardon.
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
You’re doing amazing sweetie
YoungGriff
3 weeks ago
The shear amount of retarded comments I’m reading from people that share my positions has me deeply concerned that I’m on the wrong side.
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Could honestly see Hikaru choking
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Didn’t think it’d be this close lol
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Warner Bros.’ Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is eyeing a $38M first day at this point in time, which includes previews, on its way to a $90M-$95M opening. There is a path to $40M-plus today and $100M-plus for the weekend, however, that all hinges on the continued momentum of walk-up business.
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
The hot weather prompted delays to the start of the new school year in some Chinese cities. State media reported on Tuesday that some schools and universities in Jiangxi, Chongqing, and Sichuan provinces had pushed the return to school out to 9 September, citing high temperatures.
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Great games
MrNFT
3 weeks ago
VEry exciting hikaru vs firouzja
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Everyone claims they have knowledge on here :)
n/a
3 weeks ago
Do you have knowledge in box office and stuff?
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
That’s his opinion, maybe he’s right. If you assume lots of of families will give it walk up business on the weekend, it’s possible
n/a
3 weeks ago
But why is this professional analyst coming up with 105m to 115m? https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Dune 2 is a good comp in my opinion
n/a
3 weeks ago
yeah... so more or less comparable, no?
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Just finding comparable movies. 95+ is possible in theory but it’s a sequel so you’d expect more front loading
n/a
3 weeks ago
Oh really not more than that... I was more between 95m and 105m. What methodology do you use for your estimates?
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Assuming my Thursday estimate is correct, 80-90m looks right. Will depend on the Saturday bump
n/a
3 weeks ago
How much would you estimate the OW domestic figure?
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
September 2023 was pretty insanely hot but 2024 is off to a solid start
Sever
0 months ago
Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?
IWillReturn
3 weeks ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Several CDU politicians and members have spoken out against a coalition with BSW. Not saying this is very likely but a coalition with Afd is still in the cards (but definitely a long shot)
IWillReturn
0 months ago
US job openings fell in July to the lowest since the start of 2021 and layoffs rose, consistent with other signs of slowing demand for workers. Available positions decreased to 7.67 million from a downwardly revised 7.91 million reading in the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS, showed Wednesday. The figure was lower than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
IWillReturn
0 months ago
The White House is scrambling to put forward a new proposal for a Gaza ceasefire and the release of hostages by Hamas in the coming days, two US officials, two Egyptian security sources and an official with knowledge of the matter tell Reuters. The new proposal aims to work out the major sticking points behind a months-long impasse in talks
IWillReturn
0 months ago
That’s not gonna be reflected in the polls but I think your odds are decent
plsplspls
0 months ago
If Trump's speech on the 4th goes well, I can make some extra money :)
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Just keep them it is not hitting 105
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Putting all on red is gambling just as much as putting all on “0”
DoughJones
0 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
IWillReturn
0 months ago
So are you
ChineseAlligator
0 months ago
They are just betting against the market because IF they happen to be right it would be massive profits. In other words, they are gambling
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Using this to hedge the loss of my own job
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Bro if I had insight into Apples books I would be buying options, not Polymarket shares lmao
DoughJones
0 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Is this info usually released by the channel?
IWillReturn
0 months ago
1) Extremely high expectations for Apples upgrade cycle, meaning their event next Monday has to go flawlessly 2) Potential for China troubles, further market share gains for Huawei or government regulation punishing Apple 3) MSFT being one of the few companies that actually make money with AI, as opposed to Apple 4) Apple valuation is out of whack, same PE as Microsoft despite much slower growth of both revenue and profit
DoughJones
0 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
IWillReturn
0 months ago
We will see
n/a
0 months ago
they are forecasting 110m+ brah
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Joker 2 seems slightly divisive, even though it never really stood a chance in the first place
IWillReturn
0 months ago
85-95m looks very doable. Maybe below 85m if I’m lucky
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Thanks for the free money
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Apple can only lose. Microsoft is already making money hand over fist from AI
Car
0 months ago
We are smarter than them
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Down to a 275b difference now
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Huge iPhone upgrade cycle for Apple is priced in, so if their showcase is anything less than exceptional it will be bad for them
IWillReturn
0 months ago
It is really warm
IWillReturn
0 months ago
Brown boy then why are you No on greater than 105m?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
IWillReturn
0 months ago
This has always been about Microsoft and Apple
DoughJones
0 months ago
This fella is most likely out of race, at least for this one...(Nvidia Reportedly Subpoenaed By Justice Department As Antitrust Probe Intensifies) Down 9,53% in a day.. Largest cap loss in its history.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
My estimate
n/a
1 month ago
source?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Lmao the pump and dump
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It’s out in 70 minutes
Ilyassbk
1 month ago
is the video out ?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If the price is right
ChineseAlligator
1 month ago
@saylorgiftfromgod Do you have anymore capital to buy ? I just increased my buy orders.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
And if Lex yaps for 17 minutes at the end of
MrNFT
1 month ago
Easy no. Use an AI upscaler. It shows 1:17 very clearly
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Why would a fed cut that is fully expected effect Apple differently than Microsoft?
