#23
Rank
680
Comments
363
Likes Received
338
Likes Given
Poland Presidential Election
X9504
2 months ago
Will the homoglobalist Polish government ban Mentzen from running?
0
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
X9504
2 months ago
Commies will never win
1
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
X9504
2 months ago
Fuck. From now on I will just always bet on the EU being the biggest globalist homos in existence
1
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
X9504
2 months ago
He will probably drop it today
1
Who will be named in Epstein files by June 30?
X9504
2 months ago
Who is Quinten Tarantino
0
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
X9504
2 months ago
If I were him I'd definitely launch it on the 28th
1
Poland Presidential Election
X9504
2 months ago
Would Poland really vote for an obvious globalist EU plant?
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
It's over please buy my shares
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Keine Sorge die Stimme aller anderen Buerger wird eh auch ignoriert
2
Marat.
2 months ago
aus demokratischer Perspektive irgendwie krass, dass jetzt alle Stimmen von denen verloren sind, weil 0.02% fehlt
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
7.1%
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
PUTIN SEND THE VOTES NOW
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Annalena Baerbock is behind this, I just have to prove it
2
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
Wow, great, a coalition between CDU and SPD. Thanks. That's exactly what we wanted
3
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Mit dem Angriff Meckpomms wird das alles in Ordnung kommen
3
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Counties don't vote, people do
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF FAKE NEWS LUEGENPRESSE WIE IMMER
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Unfortunately not... you can rest now, Leader Mao
0
dommel
2 months ago
did we make it Sarah chan....
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Wait till they google the population of that county in the east
0
Adrien01
2 months ago
Let's be clear: Yes folks are gambling that 1 strong county in the east will offset 14 weak/neutral counties in the west?
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Follow me to get notified when my Alice Weidel - Sarah Wagenknecht Fanfic gets published
3
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Unfortunately it will not be enough for them
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
They keep increasing... you cant stop communism bitch
4
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF still has them at 5.0 as of 0:31
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Proletarii vsekh stran, soedinyaytes'
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Half of Meckpomm still missing
0
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
Yeah if BSW makes it in, this is much easier to do with CSU than the Greens
1
0xd306AC3aEEcFBf9fA2082a125f2f39E7EB7dbe42-1737044280712
2 months ago
the coalition with BSW is undervalued
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Can't stop the Russo-German reunification now bitch!!!!
0
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Ze dream is over comrades... for now
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Dropping to 4.914% it is over
2
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Let the coping begin
4
MAXMSTRMNN
2 months ago
"wins 5% or more of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election" you have to add erststimmen 0.7% and zweitstimmen 4.9%, this is well over 5% so clear YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
No mostly BW and NRW
0
higermany0202
2 months ago
4.909 with 234/299
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF: 5.0% der Staatsfunk luegt mal wieder wie gedruckt
2
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Stop negotiating
2
PoliticsGuy
2 months ago
BSW needs 4.95 to go into the Bundestag
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Now at 4.936%
5
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Yikes, another poor update for Buendnis Sarah Zarenknecht
3
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Niedersachsen, I choose you!
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
Only weak counties for BSW left, it is probably over
2
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
BW and NRW are over 50% of the missing counties...
1
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF Hochrechnung is still at 5.0
0
fl8
2 months ago
No is way underpriced, ARD Hochrechnung is likely very accurate at this point, and official results as of now is probably an upper bound given that the east seems to be overrepresented
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
X9504
2 months ago
4.9999999999999999999999999999999993%
1
CrayonConnoisseur
2 months ago
4.993%
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
4.993% now
3
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
By number, a lot more votes will come from Bavaria still
0
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
New ARD count remains at 4.9% for BSW
1
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
You can see on Bundeswahlleiterin.de
0
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
They are strongest in DDR and most missing votes are from Bavaria and the north
0
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
Which coalition will form the next German government?
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
0
AfD % of vote in German Election? [2% Brackets]
X9504
2 months ago
22-24 seems realistic with the turnout overperformance
2
What will Trump say during State of the Union?
X9504
3 months ago
Add "tampon"
1
AfD % of vote in German Election?
X9504
3 months ago
30% is way too high you will lose your money. Even 25% is a big stretch
1
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?
X9504
3 months ago
Cuomo? Are Democrats retarded?
1
Grammys: Album of the Year
X9504
3 months ago
Billie deserves let's be honest
3
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
X9504
3 months ago
I believe Trump will be too tired to sign the order today
2
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
X9504
3 months ago
BREAKING: Trump willing to stop Canadian tariffs if Trudeau provides a paternity test
4
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
X9504
3 months ago
He can sign it on the golf course
2
Libitum
3 months ago
Just made a degen bet. For Yes to work out it needs that Trump is not going golfing tomorrow and actually signs the damn thing! The 10:1 odds are too juicy to ignore. Odds are probably around 50/50.
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
X9504
3 months ago
Democrats still think screaming louder will win them votes
1
POA
3 months ago
'You glorified it!' Democrat smacks down Kash Patel's scramble to distance self from cop attack
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
X9504
3 months ago
They can't call her racist or sexist so it will be difficult to get anything to stick
3
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
X9504
3 months ago
This is such a nothingburger. They literally say at the beginning of their own hit piece that there is no indication of any wrongdoing. The NYT is such a rag
1
Justifax
3 months ago
More NYT hit pieces. I wonder if they realize this probably ups her chances of confirmation. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/us/politics/tulsi-gabbard-trump-intel-pick-watch-list.html
TikTok sale announced before April?
X9504
3 months ago
Everyone already forgot about TikTok
1
donedone
3 months ago
If Trump doesn't broker a deal, he will be forced to ban TikTok (remember, TikTok is still halted and under a temporary suspension). This could cause him to lose the majority of the youth vote, which his party cannot afford to let happen.
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?
X9504
3 months ago
It would be very racist if Democrats vote against the confirmation of an indigenous Polynesian woman of color
7
Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?
X9504
4 months ago
Why would they pick the woman who played a major role in the worst Canadian government of all time??
0
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
X9504
4 months ago
So what, Michelle just sits at home and huffs while Barack is out partying?
1
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
5 months ago
His fragile husk is held together by the pure spite he feels for Kamala
3
Germany Parliamentary Election Winner
X9504
5 months ago
Inshallah AfD
12
Premier League Winner
X9504
5 months ago
To reiterate, Man City no
2
Premier League: Which teams will be relegated?
X9504
6 months ago
Man City yes
0
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
Where strike?
0
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?
X9504
6 months ago
It's not his job to evaluate fictitious policies that are not in place or even detailed out yet
3
leszcz
6 months ago
everyone's gonna be asking about inflationary pressure of tariffs, 5+ tariffs is free money
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
But Axios told me the attack will have taken place last week?
0
Premier League Winner
X9504
6 months ago
Man city no
2
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
X9504
6 months ago
Most of the missing votes are from blue states and especially California
2
0x79E641fc0920498Ba9eA5F2398E23A61A84417b4-1730576812696
6 months ago
Per ChatGPT, As of November 8, 2024, with 99% of votes counted, Donald Trump leads the popular vote with 50.7% to Kamala Harris 47.7%, a 3-point margin. The figures include all candidates, and with 1% of votes left, the margin is unlikely to change significantly, possibly shifting by 0.1 to 0.2 points. Trump lead should remain around 3%, ending between 2.8% and 3.2%. always dyor
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
Yes shares are on sale
0
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
Buy more cheap yes
0
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
The way you exited your position immediately lmao
1
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
Would austere religious scholar Khamenei lie?
0
Donkov
6 months ago
Dont think they want to poke the bear with Trump winning
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
X9504
6 months ago
Daddy Trump will not allow it
3
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
X9504
6 months ago
Congrats dude
0
X9504
6 months ago
But, but, the polls? I was told this was impossible
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
X9504
6 months ago
But, but, the polls? I was told this was impossible
2
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
X9504
6 months ago
Seems extremely statistically unlikely
3
'Venom: The Last Dance' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
6 months ago
It is over little buddy
0
sosuke
6 months ago
could go either way 45-53m or 53-61m anyone betting on either of these is just gambling at the moment, even experts can't tell, what makes you think you can, 91c on 45-53m is only because the market's illiquid, keep aping !
'Venom: The Last Dance' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
6 months ago
70m is dead bro
0
Miendrew
6 months ago
off-shore box office is way up expectations, the reviews describe it as the best of the 3 and multiple for previews of the last 2 movies is 7.8. We just need a 7% increase in walkups from word of mouth and we are good. No way this is only 10% possibility.
'Venom: The Last Dance' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
6 months ago
Same preview multiplier as The Marvels would put it under 55
0
Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?
X9504
7 months ago
“ or photographs showing Harris working at a McDonald's” what if she copies Trumps PR stunt and goes there now?
3
WR Chess Masters Cup Winner
X9504
7 months ago
Arjun is on fire, Alireza not so much
1
'Terrifier 3' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
7 months ago
It'll be a treat for the toddlers
2
SaulG
7 months ago
Taking the entire family tonight...Kids and all. Happy Halloween
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
X9504
7 months ago
But, but… the mainstream media told me that the evil juuuus want to take over??
0
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
X9504
7 months ago
Per Bloomberg Israel has not yet finalized the plan
2
What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?
X9504
7 months ago
Holy shit
0
yevh97
7 months ago
Nice pnl bro
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
X9504
7 months ago
Israelis are patient
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
i dont understand this sale at all. yesterday was Jewish new year, it was completely clear to me that if they attack, they will do it tonight. Thougt people would appreciate that with their 50% evaluation, apparently they did not. Important: This is until 06:59am of 4th of October due to different time zone. Im Hyped.
What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?
X9504
7 months ago
He actually says tampon a lot
0
JackBauerPowerHour
7 months ago
He never mentions Tim Walz… but given that he’s going to be recapping the vp debate at least a little bit… I bet we get a “I can him tampon Tim.” Tim Walz is too boring a name for trump to say the full thing
What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?