n/a
1 month ago
Interest rates will be cut this month. The market expects a 25 point cut with a 70% probability, if the fed deviates from that, stocks might get volatile.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Timers can show you how much time has passed, hope this helps
Donkov
1 month ago
"Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short" That makes no sense
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Put on a long blonde wig and I’ll think about it
n/a
1 month ago
why you into taylor swift? she's not even pretty. im prettier.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
A lot has changed since 2020
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Stop conducting CSI level analysis of grainy pictures of timers and ask yourself whether Trump is going to let a USD 5 kitchen timer tell him to stop speaking
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Taylor Swift said that?
Eridpnc
1 month ago
God's telling you to sell all your yes at a very cheap price
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If she wants to endorse Kamala it will be obvious
n/a
1 month ago
the problem with this one is the gray area of "endorse", not sure if you saw what happend with RFK.. I want to bet on this one but im scurred
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Does he even have a single podcast below 3 hours? Good thing Trump doesn’t like to ramble or anything
IWillReturn
1 month ago
How tf do we still not know
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Doesn’t matter how many people you saw, as long as Trump gets 13% of their vote
Car
1 month ago
maybe because Kamala Harris is BLACK?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
There simply isn't enough time to make this happen in 2024
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Firoujza seems underpriced, he has a real shot against Nakamura and if he wins his odds will go way up
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Will Barron Trump go to NYU?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Can’t say we didn’t warn the No holders
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The first movie has been in the Top 3 of HBO Max for weeks
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Good reviews and a mostly empty marketplace for movies
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I know
n/a
1 month ago
btw, every party said that they will not work with the AfD
IWillReturn
1 month ago
First preliminary results expected today just after 6pm UTC +2
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Judging by your P&L you have been waiting for the right time for quite a while
n/a
1 month ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Less embarrassing than shit talking on a market you have no stake in
n/a
1 month ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It’s not a normal weekend though. It will be at like 599 by Sunday
ThatGuyMaybe
1 month ago
It will all depend on monday.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
No it wont
ThatGuyMaybe
1 month ago
It will all depend on monday.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
You can buy anytime until the market is resolved, until it’s confirmed that they are or are not in the government
n/a
1 month ago
But the market ends september first, no?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Last polls for Saxony: CDU 33%, AfD 31%, BSW 12%, SPD 7%
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Last polls for Thuringia: AfD 30, CDU 22%, BSW 17%, Linke 14%, SPD 7%, others out
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The market ends on December 31
n/a
1 month ago
But the market ends september first, no?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It’s Joever guys
IWillReturn
1 month ago
https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-next-coup/
IWillReturn
1 month ago
No way he knows the name
n/a
1 month ago
Pavel Durov undervalued no?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Another one (DJ Khaled)
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I don't think he'll go that crazy, there isn't that much time left
n/a
1 month ago
Then why are you betting no on 40+? He’s in pace for 37.8 assuming he doesn’t tweet any more today. If he goes off tomorrow he’ll surely hit 40
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Surely he will have something to say about Kamala's interview
IWillReturn
1 month ago
$2,148,413
Dropper11
1 month ago
Tuesday already released?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
-44% on Monday, -42% on Tuesday.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Cornell already began classes and he wasn't seen there. Columbia begins September 3, but way too many Hamas supporters for Trump. NYU is the only feasible option. He's not going to a college worse than those 3
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Kamala allowed fentanyl into the US due to Gyna
n/a
1 month ago
in what context would he say fentanyl lol?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
"My unrealized gains are in the triple digit millions"
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This is looking promising
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Just fire out a few tweets about Kamala, you know you want to
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Buy Yes then
yojoti
1 month ago
It's pretty damn hard to jail the CEO of social media platform for more than a few days, if he didn't commit any crimes personally. This is france, not some third world lawless country.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If the warrants were issued months ago they have most likely collected a lot of evidence to at least convince the judge in a preliminary hearing
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Buy yes then
tsybka
1 month ago
you have such a mess in your head... lol
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Yes Labor Day is a big movie going day
Makoto
1 month ago
Included Monday (2/9) Box Office right?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I wonder if they will release the internationally wanted political prisoner with ties to a country that declared war on Europe and who’s also accused of facilitating terrorism and CSAM
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Trump wouldn't send his kid to a woke ass college like Columbia
LMNOP
1 month ago
Good catch. Columbia would be my bet as it caters to the very wealthy and elite. Classes start September 3rd.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Can't wait!