X9504
7 months ago
This is a rally, he almost always says Comrade Kamala at those
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Better luck next time guys
0
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
X9504
7 months ago
No one cares
0
KovacNationalism
7 months ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
X9504
7 months ago
Every poll so far has them in a dead tie. All republicans will say Vance won, and all Democrats will say Walz won
7
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
X9504
7 months ago
The only thing that matters
3
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
The vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance on October 2, 2024, ended with no clear winner according to post-debate polls. A CNN instant poll showed a near-even split, with 51% of viewers believing Vance performed better and 49% favoring Walz. A POLITICO/Focaldata snap poll also indicated a 50-50 division among voters on who won the debate, reflecting the country's polarized politics. A CBS survey found similar divisions, with 42% of viewers believing Vance emerged victorious, 41% siding with Walz, and 17% viewing it as a tie.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
X9504
7 months ago
You're assuming that people respond to polls based on reality
4
Clenc
7 months ago
because we watched a 2 hour debate where Vance made you want to vote for his candidate
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
X9504
7 months ago
Yeah I'd say it's 50-50, maybe a small advantage for Vance
3
aenews2
7 months ago
I don't understand why people are so confident about this, could land either way
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
X9504
7 months ago
Lol
0
Apsalar
7 months ago
rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
X9504
7 months ago
Why would he mention a Hurricane in Wisconsin
1
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
X9504
7 months ago
You can live bet all of them
0
MaccabeanSoldier
7 months ago
Can you live bet the border or any other markets?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Would the German media lie?
0
McLarry
7 months ago
@Ken: That was a lot of blah blah, you could have just said, “no, even if troops are in Lebanon, I will continue to argue for no”. But I can answer your question directly: all German media are reporting about ground troops in Lebanon even the ones with reporters in Beirut, so yes, you've lost your mind.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Or clearing your cache
0
Poseidon.gmb
7 months ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
It is a bug, try in incognito mode
0
Poseidon.gmb
7 months ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
What is ME Forum? Al Jazeera, NYT, ABC, WashPo, Bloomberg, none of them call it invasion
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
For example?
0
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Most media are calling it an invasion.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
2
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
He plays both sides
1
n/a
7 months ago
lol did you forget what side you are on?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Report: US voicing concern limited Israeli ground op may transform into 'something larger'
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
MTV Lebanon and Al Jazeera both confirming
3
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Let him rest for his final months
2
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
If every headline reports that Israel is invading it won’t matter
0
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Front page
0
Hamurabi
7 months ago
Really? Link?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Confirmed by NYT
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
No
0
Rassska
7 months ago
did it get resolved?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Another successful scam
1
Car
7 months ago
Nobody is gonna dispute this with the current evidence we have. Sorry NO holders, but its a YES
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Polymarket resolves based on headline vibes
2
Caligulas.dog
7 months ago
I sold my no at a 50 % loss and think this will resolve to yes, but in fairness to all the holders, so far the reports have not confirmed COMBAT OPERATIONS.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
It’s Joever
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
Seems pretty clear
1
X9504
7 months ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
The problem is nowadays all media copy each other. The WSJ made a report and Times of Israel and Telegraph both cited that same report. Suddenly you have consensus
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
X9504
7 months ago
It’s over, Polymarket always resolves based on headline vibes
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
X9504
7 months ago
People need to stop listening to the mainstream media
0
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
X9504
7 months ago
Sorry you were wrong
0
Bohemian
7 months ago
If you call this free money, then I understand your negative overall profit... 😒
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
X9504
7 months ago
fpo wins if there is a tie in seats
0
Bohemian
7 months ago
Can you explain me, what is so interesting in rules?
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
X9504
7 months ago
Free money if you read the rules
1
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
X9504
7 months ago
Whenever someone proposes, should be very soon
0
aLaT
7 months ago
when review start??
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
X9504
7 months ago
The border giveth and the border taketh away
0
aLaT
7 months ago
border guys get smoked LOL
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
X9504
7 months ago
He has like never said this lol
2
n/a
7 months ago
wen bitcoin
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
X9504
7 months ago
Thanks
0
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
4
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
X9504
7 months ago
Border count anyone?
1
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
X9504
7 months ago
Just put the fries in the bag bro
2
n/a
7 months ago
If the question is "Will Israel invade Lebanon?" The answer is a clear and obvious yes. Israel's entire goal is expansion, using the same playbook, tactics and justifications that they used in Gaza. "They're using human shields, our war is with Hezbollah/Hamas, not you, citizens of Gaza/Lebanon!" While they target any and everyone. Hospitals, apartment complexes, etc. Even going so far as to say "Lebanon cannot technically be classified as a sovereign nation. They're repeating Gaza. That much is not up for debate. What is, however is the timeframe. Will they put boots on the ground, tanks, etc within the next 40 so days? With the rate they're escalating, I would be surprised if the answer was no. The US is sending troops to the region as we speak. A wider war is brewing, one that the US is likely getting itself pulled into. Israel is already talking about establishing control of a buffer zone within Lebanon. And you have the anniversary of October 7th on just a couple of weeks. If a major push isn't made before this date, It likely will on the 7th. Why is the US sending troops? To protect Israel. From what? An attack/push from Hezbollah. Israel's only move against this is to establish a buffer zone ASAP, which they will do.
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Those are like all his favorite topics bro lmao
1
BlitzDaTweetGod
8 months ago
Can’t believe I really bailed on the one winner and piled into all losers lol 💀
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Him rating his own nicknames for Kamala is so funny
3
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Like a thousand
1
idfkanything
8 months ago
Does anyone have a border count?
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
He's bringing out all the oldies for this one
1
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Just send everyone to bed at this point
1
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
X9504
8 months ago
He’s not gonna say it
0
BlitzDaTweetGod
8 months ago
Bigger question is why TF is moderator at .17c lol
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
X9504
8 months ago
20 minutes
1
ShizWizard
8 months ago
Anybody know roughly how long till we get final results? (Noon ET?)
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
X9504
8 months ago
This is a spanking
0
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
It will drop below 95
0
sosuke
8 months ago
Alright 44m previews estimate scared me yesterday and I had to sell of 105m+ no shares I held since 20c, but now the official number is 41.5m on Friday, there is no way this is doing 105m + anymore, 95-105 is the bet here for anyone new
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
X9504
8 months ago
You don’t need a reason to pardon someone as President
1
MissionDreamer
8 months ago
The key point is that he doesn't have a valid reason for a pardon.
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
You’re doing amazing sweetie
2
YoungGriff
8 months ago
The shear amount of retarded comments I’m reading from people that share my positions has me deeply concerned that I’m on the wrong side.
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
Could honestly see Hikaru choking
1
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
X9504
8 months ago
Didn’t think it’d be this close lol
1
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Warner Bros.’ Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is eyeing a $38M first day at this point in time, which includes previews, on its way to a $90M-$95M opening. There is a path to $40M-plus today and $100M-plus for the weekend, however, that all hinges on the continued momentum of walk-up business.
1
2024 September hottest on record?
X9504
8 months ago
The hot weather prompted delays to the start of the new school year in some Chinese cities. State media reported on Tuesday that some schools and universities in Jiangxi, Chongqing, and Sichuan provinces had pushed the return to school out to 9 September, citing high temperatures.
3
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
X9504
8 months ago
Great games
2
MrNFT
8 months ago
VEry exciting hikaru vs firouzja
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Everyone claims they have knowledge on here :)
0
n/a
8 months ago
Do you have knowledge in box office and stuff?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
That’s his opinion, maybe he’s right. If you assume lots of of families will give it walk up business on the weekend, it’s possible
0
n/a
8 months ago
But why is this professional analyst coming up with 105m to 115m? https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Dune 2 is a good comp in my opinion
1
n/a
8 months ago
yeah... so more or less comparable, no?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Just finding comparable movies. 95+ is possible in theory but it’s a sequel so you’d expect more front loading
0
n/a
8 months ago
Oh really not more than that... I was more between 95m and 105m. What methodology do you use for your estimates?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
0
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Assuming my Thursday estimate is correct, 80-90m looks right. Will depend on the Saturday bump
0
n/a
8 months ago
How much would you estimate the OW domestic figure?
2024 September hottest on record?
X9504
8 months ago
September 2023 was pretty insanely hot but 2024 is off to a solid start
2
Sever
8 months ago
Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
0
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
Several CDU politicians and members have spoken out against a coalition with BSW. Not saying this is very likely but a coalition with Afd is still in the cards (but definitely a long shot)
1
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?
X9504
8 months ago
US job openings fell in July to the lowest since the start of 2021 and layoffs rose, consistent with other signs of slowing demand for workers. Available positions decreased to 7.67 million from a downwardly revised 7.91 million reading in the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS, showed Wednesday. The figure was lower than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?
X9504
8 months ago
The White House is scrambling to put forward a new proposal for a Gaza ceasefire and the release of hostages by Hamas in the coming days, two US officials, two Egyptian security sources and an official with knowledge of the matter tell Reuters. The new proposal aims to work out the major sticking points behind a months-long impasse in talks
1
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
X9504
8 months ago
That’s not gonna be reflected in the polls but I think your odds are decent
0
plsplspls
8 months ago
If Trump's speech on the 4th goes well, I can make some extra money :)
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Just keep them it is not hitting 105
0
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Putting all on red is gambling just as much as putting all on “0”
1
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
So are you
0
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
They are just betting against the market because IF they happen to be right it would be massive profits. In other words, they are gambling
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Using this to hedge the loss of my own job
12
·
Liked by Donkov, 0xE42c9d2e... and 10 others
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Bro if I had insight into Apples books I would be buying options, not Polymarket shares lmao
0
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
Who will speak more at the debate?
X9504
8 months ago
Is this info usually released by the channel?
0
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
1) Extremely high expectations for Apples upgrade cycle, meaning their event next Monday has to go flawlessly 2) Potential for China troubles, further market share gains for Huawei or government regulation punishing Apple 3) MSFT being one of the few companies that actually make money with AI, as opposed to Apple 4) Apple valuation is out of whack, same PE as Microsoft despite much slower growth of both revenue and profit
0
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
We will see
0
sosuke
8 months ago
they are forecasting 110m+ brah
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
Joker 2 seems slightly divisive, even though it never really stood a chance in the first place
1
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
85-95m looks very doable. Maybe below 85m if I’m lucky
2
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Thanks for the free money
3
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Apple can only lose. Microsoft is already making money hand over fist from AI
0
Car
8 months ago
We are smarter than them
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Down to a 275b difference now
0
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Huge iPhone upgrade cycle for Apple is priced in, so if their showcase is anything less than exceptional it will be bad for them
0
2024 September hottest on record?
X9504
8 months ago
It is really warm
5
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Brown boy then why are you No on greater than 105m?
0
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
This has always been about Microsoft and Apple
2
DoughJones
8 months ago
This fella is most likely out of race, at least for this one...(Nvidia Reportedly Subpoenaed By Justice Department As Antitrust Probe Intensifies) Down 9,53% in a day.. Largest cap loss in its history.
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
My estimate
0
Lkeprfuh
8 months ago
source?