5to5000
1 month ago
Sundays also perform better on labor day weekend since people can stay up later
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This
n/a
1 month ago
Hard to pronounce
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Because there's no way on earth Trump will mention him
n/a
1 month ago
why Pavel is cheap?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
All they have to do is read the rules lol
n/a
1 month ago
always shocking to see bagholders who have never heard of xtracker
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Agree fully
Wisdomtime
1 month ago
Ok LOL this is so ridiculously underpriced for YES that I am a bit shamed of polymarket users :D Basically, if you look at any of the major movies that have launched in July or August (like Deadpool), the labour day is basically an extra weekend-day, comparable to ~80% previous week's friday or sunday, which for DP and W is 5M * 80% = 4M. This comes in top of the 7 days that we have left, which will likely yield around 19-21M (55% - 70% of the previous weeks 30M). Unless DW somehow miraculously plummets, this is a clear yes. Like, there is not even competition for the movie -- Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is launching Sep 6, not the next weekend
IWillReturn
1 month ago
"The candidate's will be considered “seated” if the candidates are provided with chairs from which they can conduct debate." what if they are provided a couch?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Told y'all border 5+ was free
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He says border all the time
Lizrael
1 month ago
Trump yes, Vance is a more cautious speaker
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He always tweeted from the toilet at 5am before his Twitter account went corporate
Arbiter-of-Truth
1 month ago
He usually doesn’t start tweeting until around 1400 ET at the earliest
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He tuckered himself out
IWillReturn
1 month ago
When has a woke ever faces consequences for their actions?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He might say it 5 times in a sentence
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He was just shilling his new book a bit
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The French will maybe start looking at this next week
tsybka
1 month ago
The UAE authorities are monitoring Pavel Durov's case and have sent a request to the French government to provide him with consular services, according to a statement from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Manufacturing is guaranteed
factman
1 month ago
does JD even have any guaranteed phrases
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It has 8 days as today's numbers aren't included yet, and Labor Day is a big movie going day, I think this is a near lock
n/a
1 month ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Correct
n/a
1 month ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This is by Monday which is Labor Day
n/a
1 month ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The charges are pretty serious and he's basically a political prisoner
IWillReturn
1 month ago
You're welcome
Bro999
1 month ago
No, it's the amount of shares.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
No morning toilet tweets so far
IWillReturn
1 month ago
With most schools and universities starting again this week or next week, Deadpool weekdays will decrease fast
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Bye
homosexual
1 month ago
And that seals the deal -- I will be using an actually consistent betting site instead from now on!
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Oh look, some free money
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This is free money. A fan driven movie like Deadpool will never catch up to the four quadrant movie Inside Out 2
IWillReturn
1 month ago
But the DNC had celebrities
Spartan37
1 month ago
But why is the question. Kennedy just ended the election.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
What if there was a girl twin who was absorbed in the womb?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
You should see a doctor then
Compliance
1 month ago
He will drop out, i am hearing things
IWillReturn
1 month ago
She is just going to edge the "Yes" holders, just like she is edging the American public when it comes to policies and answers
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Not a resolution source
n/a
1 month ago
5 of his family members have acknowledge his endorsement and commented on it as well. If there was no endorsement then someone needs to contact the media, his family, and RFK himself to let them know.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Nicole Shanahan has confirmed to one of the users here in writing that the Kennedy campaign hasn’t endorsed anyone. Poly market needs to make this right
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This is completely false, the IoC lists Hong Kong separately
n/a
1 month ago
Just to clarify PolyMarket does not care about technicalities with verbiage. If you No sayers were right then China would of won the most gold medals prediction. The IOC recognizes Hong Kong as part of China and list them as so. That prediction clearly worded things by Country and not team. Polymarket did not pay out based on how the rules were written but based off of how the western media publicized things. The media has confirmed and multiple sources have published his endorsement. If that is not true then have them redact that.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Hopefully
0xB28d604F9434467c12DACEF78f10fB876745cf67-1724442052721
1 month ago
Look at the Israel attack Iran market, uma will vote this p4 too
IWillReturn
1 month ago
There will be no polls released in August that were conducted after the DNC
n/a
1 month ago
Has nothing to do with the order book. Harris is going to leap in polls after a very succesful DNC, and RFK half-endorsement wont be enough to counter it. Consequently, the order book MMs will adjust and swing Kamala.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Every heard of Jackie Kennedy?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I endorse xyz
SusanWarren,HR
1 month ago
What would be an example of a formal endorsement?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Bro why don’t you just take your 99% shares and celebrate? This is manic posting
n/a
1 month ago
Breaking News: RFK Jr ends US presidential campaign, endorses Trump - Reuters
IWillReturn
1 month ago
You’re a real one
hillary2win
1 month ago
the NO resolution movement is real. Read the rules. This needs to be properly resolved. Also I sent you $20 for fun enjoy
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He was on fire today
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Read the rules
n/a
1 month ago
sorry guys, no free lunches. turns out reuters wins and the context literally says the market will resolve yes. gg https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Where should we post about it?
432
1 month ago
https://discord.com/invite/uma go to UMA and be active there
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Can someone link to a statement by RFK or one of his representatives stating that he is voting for or formally endorsing Trump?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He should replace him with Kennedy. Trump-Kennedy would be an iconic ticket
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Kari Lake is the special guest for sure
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He's giving it to his wife to save their marriage
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He says it all the time lol
Venoo
1 month ago
no way he says tampon
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If you guys were so confident about RFK "endorsing" him at today's speech, this should be at 99%
IWillReturn
1 month ago
That "Final dispute" button spells certain doom
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Trump is not a reliable source
MOA
1 month ago
Trump just thanked him for the endorsement in his Nevada speech: https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1827064702511591817
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He did not, check the market on which words he used
Spartan37
1 month ago
He didn't say he would vote or endorse Trump, did he?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It seemed like he badly wanted to avoid formally endorsing him
yeamon
1 month ago
RFK went out of his way to not use the word "endorse". He literally told people to vote for him if he's on the ballot. "Support" is not an endorsement. I can support my child's decisions and not endorse them. Poly must close NO.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Lmao people trying to pump "endorse"
IWillReturn
1 month ago
My boss is also an asshole whom I do not endorse
ppsp
1 month ago
Lol the guy is literally gonna be in Trump's administration, yet this is going to resolve to "No". Love the autism of this community, can't make this up xD
IWillReturn
1 month ago
wow embarrassing headline for the WSJ
n/a
1 month ago
he said himself he isn`t droping out
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This will clearly resolve to No
IWillReturn
1 month ago
But he didn't endorse him before the speech, which is in the part of the sentence you cut off
Hunor
1 month ago
Rule: "...He must mention his support of Trump during the address." (it counts as an endorsment)
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This way his wife can say "he never endorsed Trump" and keep her friends at the country club
n/a
1 month ago
3 options: 1) he is trying to squeeze Harris to offer job, 2) he want to continue and just abuse us with this show, 3) he support Trump but is unable to say it clearly
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Expensive lesson coming up
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Oh this is gonna be fun
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Maybe he will still say it but so far I have to agree
Darknight
1 month ago
How the hell is this supposed to be an endorsement. I expect an endorsement to be something like” Pres Trump has my vote and support” if he’s still running then it shouldn’t count
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Plot twist, Trump is dropping out and endorsing RFK
GEEEEG
1 month ago
'With president trumps backing'????