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
0
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Lmao the pump and dump
0
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
X9504
8 months ago
It’s out in 70 minutes
0
Ilyassbk
8 months ago
is the video out ?
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
If the price is right
1
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
@saylorgiftfromgod Do you have anymore capital to buy ? I just increased my buy orders.
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
X9504
8 months ago
And if Lex yaps for 17 minutes at the end of
0
MrNFT
8 months ago
Easy no. Use an AI upscaler. It shows 1:17 very clearly
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
X9504
8 months ago
Why would a fed cut that is fully expected effect Apple differently than Microsoft?
0
CheerfulPessimist
8 months ago
Interest rates will be cut this month. The market expects a 25 point cut with a 70% probability, if the fed deviates from that, stocks might get volatile.
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
X9504
8 months ago
Timers can show you how much time has passed, hope this helps
0
Donkov
8 months ago
"Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short" That makes no sense
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Put on a long blonde wig and I’ll think about it
0
XiJinPing
8 months ago
why you into taylor swift? she's not even pretty. im prettier.
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
X9504
8 months ago
A lot has changed since 2020
4
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
X9504
8 months ago
Stop conducting CSI level analysis of grainy pictures of timers and ask yourself whether Trump is going to let a USD 5 kitchen timer tell him to stop speaking
1
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Taylor Swift said that?
1
Eridpnc
8 months ago
God's telling you to sell all your yes at a very cheap price
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
X9504
8 months ago
If she wants to endorse Kamala it will be obvious
2
babendums
8 months ago
the problem with this one is the gray area of "endorse", not sure if you saw what happend with RFK.. I want to bet on this one but im scurred
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
X9504
8 months ago
Does he even have a single podcast below 3 hours? Good thing Trump doesn’t like to ramble or anything
1
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
How tf do we still not know
1
Trump gets more black voters in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
Doesn’t matter how many people you saw, as long as Trump gets 13% of their vote
2
Car
8 months ago
maybe because Kamala Harris is BLACK?
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
There simply isn't enough time to make this happen in 2024
1
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
X9504
8 months ago
Firoujza seems underpriced, he has a real shot against Nakamura and if he wins his odds will go way up
4
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Will Barron Trump go to NYU?
0
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
Can’t say we didn’t warn the No holders
0
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
The first movie has been in the Top 3 of HBO Max for weeks
1
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
X9504
8 months ago
Good reviews and a mostly empty marketplace for movies
1
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
I know
0
johann04
8 months ago
btw, every party said that they will not work with the AfD
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
First preliminary results expected today just after 6pm UTC +2
0
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Judging by your P&L you have been waiting for the right time for quite a while
3
XiJinPing
8 months ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Less embarrassing than shit talking on a market you have no stake in
2
XiJinPing
8 months ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
It’s not a normal weekend though. It will be at like 599 by Sunday
0
Borgo
8 months ago
It will all depend on monday.
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
No it wont
1
Borgo
8 months ago
It will all depend on monday.
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
You can buy anytime until the market is resolved, until it’s confirmed that they are or are not in the government
1
Nasa531
8 months ago
But the market ends september first, no?
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
Last polls for Saxony: CDU 33%, AfD 31%, BSW 12%, SPD 7%
0
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
Last polls for Thuringia: AfD 30, CDU 22%, BSW 17%, Linke 14%, SPD 7%, others out
0
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
The market ends on December 31
0
Nasa531
8 months ago
But the market ends september first, no?
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
It’s Joever guys
2
Will Germany's AfD make it into government?
X9504
8 months ago
https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-next-coup/
0
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
X9504
8 months ago
No way he knows the name
1
FinkBig
8 months ago
Pavel Durov undervalued no?
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
Another one (DJ Khaled)
0
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
I don't think he'll go that crazy, there isn't that much time left
0
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
Then why are you betting no on 40+? He’s in pace for 37.8 assuming he doesn’t tweet any more today. If he goes off tomorrow he’ll surely hit 40
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
Surely he will have something to say about Kamala's interview
0
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
$2,148,413
1
Dropper11
8 months ago
Tuesday already released?
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
-44% on Monday, -42% on Tuesday.
0
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Cornell already began classes and he wasn't seen there. Columbia begins September 3, but way too many Hamas supporters for Trump. NYU is the only feasible option. He's not going to a college worse than those 3
2
What will JD Vance say during Pennsylvania rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Kamala allowed fentanyl into the US due to Gyna
0
n/a
8 months ago
in what context would he say fentanyl lol?
What will Kamala say during CNN interview?
X9504
8 months ago
"My unrealized gains are in the triple digit millions"
1
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
This is looking promising
0
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
Just fire out a few tweets about Kamala, you know you want to
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Buy Yes then
0
yojoti
8 months ago
It's pretty damn hard to jail the CEO of social media platform for more than a few days, if he didn't commit any crimes personally. This is france, not some third world lawless country.
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
If the warrants were issued months ago they have most likely collected a lot of evidence to at least convince the judge in a preliminary hearing
4
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Buy yes then
0
tsybka
8 months ago
you have such a mess in your head... lol
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
Yes Labor Day is a big movie going day
0
Ania-chan
8 months ago
Included Monday (2/9) Box Office right?
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
I wonder if they will release the internationally wanted political prisoner with ties to a country that declared war on Europe and who’s also accused of facilitating terrorism and CSAM
0
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Trump wouldn't send his kid to a woke ass college like Columbia
0
LMNOP
8 months ago
Good catch. Columbia would be my bet as it caters to the very wealthy and elite. Classes start September 3rd.
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
Can't wait!
0
5to5000
8 months ago
Sundays also perform better on labor day weekend since people can stay up later
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
X9504
8 months ago
This
0
n/a
8 months ago
Hard to pronounce
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
X9504
8 months ago
Because there's no way on earth Trump will mention him
1
n/a
8 months ago
why Pavel is cheap?
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
All they have to do is read the rules lol
0
getLeGold
8 months ago
always shocking to see bagholders who have never heard of xtracker
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
Agree fully
0
Wisdomtime
8 months ago
Ok LOL this is so ridiculously underpriced for YES that I am a bit shamed of polymarket users :D Basically, if you look at any of the major movies that have launched in July or August (like Deadpool), the labour day is basically an extra weekend-day, comparable to ~80% previous week's friday or sunday, which for DP and W is 5M * 80% = 4M. This comes in top of the 7 days that we have left, which will likely yield around 19-21M (55% - 70% of the previous weeks 30M). Unless DW somehow miraculously plummets, this is a clear yes. Like, there is not even competition for the movie -- Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is launching Sep 6, not the next weekend
Candidates seated at ABC debate?
X9504
8 months ago
"The candidate's will be considered “seated” if the candidates are provided with chairs from which they can conduct debate." what if they are provided a couch?
2
What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Told y'all border 5+ was free
2
What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?
X9504
8 months ago
He says border all the time
0
Lizrael
8 months ago
Trump yes, Vance is a more cautious speaker
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
He always tweeted from the toilet at 5am before his Twitter account went corporate
1
Arbiter-of-Truth
8 months ago
He usually doesn’t start tweeting until around 1400 ET at the earliest
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
He tuckered himself out
0
Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6?
X9504
8 months ago
When has a woke ever faces consequences for their actions?
0
What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?
X9504
8 months ago
He might say it 5 times in a sentence
1
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
He was just shilling his new book a bit
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
The French will maybe start looking at this next week
2
tsybka
8 months ago
The UAE authorities are monitoring Pavel Durov's case and have sent a request to the French government to provide him with consular services, according to a statement from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?
X9504
8 months ago
Manufacturing is guaranteed
0
factman
8 months ago
does JD even have any guaranteed phrases
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
It has 8 days as today's numbers aren't included yet, and Labor Day is a big movie going day, I think this is a near lock
0
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
Correct
0
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?
X9504
8 months ago
This is by Monday which is Labor Day
0
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
Pavel Durov released in August?
X9504
8 months ago
The charges are pretty serious and he's basically a political prisoner
5
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
You're welcome
0
Bro999
8 months ago
No, it's the amount of shares.
Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?
X9504
8 months ago
No morning toilet tweets so far
0
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
With most schools and universities starting again this week or next week, Deadpool weekdays will decrease fast
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Bye
4
homosexual
8 months ago
And that seals the deal -- I will be using an actually consistent betting site instead from now on!
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Oh look, some free money
1
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
X9504
8 months ago
This is free money. A fan driven movie like Deadpool will never catch up to the four quadrant movie Inside Out 2
1
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
8 months ago
But the DNC had celebrities
0
Spartan37
8 months ago
But why is the question. Kennedy just ended the election.
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
X9504
8 months ago
What if there was a girl twin who was absorbed in the womb?
0
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
8 months ago
You should see a doctor then
14
·
Liked by n/a, BlueSky123 and 12 others
Compliance
9 months ago
He will drop out, i am hearing things
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
8 months ago
She is just going to edge the "Yes" holders, just like she is edging the American public when it comes to policies and answers
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Not a resolution source
3
n/a
8 months ago
5 of his family members have acknowledge his endorsement and commented on it as well. If there was no endorsement then someone needs to contact the media, his family, and RFK himself to let them know.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Nicole Shanahan has confirmed to one of the users here in writing that the Kennedy campaign hasn’t endorsed anyone. Poly market needs to make this right
9
·
Liked by XiJinPing, EmpirePend... and 7 others
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
This is completely false, the IoC lists Hong Kong separately
1
n/a
8 months ago
Just to clarify PolyMarket does not care about technicalities with verbiage. If you No sayers were right then China would of won the most gold medals prediction. The IOC recognizes Hong Kong as part of China and list them as so. That prediction clearly worded things by Country and not team. Polymarket did not pay out based on how the rules were written but based off of how the western media publicized things. The media has confirmed and multiple sources have published his endorsement. If that is not true then have them redact that.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
8 months ago
Hopefully
1
0xB28d604F9434467c12DACEF78f10fB876745cf67-1724442052721
8 months ago
Look at the Israel attack Iran market, uma will vote this p4 too
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
8 months ago
There will be no polls released in August that were conducted after the DNC
0
L114
9 months ago
Has nothing to do with the order book. Harris is going to leap in polls after a very succesful DNC, and RFK half-endorsement wont be enough to counter it. Consequently, the order book MMs will adjust and swing Kamala.
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
X9504
9 months ago
Every heard of Jackie Kennedy?