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I agree with the Supreme Leader
n/a
1 month ago
Rules: 1, "announce he will vote for trump" (didnt say that), 2, "formally endorse" (didn't formally endorse)
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I would say something like "I support Trump to become president" should count, but he didn't quite say anything like that (yet)
ppsp
1 month ago
So if I understand correctly, this was a bet on whether or not RFK would say the word "formally" in his speech ?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I have to say he makes many good points
MOA
1 month ago
This guy should be president. Solving real problems, not made up side shows.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He's just like me fr
Wrong19B4rullingEthereumETF
1 month ago
He really hates fat people
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I have to laugh
n/a
1 month ago
https://apnews.com/article/rfk-jr-trump-speech-arizona-a2638f89ddcb5de03edbe4574ca17d45"Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated."
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He's still dragging the fatties
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Donald Trump Jr. isn't a reliable source
n/a
1 month ago
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1827059690225959089
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Drag the fattys, RFK
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He literally said he is not withdrawing his candidacy
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If he keeps waffling there are gonna be fights on here
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I'm just here to listen to him skewering Kamala
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Welcome so much for being here
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If his wife killed him it's still a no
IWillReturn
1 month ago
She doesn't have the je-ne-sais-quoi
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Don't worry "Yes" holders, he will endorse Trump as soon as Trump admits that something he did was a mistake
IWillReturn
1 month ago
First 100% no market ever
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I'm edging
IWillReturn
1 month ago
All his voters will vote Trump anyway, the endorsement wont do much
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Nothing ever happens
k33r0s
1 month ago
For all No holders, what's your reasoning?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Isn't Michigan one of the more precarious swing states for Kamala because of all the anti Israel voters?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
No he was talking about the first rate cut specifically. A lot has changed since July
satoshi sir
1 month ago
Bostic was talking about "for the year" and not about the September meeting. He's talking about the dots, remember at the July meeting they said they would only do 25bps of cuts by December? . Bostic is one of the more hawkish Fed members.. Expecting him to even remotely hint for 50bps of cuts at the Sep meeting..
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The size of the first rate cut — a quarter point or a half point — will depend on the data, Bostic said. If unemployment spikes in an unexpected way, “we have to move bigger,” he said. 50bps gang unite
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said it’s possible that more than one interest-rate cut may now be needed by year-end, shifting his view in the wake of data showing falling inflation and a slowing labor market.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I'm ready to get spanked by the Polymarket whales
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Rumors are saying it will be Russell Brand
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Shocking and surprising
Car
1 month ago
Oh no she didnt come! Who wouldve thought!
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Why would Jew think that?
n/a
1 month ago
Lmao there would more of a chance of her saying comrade than there is Jew
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Cheering for Ukraine isn’t that popular any more
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
It's no secret that she will tackle every issue including foreign policy.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Obviously they monitor what Republicans are saying and adjusting messages accordingly. That's common sense
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Chanel bags maybe
CAPNCOOK
1 month ago
Trying to get a better price on unloading your Abortion no bags?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
is everyone on this website gay then?
n/a
1 month ago
can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Thank you, easy no then. The lady is not singing into a microphone tonight
Car
1 month ago
singing, dancing, doing something artistic. Needs to be an act of entertainment. Her announcing Kamala on stages does not count for example
IWillReturn
1 month ago
What counts as a perfomance?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
A lot of people are saying she will have the most viewers of all time
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Great, that box is checked then, she won’t have to do it again
n/a
1 month ago
The last Speaker mentioned Ceasefire
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Let’s be real the topic just attracts… controversial people. She won’t want it on stage tonight
mattyrice
1 month ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Looking at the speech outline seems quite possible she won’t mention Gaza at all
mattyrice
1 month ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
IWillReturn
1 month ago
We all know it was Bezos
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Conservatives are angry over the planned parenthood truck at DNC
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He said it once, sometimes she says it, sometimes not. She might say it tonight but 80% seems a stretch
factman
1 month ago
Walz didn't avoid it though to be fair.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
The good guys usually get away with it
DementiaDonald
1 month ago
israel just aistriked another guy bro i cant
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I think she’ll avoid abortion because of the “controversy” over the abortion truck. She says it sometimes but she can also talk about it using other terms
IWillReturn
1 month ago
There is no inflation in Ba Sing Se
IWillReturn
1 month ago
casual racism from the Chinese, wish I could say I was surprised
n/a
1 month ago
these monkeys dont have high enough IQ
IWillReturn
1 month ago
She won't say antisemitism as it would immediately spawn 10 Hamas supporters who would give a 1-hour lecture about how "antizionism isn't antisemitism"
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It’s obviously not obvious or else people wouldn’t be arguing about it lol. Whenever the rules say “consensus of credible reporting” you should be careful
rozi
1 month ago
I don't think it's about whales. With the Venezuelan elections, they actually had arguments given that the opposition had copies of official tally sheets. Here, it's different, because it's quite obvious that the arrested were protesting the DNC.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Add “sexual relations” and “oral sex” please
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I was part of the conspiracy to topple Joe Biden. We ended Joe Biden’s career and made sure Joe Biden would be replaced by a younger, more attractive candidate
IWillReturn
1 month ago
This is about to be a shitshow, there will not be a specific account of who was arrested “protesting the DNC” or “protesting something else”. If the media reports any sort of 100+ figure, regardless of what exactly they were protesting, you guys are toast
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I agree, like she's not gonna use the main attack word they have used against Trump in her victory speech?
atrade1
1 month ago
Weird insanely underpriced, gotta be at least 50/50
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Here with me tonight is Doug, my favorite Jew in the world
Slaylorswift
1 month ago
No
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Who thought he would say tampon at a speech about security, bffr
TheOneB
1 month ago
tampon bros losing for the first time?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Keep it simple: he just used Comrade Kamala, so he will remember it. He hasn’t said Zelensky in like a month, so he won’t remember it.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
There’s no way he remembers the name Zelensky off hand
PoLOLitics
1 month ago
Now tell us again about the perfect phone call
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Third World War lmao he is so funny. Thank god he didn’t say Kamala Comrade
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Lfg
n/a
1 month ago
Comrade Kamala yes seems like free lunch money to me but who knows. GLHF
IWillReturn
1 month ago
He just came up with Comrade Kamala, he’s gonna want to try it in public
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Much like Nancy Pelosi, Macron always gets what he wants
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I'm not gonna do it
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Thanks, it's not like he says it very often. But in the context of the DNC I think it makes sense.
factman
1 month ago
So for whatever reason I can't insert any video links, but I checked his speeches on August 7, 10, 13, 17, 18 and 21. He only said the word "debate" on August 7 - "I can't wait to debate the guy" and "I can't wait till the debate".
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Like 2 weeks ago I think, it makes sense he would repeat his greatest hits at the DNC
factman
1 month ago
Last time being how many days ago? Been considering this one but I am unsure how much likely it really would be.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
And he could also talk about Trump backing out of the debates
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
IWillReturn
1 month ago
in his home turf it seems pretty guaranteed, it's like Trump saying Lock Her Up in 2016 or calling Kamala a communist
Anesti
1 month ago
I am conflicted on whether or not he will say weird. I think it is overused and they're looking for new slogans.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Susan, this is inappropriate. Please meet me at the HR office today
SusanWarren,HR
1 month ago
Finally, a real man who understands. Your wife is a lucky woman.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
No surprises there
n/a
1 month ago
im gonna sell... writing this one off as a loss
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Foiled by feminism once again
n/a
1 month ago
he said yes she can, so close but not quite a hit
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was chanting it too. Oh well
Justifax
1 month ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was
Justifax
1 month ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
lol wut
Isucku4currency
1 month ago
Your a fucking idiot. Kill yourself.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
If he didn’t say Yes We Can he must not want to say it for some personal reason
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Seems like they are more interested in musical intermissions
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Finally found a girl that you couldn’t impress, last man on the earth still couldn’t get this
🤺JustKen
1 month ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
That part yes, but the whole “Obama is pulling the strings in the back” is kind of a negative theory on the right
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I don’t think they want to create the impression that Obama and Pelosi are power brokering together, but at 8 cents why not
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
when everybody knows
🤺JustKen
1 month ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Biden said it 25 times, I feel like Obama would say it less
Slaylorswift
1 month ago
hit 149 times and they go\t Obama tonight speaking he will say trump at least 20+ times himself.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Surely they can’t be that obsessed with him? There’s no way
IWillReturn
1 month ago
She says “trump abortion ban” a lot
n/a
1 month ago
I think Kamala is more likely to say female reproductive rights than abortion
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Obamacare: easy mention, healthcare is always relevant, Muslim: way too random, Yes We Can: good value, it’d be like a passing the torch to Kamala moment. Dems love empty gestures like that
IWillReturn
1 month ago
“ “Time is in our favor and the waiting period for this response could be long,” Alimohammad Naini says, referring to retaliation against Israel, and reiterating that “the enemy” should wait for a calculated and accurate response.” lmaoooo