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I endorse xyz
0
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
What would be an example of a formal endorsement?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Bro why don’t you just take your 99% shares and celebrate? This is manic posting
1
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
Breaking News: RFK Jr ends US presidential campaign, endorses Trump - Reuters
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
You’re a real one
2
hillary2win
9 months ago
the NO resolution movement is real. Read the rules. This needs to be properly resolved. Also I sent you $20 for fun enjoy
What will Trump say during Arizona speech?
X9504
9 months ago
He was on fire today
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Read the rules
7
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
sorry guys, no free lunches. turns out reuters wins and the context literally says the market will resolve yes. gg https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Where should we post about it?
1
432
9 months ago
https://discord.com/invite/uma go to UMA and be active there
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Can someone link to a statement by RFK or one of his representatives stating that he is voting for or formally endorsing Trump?
9
·
Liked by XiJinPing, aenews2 and 7 others
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
He should replace him with Kennedy. Trump-Kennedy would be an iconic ticket
3
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Kari Lake is the special guest for sure
0
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
X9504
9 months ago
He's giving it to his wife to save their marriage
2
What will Trump say during Arizona speech?
X9504
9 months ago
He says it all the time lol
1
Venoo
9 months ago
no way he says tampon
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
If you guys were so confident about RFK "endorsing" him at today's speech, this should be at 99%
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
That "Final dispute" button spells certain doom
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Trump is not a reliable source
0
MOA
9 months ago
Trump just thanked him for the endorsement in his Nevada speech: https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1827064702511591817
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
He did not, check the market on which words he used
0
Spartan37
9 months ago
He didn't say he would vote or endorse Trump, did he?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
It seemed like he badly wanted to avoid formally endorsing him
1
yeamon
9 months ago
RFK went out of his way to not use the word "endorse". He literally told people to vote for him if he's on the ballot. "Support" is not an endorsement. I can support my child's decisions and not endorse them. Poly must close NO.
What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao people trying to pump "endorse"
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
My boss is also an asshole whom I do not endorse
2
ppsp
9 months ago
Lol the guy is literally gonna be in Trump's administration, yet this is going to resolve to "No". Love the autism of this community, can't make this up xD
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
wow embarrassing headline for the WSJ
1
asdf4
9 months ago
he said himself he isn`t droping out
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
This will clearly resolve to No
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
But he didn't endorse him before the speech, which is in the part of the sentence you cut off
1
Hunor
9 months ago
Rule: "...He must mention his support of Trump during the address." (it counts as an endorsment)
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
This way his wife can say "he never endorsed Trump" and keep her friends at the country club
3
GreedyMacFear
9 months ago
3 options: 1) he is trying to squeeze Harris to offer job, 2) he want to continue and just abuse us with this show, 3) he support Trump but is unable to say it clearly
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Expensive lesson coming up
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Oh this is gonna be fun
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe he will still say it but so far I have to agree
0
Darknight
9 months ago
How the hell is this supposed to be an endorsement. I expect an endorsement to be something like” Pres Trump has my vote and support” if he’s still running then it shouldn’t count
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Plot twist, Trump is dropping out and endorsing RFK
4
GEEEEG
9 months ago
'With president trumps backing'????
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I agree with the Supreme Leader
3
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Rules: 1, "announce he will vote for trump" (didnt say that), 2, "formally endorse" (didn't formally endorse)
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I would say something like "I support Trump to become president" should count, but he didn't quite say anything like that (yet)
0
ppsp
9 months ago
So if I understand correctly, this was a bet on whether or not RFK would say the word "formally" in his speech ?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
I have to say he makes many good points
2
MOA
9 months ago
This guy should be president. Solving real problems, not made up side shows.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
He's just like me fr
1
Wrong19B4rullingEthereumETF
9 months ago
He really hates fat people
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I have to laugh
1
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
https://apnews.com/article/rfk-jr-trump-speech-arizona-a2638f89ddcb5de03edbe4574ca17d45"Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated."
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
He's still dragging the fatties
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Donald Trump Jr. isn't a reliable source
0
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1827059690225959089
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Drag the fattys, RFK
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
X9504
9 months ago
He literally said he is not withdrawing his candidacy
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
If he keeps waffling there are gonna be fights on here
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm just here to listen to him skewering Kamala
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
Welcome so much for being here
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
X9504
9 months ago
If his wife killed him it's still a no
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
9 months ago
She doesn't have the je-ne-sais-quoi
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Don't worry "Yes" holders, he will endorse Trump as soon as Trump admits that something he did was a mistake
0
Will Trump admit 'Operation Warp Speed' was his fault?
X9504
9 months ago
First 100% no market ever
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm edging
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
All his voters will vote Trump anyway, the endorsement wont do much
2
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Nothing ever happens
0
k33r0s
9 months ago
For all No holders, what's your reasoning?
Michigan Presidential Election Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Isn't Michigan one of the more precarious swing states for Kamala because of all the anti Israel voters?
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
X9504
9 months ago
No he was talking about the first rate cut specifically. A lot has changed since July
1
satoshi sir
9 months ago
Bostic was talking about "for the year" and not about the September meeting. He's talking about the dots, remember at the July meeting they said they would only do 25bps of cuts by December? . Bostic is one of the more hawkish Fed members.. Expecting him to even remotely hint for 50bps of cuts at the Sep meeting..
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
X9504
9 months ago
The size of the first rate cut — a quarter point or a half point — will depend on the data, Bostic said. If unemployment spikes in an unexpected way, “we have to move bigger,” he said. 50bps gang unite
1
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
X9504
9 months ago
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said it’s possible that more than one interest-rate cut may now be needed by year-end, shifting his view in the wake of data showing falling inflation and a slowing labor market.
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm ready to get spanked by the Polymarket whales
3
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Rumors are saying it will be Russell Brand
1
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Shocking and surprising
0
Car
9 months ago
Oh no she didnt come! Who wouldve thought!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Why would Jew think that?
4
n/a
9 months ago
Lmao there would more of a chance of her saying comrade than there is Jew
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Cheering for Ukraine isn’t that popular any more
1
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
It's no secret that she will tackle every issue including foreign policy.
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Obviously they monitor what Republicans are saying and adjusting messages accordingly. That's common sense
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Chanel bags maybe
1
CAPNCOOK
9 months ago
Trying to get a better price on unloading your Abortion no bags?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
is everyone on this website gay then?
1
minji
9 months ago
can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Thank you, easy no then. The lady is not singing into a microphone tonight
0
Car
9 months ago
singing, dancing, doing something artistic. Needs to be an act of entertainment. Her announcing Kamala on stages does not count for example
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
What counts as a perfomance?
0
How many viewers will Kamala's DNC speech get?
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of people are saying she will have the most viewers of all time
1
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Great, that box is checked then, she won’t have to do it again
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
The last Speaker mentioned Ceasefire
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Let’s be real the topic just attracts… controversial people. She won’t want it on stage tonight
0
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Looking at the speech outline seems quite possible she won’t mention Gaza at all
0
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?
X9504
9 months ago
We all know it was Bezos
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Conservatives are angry over the planned parenthood truck at DNC
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
He said it once, sometimes she says it, sometimes not. She might say it tonight but 80% seems a stretch
2
factman
9 months ago
Walz didn't avoid it though to be fair.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
The good guys usually get away with it
2
PokerBrat
9 months ago
israel just aistriked another guy bro i cant
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I think she’ll avoid abortion because of the “controversy” over the abortion truck. She says it sometimes but she can also talk about it using other terms
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
There is no inflation in Ba Sing Se
2
Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?
X9504
9 months ago
casual racism from the Chinese, wish I could say I was surprised
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
these monkeys dont have high enough IQ
What will Nancy Pelosi say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She won't say antisemitism as it would immediately spawn 10 Hamas supporters who would give a 1-hour lecture about how "antizionism isn't antisemitism"
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
It’s obviously not obvious or else people wouldn’t be arguing about it lol. Whenever the rules say “consensus of credible reporting” you should be careful
0
mr.ozi
9 months ago
I don't think it's about whales. With the Venezuelan elections, they actually had arguments given that the opposition had copies of official tally sheets. Here, it's different, because it's quite obvious that the arrested were protesting the DNC.
What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Add “sexual relations” and “oral sex” please
0
What will Nancy Pelosi say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I was part of the conspiracy to topple Joe Biden. We ended Joe Biden’s career and made sure Joe Biden would be replaced by a younger, more attractive candidate
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
This is about to be a shitshow, there will not be a specific account of who was arrested “protesting the DNC” or “protesting something else”. If the media reports any sort of 100+ figure, regardless of what exactly they were protesting, you guys are toast
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I agree, like she's not gonna use the main attack word they have used against Trump in her victory speech?
2
atrade1
9 months ago
Weird insanely underpriced, gotta be at least 50/50
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Here with me tonight is Doug, my favorite Jew in the world
0
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
No
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Who thought he would say tampon at a speech about security, bffr
2
TheOneB
9 months ago
tampon bros losing for the first time?
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Keep it simple: he just used Comrade Kamala, so he will remember it. He hasn’t said Zelensky in like a month, so he won’t remember it.
3
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
There’s no way he remembers the name Zelensky off hand
0
PoLOLitics
9 months ago
Now tell us again about the perfect phone call
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Third World War lmao he is so funny. Thank god he didn’t say Kamala Comrade
5
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Lfg
0
n/a
9 months ago
Comrade Kamala yes seems like free lunch money to me but who knows. GLHF
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
He just came up with Comrade Kamala, he’s gonna want to try it in public
0
Next French Prime Minister
X9504
9 months ago
Much like Nancy Pelosi, Macron always gets what he wants
2
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm not gonna do it
5
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks, it's not like he says it very often. But in the context of the DNC I think it makes sense.
2
factman
9 months ago
So for whatever reason I can't insert any video links, but I checked his speeches on August 7, 10, 13, 17, 18 and 21. He only said the word "debate" on August 7 - "I can't wait to debate the guy" and "I can't wait till the debate".
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Like 2 weeks ago I think, it makes sense he would repeat his greatest hits at the DNC
0
factman
9 months ago
Last time being how many days ago? Been considering this one but I am unsure how much likely it really would be.
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
And he could also talk about Trump backing out of the debates
0
X9504
9 months ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
0
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
in his home turf it seems pretty guaranteed, it's like Trump saying Lock Her Up in 2016 or calling Kamala a communist
0
Anesti
9 months ago
I am conflicted on whether or not he will say weird. I think it is overused and they're looking for new slogans.
What will Tim Walz say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Susan, this is inappropriate. Please meet me at the HR office today
2
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Finally, a real man who understands. Your wife is a lucky woman.
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
No surprises there
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
im gonna sell... writing this one off as a loss
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Foiled by feminism once again
0
CookieMonster562678
9 months ago
he said yes she can, so close but not quite a hit
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was chanting it too. Oh well
0
Justifax
9 months ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was
0
Justifax
9 months ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
lol wut
0
Isucku4currency
9 months ago
Your a fucking idiot. Kill yourself.
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
If he didn’t say Yes We Can he must not want to say it for some personal reason
0
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
X9504
9 months ago
Seems like they are more interested in musical intermissions
2
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
X9504
9 months ago
Finally found a girl that you couldn’t impress, last man on the earth still couldn’t get this
0
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
That part yes, but the whole “Obama is pulling the strings in the back” is kind of a negative theory on the right
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I don’t think they want to create the impression that Obama and Pelosi are power brokering together, but at 8 cents why not
2
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
X9504
9 months ago
when everybody knows
0
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
X9504
9 months ago
Biden said it 25 times, I feel like Obama would say it less
1
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
hit 149 times and they go\t Obama tonight speaking he will say trump at least 20+ times himself.
Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?
X9504
9 months ago
Surely they can’t be that obsessed with him? There’s no way
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She says “trump abortion ban” a lot
0
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
I think Kamala is more likely to say female reproductive rights than abortion
What will Obama say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Obamacare: easy mention, healthcare is always relevant, Muslim: way too random, Yes We Can: good value, it’d be like a passing the torch to Kamala moment. Dems love empty gestures like that
0
Iran military response by Friday?
X9504
9 months ago
“ “Time is in our favor and the waiting period for this response could be long,” Alimohammad Naini says, referring to retaliation against Israel, and reiterating that “the enemy” should wait for a calculated and accurate response.” lmaoooo
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She said it exactly once in her speech that was specifically about economic policy
1
Panzwalizka
9 months ago
inflation 3 times during 2hrs long speech XD it is not going to happen XD
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
I think Iran can’t and won’t do shit lmao
0
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Blud thinks Iran can accurately assess the full timeline of a Mossad assasination in two weeks
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Sold my position because Chicago police is clearly going on easy on the protesters, many of whom broke the fence on video and weren’t arrested. They need to portray their “no bail” program as a success, so I wouldn’t be surprised if no official number of arrests is even released by the police
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Looks like there are far fewer protesters than assumed, but several prominent ones already announced they will employ violence, so I’m staying hopeful
0
Mass arrests at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
They already started getting arrested lmao honestly this seems like a pretty safe yes
4
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Deadline confirming she won’t be there, this should be close to 0
2
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
No one on the far left would consider her saying “ceasefire” an achievement, she would have to at least halt all arm sales to Israel to win them over, which will never happen
0
scattering
9 months ago
well, my approach is rather that she will pretty much mention it since she needs to secure the young voters incl. Muslims. + consider the art of politics (i guess a lot of people will applaud if she says that her intention is to get a ceasefire done.)
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I’m with ellinor
0
elies
9 months ago
me vs anon 1565 may the best man win
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Decent call imo
1
n/a
9 months ago
he is barely gonna talk abt trump
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Sus
0
fuck2die
9 months ago
what if she gets killed at the DNC
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I think Inflation Reduction Act is the best chance, other than that he might just say “we worked hard to bring down prices for Americans” or something
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
why is inflation not at 90%+?
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
You think they just fell out of a coconut tree? They exist in the context
11
·
Liked by factman, BigDoh and 9 others
PoliNostra
9 months ago
How do new words get added to these markets?
Will Hillary Clinton say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
LOCK HER UP
1
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Who’s gonna be investigating it outside of Iran? If they haven’t found anything by now that will satisfy the market makers here, they won’t
0
PokerBrat
9 months ago
It’s still being investigated, we don’t even know yet how it happened
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Don’t think it was announced yet
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
So she speaks today? Does anyone know at what time? These articles are useless...
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Not sure why evidence would come out, Iran has already officially accused Israel which doesn’t seem to have been good enough for whoever made the resolution
0
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Also, if you Aare asking yourself why the market price is so high: People are not betting on there being action in the future but for further evidence to come out that links Israel to the Assasination in Iran
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Kek
0
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
I’m not sure if Hamas would formally agree to a ceasefire, so no, but seems like the the war is basically over in practice
0
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Go bet on the ceasefire then
What will Biden say during DNC speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Convincing
1
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
Noon everything this man wants to leave FAST also they don't want him talking long lol
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Biden speaks today not her
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
So she speaks today? Does anyone know at what time? These articles are useless...
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Looks like a ceasefire is pretty likely now whether Hamas agrees or is forced to agree
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Shockingly, the DNC platform just released is mega pro Israel, with one mention of Gaza on 92 pages
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao
1
Gregorius
9 months ago
@Blubber vs @creditlullaby ceasefire showdown. The winner will be deemed as King of betting pit and degens shall follow them for future bets. Let the game commence!
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
We will see. When have you ever seen Harris address a controversial topic head on?
1
factman
9 months ago
honestly the coinflip odds are still valid, you have chances of it being not mentioned imo
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
That makes it less likely she will mention it lol
0
Gregorius
9 months ago
@Blubber you baited me into ceasefire no now these mfs are breaking into DNC screaming "free palestine" we are fucked mate
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I have not heard anyone ask for a ceasefire in many months, these days they just wave Hamas and Hezbollah flags
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
The vast majority of people, especially the small group of far left voters that Dems are trying to win over, most definitely don’t think that the way Biden and Harris have handled this war is any sort of achievement. They call him Genocide Joe constantly. But that’s the last point I have to make on this topic, we will see in a few days
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Some people are just very loud, doesn’t mean they are right or representative
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Just look up the top issues named by voters for this election, Gaza maybe cracks the Top 20 if you’re lucky. Not a key issue
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Biden has spent like 1-2 hours on this total, the work is done by Blinken whose job it obviously is to keep US allies like Israel happy
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
That will never happen
0
BUBASIIK
9 months ago
If Israel takes responsibility, it will be resolved
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
A ceasefire is not a key issue for Dems, it’s something they mention every few months to placate the far left. The more they talk about it the worse it will be if Kamala is elected and supports Israel exactly the same way all past presidents have
0
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
@SteveBonnel I seriously doubt anyone is tuning into this speech to lean anything about her political plans. It is a marketing event and Gaza is bad marketing for the Dems
2
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
They’re not going to be allowing any protests in or around the DNC
1
minji
9 months ago
pre-written = within the overton window. she has to say something to address the protests that will occur at the dnc
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She has never publicly talked about a ceasefire ina speech since becoming the candidate, she’s not gonna pick a euphoric moment to talk about the most controversial issue. Doubly so because uncertain negotiations are currently ongoing, and anything concrete she says could blow up in her face within days
2
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
In a pre written speech since she became the candidate?
0
minji
9 months ago
She’s argued for it times already
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
X9504
9 months ago
I agree, even if there is a truce/ceasefire, it needs to be acknowledged by Hamas, and I don’t see it happening
0
WALTUH.YTE
9 months ago
Hamas: progress is in negotiations is fake, mediators are "selling illusions". www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gdewq4v8wo ||| Hamas official Osama Hamdan tells Al Jazeera that “everyone understands” now that Netanyahu and the Israeli government are not willing to agree on a ceasefire deal...- https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/8/17/israel-war-on-gaza-live-israeli-attacks-continue-as-focus-on-truce-talks
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
X9504
9 months ago
Why was this market never 50-50 lol
1
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Because if Israel denies they did it, and 10 “reputable sources” claim Israel did it, you’re just at the mercy of the top bettors
1
nicekitty
9 months ago
why
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
This is why you don’t bet on vague markets with multiple resolution sources
3
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Gaza is way too controversial for her to talk about, she ignores it unless protesters accost her
4
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
All her speeches are written the exact same way
0
Anesti
9 months ago
She's impossible to predict since it's not her words but different speech writers...
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Democrats do
3
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
who announces their partner by their race that's just weird
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Fuck him I'm voting for Kamala
8
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
He rarely says "illegal immigrant" at rallies
1
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
illegals, migrants, illegal aliens... he has a lot of words but not the one we need
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm wearing diapers
5
Gregorius
9 months ago
people arent shitting their pants at maga yet?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
She's just clicking buttons
0
JonJonesMMA
9 months ago
How the hell are you $2m in profit? lmao
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah
1
BigDoh
9 months ago
Elon on its own works right?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
I will never give up
0
n/a
9 months ago
Is MAGA 5+ dead lol?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Add "Sophia Loren" to the next market please
3
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
He has said "laugh" 27 times but not MAGA
1
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Will do Sir
1
factman
9 months ago
THANK YOU DONALD J TRUMP I LOVE YOU
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe but he could also say it 5 times in the last two sentences
0
n/a
9 months ago
Are we dead on MAGA 5+?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Congrats now make him say MAGA
2
factman
9 months ago
THANK YOU DONALD J TRUMP I LOVE YOU
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Let's go my fellow little tampons
1
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
He is saving the best for last
0
mango-lassi
9 months ago
Where is MAGA
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Yes when has Trump ever reused one of his nicknames
0
Car
9 months ago
No tampon today guys! The funny tampon joke is over!
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Trust the process
0
n/a
9 months ago
is MAGA 5+ dead?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
"She's been against fracking since the day she was born" he's so funny
3
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Yes
0
BalkanDwarf
9 months ago
Is this confirmed?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
He’s rewriting his speech and replacing every word with MAGA, Lous Griffin style
3
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
I mean once you take a bet there’s no reason to watch, he will say it or not say it regardless if you watch it
2
moviesera92
9 months ago
I don't mean to be rude or question you but why tf did you buy 4.8k share when you don't even know that?
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
You think Tampon Tim can Make America Great Again?
1
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Maga
0
0x2Eb07e831DCCa6E2b2490342658E755823df7326-1723782543529
9 months ago
maga!
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA
1
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of smart people are saying that
5
Eridpnc
9 months ago
I watched so many Trump rallies that sometimes I hear people on real life talk and I morph their voices into trump’s
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Whenever Kamala does something communist he doubles down on the MAGA
0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?
X9504
9 months ago
I would say no simply because Hamas has to publicly agree to it from their end. Do they even have anyone who can sign a piece of paper right now?
0
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of these were meme words and this was a pre written speech about economics
5
Expander
9 months ago
There's literally only one Yes outcome in this market. Man so many people thought we had winnings guaranteed.
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe if he gets shot again during the speech
3
Car
9 months ago
one day MAGA will lose lol. 95% is nuts
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
That’s like saying he’ll only say “lock her up” once
0
Car
9 months ago
No he is not saying Tampon again lol
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Nice one congrats
0
DonaldinhoTrumpito
9 months ago
This was the easiest market to bet on in a while, haha. 7 No bets, all paying off :D
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She is working hard to secure an interview in the next 24 days
2
n/a
9 months ago
25 minute speech and no questions. bruh...
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Nice odds on me for the election right now
0
DanZai
9 months ago
It came to price gouging time and she says “price gauging” Ffs. Trump gave me money twice and Kamala took it all away. Sounds like her plan for the country.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I guessed this when the word inflation wasn’t mentioned a single time in her press releases about the speech. She sticks to the s c r I p t
1
HaterzLoserz
9 months ago
said "costs going up" and "prices going up" 100 times instead of inflation or price gouging. Speech writers 100% aware of these markets now lol, its over
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Oh she said “going back”
0
X9504
9 months ago
Damn she didn’t say a single one? Lmao
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Damn she didn’t say a single one? Lmao
0
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Thank you smart and handsome stranger
2
X9504
9 months ago
I told y’all “inflation” is bad for democrats so better to pretend it doesn’t exist
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I told y’all “inflation” is bad for democrats so better to pretend it doesn’t exist
0
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Hold my hand
0
iioooiii
9 months ago
inflation bros, i dont feel good about this one 😣
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
The whole Trump campaign is a con, text KamalHQ to learn more
1
JohnathanDoe
9 months ago
If Kamala says "context", then I will have to declare chapter 11.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I highly doubt she will introduce any bill that has “inflation” in the name, since that bill is like 2 years old and closely tied to Biden
0
Timmy121
9 months ago
Today is all about inflation, as outlined in her tweet just now: https://x.com/VP/status/1824457338620629232
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Where did you see that? All I see is some news articles connecting her to Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act
0
Timmy121
9 months ago
she has just annouced the Inflation Reduction Act.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I did not see the word inflation mentioned once in any of her press releases about the speech
0
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
Yes I do think she will use euphemisms in place of both “abortion” and “inflation”, just saying there’s still a chance of her saying “abortion” even though it’s a speech about economics
0
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
I wouldn’t put it past her to say “Abortion rights are fundamentally intertwined with economic opportunity” or something
1
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
She can talk about that without using the word “inflation” which most people blame on Biden since it happened during his tenure with Harris
0
Donkov
9 months ago
The theme of her speech will be price gouging that caused inflation
What will Kamala Harris say during Friday speech?
X9504
9 months ago
If I were her I wouldn’t say Inflation that much because everyone knows it was worst under the Biden administration. Why would she remind voters of that? Makes much more sense to use price gouging to blame the corporations, but saying it 5+ times is asking a lot
4
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
X9504
9 months ago
Guys he doesn’t know the word Crypto
2
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
X9504
9 months ago
I don’t think he knows the word crypto
1
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
X9504
9 months ago
My good friend Tesla SpaceX had a conversation with me recently
5
Bitcoinbearholder
9 months ago
Anyone who listened to the Musk interview knows already that Trump will not say "Elon" or "Musk" when answering any questions about the interview. Easy x5 for your money
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
X9504
9 months ago
Can confirm this is true, he will only mention Gyna
0
DanZai
9 months ago
I heard that he’s been told not to mention China.
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
X9504
9 months ago
He has used the term “slurred speech” on Twitter instead of “lisp” so I don’t think that’s guaranteed
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
you think they will ask about the lisp?
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
X9504
9 months ago
Rumor is he just saw the Steven Spielberg movie Artificial Intelligence and will discuss the plot at the conference
1
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
rumour going around that trump might fire his campaign manger, which could be a question asked
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Why would this happen? Elon himself has shared AI generated material of Trump
1
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cup
X9504
9 months ago
Freest money ever
2
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
X9504
9 months ago
This but unironically
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Hurr durr, my name is JustScam. China is a fake country that does not exist separate from Taiwan on old maps, and the Chinese speak the same language as the Taiwanese, it is only natural for the Taiwan army to attempt to reunify Taiwan and China. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, China has been overrun by Nazis and needs to be denazified. And it is imperative that we support the Taiwan army's attempts to denazify China.
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
At least I put my money where my mouth is cuccboy
0
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Here's 10 reasons why Samuels is MASSIVELY undervalued, a thread 🧵:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Congrats on your USD 28.85
0
bidendropoutnow
9 months ago
She's up 17 points in the polls
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
They're selling dollars for 0.1 cents
2
Apsalar
9 months ago
Will Stancil write-in campaign gonna come in with a steel chair
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
good luck bro
0
PeterNh
9 months ago
The wildcard here is Republican cross-over. There are a number of people encouraging this and she only won by a couple of thousand last time. She is the favorite, but 95% does seem nuts.
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
If he makes one more Tweet every day shilling his interview, we still win
1
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
I’ll be watching
0
n/a
9 months ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
Iran military response by Friday?
X9504
9 months ago
Axios has been wrong many times on this topic
0
diddy
9 months ago
I think realistically, the deadline for this is before Thursday, so let's see what happens then. If they choose to attack, that time would be in their best interest.
Iran military response by Friday?
X9504
9 months ago
What’s confusing about it? They are preparing an attack but probably willing to hold off pending the results from August 15
0
Justifax
9 months ago
This report seemed extremely puzzling to me. So I checked again and here are my conclusions: 1. Senior American and Israeli officials say that the intelligence in their hands shows that there is an Iranian preparation on the ground for an attack (!!) 2. The Iranian preparation is almost complete. Hezbollah's preparations were completed a few days ago 3. The leader of Iran has not yet given a final order to carry out https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1823340377992020384
Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August?
X9504
9 months ago
She won’t even do an interview with a paid friendly journalist
4
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
He looked absolutely awful in the CBS interview. He’s literally wheezing
1
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
“Everyone…. Likes Omar” citation needed
1
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
If he didn’t tweet from the toilet this morning at 4am he won’t
2
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
Then we kiss?
0
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
Go bomb some Mosques Xi
0
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
There is a source in the rules, there are exactly 11 posts at the moment
0
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
“I don’t think electric cars should be mandated… but I gotta say you make a really good product Elon, I’m not gonna say the name… really good product” something like that
3
Car
9 months ago
What did he say about tesla shareholders?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Lost some money but at least I’m still laughing about how he edged Tesla holders
3
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
He doesn’t know what it’s called
3
JohnathanDoe
9 months ago
Why isnt he saying Tesla?? Is he dementiated?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Lmaoooo
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Tesla holders gooning now
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Who told Elon he'd be good at this
4
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Just say it Elon
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I'm gooning so hard
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
C'mon talk about the UK Elon
3
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
counts
0
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
iMMIGRATION not immigrant fk
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Illegal immigrant holders start gooning
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Nobody knew if I was alive when I got up
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I wonder if the bullet would've hit if Trump had been at a different angle, hope Elon explores that topic
3
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Jesus Christ Elon
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
7 hours at this rate
1
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
does anyone know how long this conversation is supposed to be? 45 min?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Nobody moves down like I do, everybody is saying it
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I didn't really think about what it would mean that Elon would be "conducting" this...
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
It's starting my little tampons
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Just a little premature action
0
X.x
9 months ago
why is MAGA exploding when they didnt even speak yet?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Shut up you tampon
2
Flipp
9 months ago
THIS IS NOT AN INTERVIEW.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Sounds like Mars music to me
0
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah I got in immediately
0
Republican
9 months ago
working now
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
It better be trans porn
0
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Going back to my wank
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I just know Gyna is behind this
2
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
It's already happening, just not everyone is getting in
1
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
So what happens if this doesn’t even work tonight trump hasn’t said a word
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
We are facing some technical difficulties caused by illegal immigrants
2
4chan
9 months ago
Is he speaking already?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Interview is starting, come in my little tampons
1
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
9 with a repost
0
-nothingburger-
9 months ago
we are at 8 already?
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
BRB gotta send some tweets
1
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
Done bitch
1
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Agree, especially after Elon's response to the EU letter just now
0
DJD22
9 months ago
civil war is so free, he's gunna say it in refrence to what is going on in bong land now
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
You are toast bro
0
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
He did say illegal immigrant at both of his last public appearances
0
BrandonThought
9 months ago
I hope people realize that the resolution does not have "Illegals" or "Illegal Alien" which are the terms he almost exclusively uses.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Bitcoin just opened
0
AccountNames
9 months ago
How is Bitcoin less than Crypto?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Imo civil war is more likely than tampon. They’ll probably talk about “big topics” like free speech, censorship, immigration. I don’t think Elon is as interested in discussing Tampon Tim. Plus he’s in a major fight with the UK and is petulant enough to say the thing they don’t want him to say on purpose. But good luck to all
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Ameryx thx but I don’t think Elon gives a fuck what the EU says
1
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
He literally just said it at his press conference
0
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
X9504
9 months ago
5 Tweets already
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Hopefully Elon prints out this list and hands it to Trump to read out loud
6
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Just bet all your winnings on me taking the popular vote and we good
0
LordJames
9 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I got you lil homie
1
LordJames
9 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Think there are rumors that Trump might launch some sort of token of his own, and Trump Jr has talked about the “crypto community” (quote) very recently
0
Ckai
9 months ago
I'm a biased holder, but I don't really understand the pricing on "crypto". If anything wouldn't they probably just say bitcoin if the topic comes up?
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
I just noticed that “civil war” was also bandied about in reaction to the assassination attempt on Trump. Almost 100% chance they speak either about the assassination attempt or the U.K. riots, so pretty high chance the phrase comes up imo.
1
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
The best interview
3
sleepyxs
9 months ago
It will be a good interview!
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Finally, an article released yesterday by the Intercept shows that Zionists/pro-Israeli groups did in fact try to support Samuels in this race. It is an interesting article overall, with my overall take being that lots of people are galvanized to take on Omar and have decided to make last-minute donations, with renewed interest once Cori Bush lost her primary: https://theintercept.com/2024/08/11/ilhan-omar-don-samuels-primary-super-pac-israel/
0
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
An interesting observation related to the funding: Omar has 2.9 million Twitter followers, most of her recent posts (not reposts) have only garnered a few hundred likes. In contrast, Samuels has just 7.6 thousand followers, but many of his recent tweets have also garnered a few hundred likes, with some of them going up into the thousands
0
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar has raised more funds than Samuels, the vast majority, around 95% of this has been raised from outside the state (https://x.com/DonSamuelsMN/status/1813277866098106792?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet). While spending money on ads and volunteers helps, this indicates a lower level of support for Omar by actual voters. In contrast, about 70% of the money Samuels raised was from in-state sources (same source).
2
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Minnesota has an open primary and several prominent Republicans such as Laura Loomer and Royce White have made very popular posts calling on Republicans to vote against Omar. She is probably the most hated Democratic congresswoman on the Republican side, and often causes controversies, for example recently announcing that she would put Somali interests ahead of American ones. The recent "controversy" about the Minnesota/Somali flag (although personally I think is stupid) has especially garnered a lot of attention due to the association with Tim Walz
2
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Polling here seems wildly inaccurate, as Omar put out her own poll in 2022 showing her ahead by forty points. In the actual election, she was only ahead by 2 points. Her current polls for 2024 by Lake Research Partners show her ahead by 27%. If you check out their website, the polling company openly talks about wanting to promote progressive values, which doesn't seem that trustworthy to me. Samuels' polling by Victoria Research has shown him at 38-41 and 41-41
1
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
9
·
Liked by UncleLouie, Ox5 and 7 others
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
That's not Samuel's own polling, which is from Victoria research and shows them virtually tied at 38-41. It refers to polling conducted by Omar through Lake Research Partners
1
JishWa
9 months ago
Samuels own poll has him trailing to Omar (53% to 31%). See the second paragraph of the polling memo from his consultant: https://www.donsamuels.com/2024/07/24/updated-polling-memo/
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
He’s just providing info dude you can take it or leave it
0
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
just sell your bags if you're this stressed damn dude
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
This has been planned and announced for many months
1
0xD11e
9 months ago
https://x.com/AFpost/status/1822721709428047959 "US forces to withdraw from Iraq" Maybe the rumor about the deal between US and Iran is true.
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
It's called crossdressing and I love all my crossdressers and transgenders
6
n/a
9 months ago
Trump should explain why his VP pick is a closeted transgender https://imgur.com/a/Id9dhg7
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Never bet against the USA
1
DumbMoney1
9 months ago
It's interesting that poly is prohibited in the U.S., so a lot of non-Americans converted their local currency into US dollars, transferred them to Polymarket, and lost them betting against the U.S. in the Olympics. Maybe the cftc was just trying to make sure bets on the U.S. have positive expected value.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
See you in 4 years, commies
9
·
Liked by Wrong19B4r..., Lurker500 and 7 others
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Elon even used the phrase “civil war in the UK” recently, if he says it in interview I think trump will repeat it for sure
0
X9504
9 months ago
Civil War underrated imo. Elon has been tweeting about the UK nonstop. Pretty high chance he brings it up and trump says something “it is civil war in the Uk, vote Kamala if you want the same here”
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
X9504
9 months ago
Civil War underrated imo. Elon has been tweeting about the UK nonstop. Pretty high chance he brings it up and trump says something “it is civil war in the Uk, vote Kamala if you want the same here”
5
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
How many times do we have to teach you this lesson commies
2
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Go ahead and find an IOC source where they add them up
1
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if China wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". People's Republic of China and Hong Kong, China both seem to fit that bill
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Not really, they already won in Beijing and the outcome in 2021 was almost the same
1
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
China keeps getting more and more closer to the United States, United States is lucky it's in Los Angeles 2028
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Read all the rules, from start to finish, carefully, with glasses on
0
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if China wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". People's Republic of China and Hong Kong, China both seem to fit that bill
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Don’t forget they dope their athletes like the GDR
1
Nicky-Boi
9 months ago
I’ll be honest this is kind of pathetic for China. A country with 4x America’s population might end up tying US in Golds, and getting blown out in total medal count. Don’t they also have giant government initiatives to field and train athletes?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Valente takes an early lead
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Omnium starting now
0
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
F
1
LFGGGGGGGG
9 months ago
What happens in a tie?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Last Omnium round in 5 minutes
3
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Hope they shoot a rocket at some empty rice field in Israel to save you guys 👍
3
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Yes they are, mostly dogs
4
0x042aC1248456996a05A3C571FF006969ba0365A8-1723372425277
9 months ago
China is cooking
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?
X9504
9 months ago
Let’s just say some cultures are more sensitive than others
1
mvp99
9 months ago
I'd like to know why there are no fees on the Middle Eastern bets, but the same does not apply here?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Those weightlifting ladies are thiccccccc
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Take a bet and stick with it coward
1
Cardinal
9 months ago
If I had been in a coma for the last 2 days, I'd be up now.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Valente wins round 3/4 and remains ahead
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
@truck that makes me more confident given your track record
0
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
Overpriced at the moment. Valente hasn't even won yet. Even if Valente wins, need to win basketball
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Gonna be tough for Americans to win basketball
1
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
Overpriced at the moment. Valente hasn't even won yet. Even if Valente wins, need to win basketball
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
🦅🦅🦅🦅🦅🦅
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
They are referring to the IOC medal table which is very clear.
0
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
Polymarket needs to stop writing these trash rules it's really unacceptable that they keep doing this after the Venezuela fiasco.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Rules the read
0
0xd34779ACFD925e6Dc51E2B873D532b0c7659113A-1721535010373
9 months ago
If USA and China tie on gold count, what does it resolve to?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Not on my watch
0
comon
9 months ago
CCP will win
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
And say no to commies
2
Dorpheus
9 months ago
The final day begins. God bless our athletes. God bless our troops. God bless America.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
China could easily lose boxing tonight
2
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Not enough for you not to lose
0
backflip
9 months ago
What medal games do we have left for tomorrow?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Not much it was like 95% safe
2
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
What does that gold do for the odds?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
My African-Americans are on another level
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
It's not
0
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Lost on high jump and secured the relay. This is legit feeling like 50/50 right now
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Look at my African-Americans
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Ain't you tired, Miss Hilly?
0
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Last chance to buy cheap China's. US is cursed at relays
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
They both way too tired now
0
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
we all know
0
AiBets
9 months ago
nobody knows
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
What does it do?
0
Cardinal
9 months ago
I thought "convert" only traded yes/no for the same country, LOL.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
So go buy glasses
2
HaterAde
9 months ago
I just don’t see a path for US to win here.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Wait till you find out what they did in the 1920s
1
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
wo thought that superior ''musicality'' and ''vocabulary'' would ever get you closer to an Olympic medal?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
A win is a win bro
1
gingdot33
9 months ago
Just paid for lunch thanks bros
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
But also an embarrassment with all the homeless drug addicts around. Should’ve held them at Mar a Lago in Florida
1
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Nah Tokyo was worse for the US. 2028 will be a sweep because of host buffs
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Then stay out
0
diddy
9 months ago
I will vote Kamala
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
They got real quiet
2
diddy
9 months ago
This guy just sold 25,000 YES China shares lol
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks for the cheap shares, commies
3
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
USA just won underwater wanking, it's so over for China
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
They getting desperate
3
Codger
9 months ago
USA was never favored in the 800.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Last I checked 80% is lower than 100%
0
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Was really that football match so important?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
It wasn't guaranteed for the USA that's why
0
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Was really that football match so important?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks for providing objective information even if it’s bad for your position
2
qlemxis
9 months ago
Could be a big opportunity for Snyder (the USA M wrestler). Top seed goes down in other Semi -- if he goes through, USA would be odds-on favorite in tomorrow's final? Extra chance to catch China
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins fair and square unlike Chinas 76 doped athletes and hockey women committing assault
0
mango-lassi
9 months ago
US needs to find a way to ban China at Olympics
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins if they tie
0
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
This market is will China get more medals or will there be a tie, China is advantaged in that type of situation.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
No one cares commie, a win is a win
0
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
The fact that American betters are hoping for a "draw" and no a "win" in gold medals while China could still get a bigger number. Shows all you need to know to bet in this market.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
But commies told me USA is losing women’s soccer for sure?
1
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
USA standing for peace and against terrorism as always
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Buy more China then
0
diddy
9 months ago
lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
China extreme capitalism?
0
Culture
9 months ago
China has always been larger in terms of population than the United States and was previously an agrarian and backward country, but since they adopted the free market and far-right capitalist policies they have become a power. China is great economically thanks to the same extreme right-wing capitalist policies that made the USA great in the 1950s, but extreme capitalism. economically. As the United States lets progressives in, they will lose more and more power. China is a shitty country with a shitty society that I don't like, behind the Chinese and their social credit and all their shit about social communism.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Those are set by bookmakers so it’s not really the same
0
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
do people actually listen to the fud here? it's the only market where china has flipped the us haha
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
She has her last concert in London on August 20 and the next one is months later in Miami, so she will be in the US either way
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
You think she will fly back from europe?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins, more total medals
1
je-069
9 months ago
What happens if both have the same gold medal score? Bet on china is a win then?
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Never bet on the commies
0
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Not on my watch
0
ootharju
9 months ago
Lmao communists might win
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Agree, people should buy more "Yes" share. Iran is powerful and will definitely strike
0
dcue86
9 months ago
Probably a distraction...get the Israelis to let their guard down..perfect planning
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Gyna will never win on my watch
1
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
X9504
9 months ago
Neither of them have ever told the truth
3
0x1D45f538E786b55beF2F3447747289d4Aa5aD03D-1723155832286
9 months ago
Can we get an over under market on number of provable lies told for each
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
Okay but what does that have to do with this market?
4
jingleJongle
9 months ago
same goes for trump thankfully ;)
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
At least I put my money where my mouth is
1
n/a
9 months ago
Iranian sources: Iran will be launching an attack against Israel on Sunday, August 11th with Hezbollah.
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Source: trust me akhi
2
n/a
9 months ago
Iranian sources: Iran will be launching an attack against Israel on Sunday, August 11th with Hezbollah.
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Go pump your own bags Winnie
0
XiJinPing
9 months ago
dont listen to this guy's lies
'It Ends with Us' Opening Weekend
X9504
9 months ago
Tracking can be completely off, not sure if it's the case here but bigger differences have definitely happened
0
sandimashighschoolfootballrules
9 months ago
Tracking a few days ago on this was $28MM. I'm not sure why the increase but even overperforming that keeps you under $40MM. But we will see!
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Anytime now, they keep saying for decades
3
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
They always tell you China is winning. They never tell you China has won.
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Ban the Chinese athletes caught doping
2
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
You can always count on the USA to maintain peace and fight terrorism
0
X9504
9 months ago
The US has warned Iran that it could suffer a devastating blow if it launches a major attack on Israel, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing an unnamed US official. The warning has been conveyed to Tehran both directly and through intermediaries, the US official says without elaborating.
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
The US has warned Iran that it could suffer a devastating blow if it launches a major attack on Israel, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing an unnamed US official. The warning has been conveyed to Tehran both directly and through intermediaries, the US official says without elaborating.
1
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia
X9504
9 months ago
Lmaooooooooo
0
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
No one cares about the USD 5.7 you're gambling
0
Tekangu
9 months ago
Love taking money from stupid people like you
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Citing unnamed “Hamas sources,” Channel 12 claims that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar passed along a message to leaders of the terror group outside of Gaza urging them to pursue a ceasefire with Israel and not to wait for the possibility of a major escalation between Israel and Iran.
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
If China isn't able to win by doping they'll simply physically assault their opponents. Disgusting behavior
2
200m Winner (M)
X9504
9 months ago
Damn bro
0
TheGuru
9 months ago
YESSSSSSSS
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Meloni now joins the ranks of those urging Iran not to respond
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao at people betting on communists
0
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
The USA is a former British colony and I heard Israel is one of their colonies as well, so both those countries should count for the USA total
1
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
X9504
9 months ago
Gyna losing as always
0
Netanyahu out by October 31?
X9504
9 months ago
How would this possibly even happen
1
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
I was told by experts on Polymarket that Iran would attack at the exact time they previously announced? Surprising
2
Maduro out before September?
X9504
9 months ago
Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me twice, shame on my gambling addiction
2
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Good luck shooting those amazing missiles you speak of
0
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
you're only saying this because you have no clue about their missile program's true capabilities
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
I were a Mullah, I would just watch while Israeli politicians fight each other instead of firing 30 rockets that will just get shot down anyway and justify further Israeli action
2
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
It would resolve No in that case
4
farigami64
9 months ago
Yes is a tempting prop to take, but there's a chance he retires in November if Kamala is certified the winner.
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Macron has also asked the Iranian president not to attack. It was very successful when he did the same with Putin, so surely it will work again this time
2
Donkov
9 months ago
Iran’s president implores Khamenei to avoid war with Israel https://www.iranintl.com/en/202408073123
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
X9504
9 months ago
Not impossible as it takes place during a 2-week break in her tour
8
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah on what planet do you announce an international attack in advance with a specific 3-hour time window
0
Donkov
9 months ago
It aint happening tonight. They are doing military drills to gauge US and Israeli response https://x.com/GlobeEyeNews/status/1821258297342935493
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Omar's poll says she is ahead by 27 points, but she also put out polling last primary that put her ahead by 40 points...
2
homosexual
9 months ago
Do you know of any recent polling?
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
They don't have the balls
0
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Omar has a worse approval rating than Trump in a blue state
2
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
X9504
9 months ago
People are sick and tired of activist politicians
1
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
how much have you lost so far?
1
martingale
9 months ago
Yeah there’s no chance, imo you should bet a bit more
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Wish this market hadn’t been so illiquid, I could have bought more. When both Russia and USA tell you to chill out, you do it
2
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
The United States’ diplomatic efforts to temper Iran’s retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, which Tehran blames on Israel, might be working, White House officials tell The Washington Post.
2
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
X9504
9 months ago
Powell has been extremely conservative with cuts so far. 25 seems most likely
1
U.S. Recession in 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
This is false, Q1 2008 GDP was -1.7%, and while there are some signs of a slowing economy right now it is nothing like 2008 yet
0
n/a
9 months ago
Someone said the Q2 advance estimate 2.8% has no way go negative, I did some research for you. 2008 Q1 advance estimate GDP increase 0.6%, the revision -2.3% , that's 2.9% margin. So don't say "no way", there is always a way, lol
What will Kamala Harris say in August?
X9504
9 months ago
weirdo sounds... weird. Idk I can't explain it but doesn't feel right for her to say it. It's too much. 'Weird' will do just fine
1
n/a
9 months ago
Is there a reason weirdo is so low? I know "weird" doesn't count but I feel like it's much more likely than Brat or Venn diagram.
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
"The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/."
0
Taibred
9 months ago
shouldn't this resolve after the convention?
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
"The Wait is Part of the Punishment" - Nasrallah's speech today (that's Hezbollah, not Iran themselves, but still). They got nothing.
3
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
He is old as fuck
1
Paganheat
9 months ago
What’s your rationale on Biden not finishing his term?
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Gimme money
1
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
One small gust of wind and it's over for him
6
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
X9504
9 months ago
Kamala has no reason to debate Trump as she looked a fool at the 2020 debates... Trump won't retract something he said publicly. "No" seems underpriced here
3
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah I’m glad I saw this early. Will take it into account in the future for sure
0
BiggestBidenFan
9 months ago
Interesting lesson about this platform
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
X9504
9 months ago
Well Israel has created a buffer zone in Gaza but I think that was barely reported in “reputable” media. So this bet seems risky
0
martingale
9 months ago
The intent should be for either soldiers to enter or to create a buffer zone. They don’t need to successfully do so but to attempt to do so.
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
X9504
9 months ago
However, the vague language once again makes me hesitate (“intended to establish control”? Does Israel have to move in, or does a bombing count?
1
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Tells you how reliable he is
0
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
happening today according to trump
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
Even Putin said “enough”. Don’t think Iran has the balls to do anything
1
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Biden croaking before the next inauguration
0
Lejer
9 months ago
What we betting on next guys?!?
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Easiest money of my life
4
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
X9504
9 months ago
I didnt Place any bets here but I agree the wording is pretty clearly it should count as a Maduro win or arguably 50/50
2
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Literally everyone is going to have “dirt” on them these days.
0
PresidentJim
9 months ago
Shapiro is out. If he wasn't, he would be the pick. Walz is next. Does this guy have any dirt on him? How is the vetting going? I just saw my 4th dirt story on him in the past 15 minutes appear on Twitter. Kamala wasn't joking when she said that this race is still "dynamic".
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
I think at this point we won't hear anything until tomorrow
0
Andy0091
9 months ago
Its getting a little too quiet around here...
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
as if that's gonna stop the far left from concocting their conspiracies
0
pcutz
9 months ago
This VP search is making a good case for compressing all election-related processes, including primaries. People have radicalized themselves into holding Shapiro personally responsible for the IDF's conduct in like 5 days
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
What Mama Pelosi wants, Mama Pelosi gets. Hope y'all are ready for Biden up on Mount Rushmore
0
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
I have to laugh at people who thought they would pick a "Zionist". There would be Hamas riots in every Democrat city
1
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
We got it dude
1
J.Smith
9 months ago
Harris starts in Philadelphia tomorrow. Announcing another candidate in Shapero's home state would likely make her lose there. Also, Harris and the VP are not visiting Minnesota (Walz's state) this week. So, what's more likely: Walz wins but they don't visit his state, or Shapero wins, they announce in his state, and continue from there?
Iran military response by Monday?
X9504
9 months ago
That's all the info I need to buy "no"
0
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
happening today according to trump
UK civil war in 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Interesting market but the resolution is extremely vague
5
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
They know that picking a Zionist would lead to 2020 BLM style riots from the left
0
U.S. Recession in 2024?
X9504
9 months ago
Just because the stock market crashes doesn't mean GDP was negative. There is absolutely no way a 2.8% advance estimate turns negative
0
n/a
9 months ago
The real Q1 is only 1.4%, and Q2 "advance estimate" data is 2.8% currently, but don't get excited yet, It's not the final data yet. It's very likely the final Q2 data could be negative. Some negative news: Berkshire Hathaway sold half its apple stock for cash; US stock market crashed; Japan stock market crashed; Crypto market crashed; US unemployment rate rose to 4.3 percent in July.
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
That's just my guess based on the logic I mentioned (someone who complements Harris in looks/identity)
0
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
9 months ago
Why do u think? Was there a leak ?
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
It will be walz, the most boring white man possible to counterbalance Harris
1
What will Kamala Harris say in August?
X9504
9 months ago
Brat and coconut both?
0
kaikeibo
9 months ago
brat is free money. if you dont believe me, i dont have time to explain it to you
Will Biden finish his term?
X9504
9 months ago
At his age honestly any little thing can mean the end
0
kennyjetski
9 months ago
Biden has already outlived nearly all sitting presidents. When health declines it happens fast. I heard about this from a prediction market newsletter, def recommend: https://prediction-pulse.beehiiv.com/p/democratic-vp-nominee-venezuela
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
X9504
9 months ago
I agree the bet was about the "official announcement" from Venezuela... Just like Putin "won" his election so did Maduro
0
n/a
9 months ago
those who correctly predicted that maduro will emerge victorious deserve to get payed. Those who rely on polling data to argue someone else is the winner, predicted absolutely nothing as the polling was known before the election. We waited a few days just in case it gets overturned. Well, it didnt.
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
X9504
9 months ago
What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?
0
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Bernie is in the cabinet, he is part of the establishment now
0
OnlyLintInMyPocket
9 months ago
I think Walz was endorsed by Bernie the other day. Bernie said something about Walz is the best option to fight against corporate greed. That won't go well with the corporate democrats.
Men's Basketball Winner
X9504
9 months ago
Do you think the price will go up if they advance, even if USA remains the favorite?
0
0x22eE78F830a54695C27bDB4a066612D064c0fBe9-1721346122663
9 months ago
germany still underpriced. They are third to canada at least
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
right, nothing gayer than a man fucking a woman
1
Pqtriot
9 months ago
He's probably the top in the relationship. What's more alpha than dominating another man and shooting up loads in his ass?
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Zionist is considered the worst slur to anyone on the left today. No way they go with Shapiro
0
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah this is all that matters today, whether you can accuse your opponent of something bad and make it stick. Unfortunately for the Dems nothing has stuck on Trump for 8 years so he's gonna beat them at this game
0
aenews2
9 months ago
Regardless of the veracity, can we agree it sounds bad when people say "Shapiro covers up sexual harassment and MURDER of women!"
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
Buttigieg seems like a bad idea since he's been in the administration for 4 years. Easy to attack him
1
OnlyLintInMyPocket
9 months ago
Seeing a lot of stuff on X about Walz and Buttigieg. Compare Tim Walz and Pete Buttigieg on Google Trends. Scroll down to the search map (USA) and Buttigieg has an overwhelming amount of searches besides Minnesota and North Dakota. So are they going to pick the guy that fumbled the BLM riots and whose wife said she was happy smelling the smoke from the riots. Didn't Kamala ask for donations to bail out the "peaceful" rioters? Selecting Walz will rehash all of that mess. I just can't see that happening. Beshear and Buttigieg seems like the best option.
Democratic VP nominee?
X9504
9 months ago
"No" on Shapiro seems like a no brainer
4