#23
Rank
680
Comments
363
Likes Received
338
Likes Given
X9504
2 months ago
Will the homoglobalist Polish government ban Mentzen from running?
X9504
2 months ago
Commies will never win
X9504
2 months ago
Fuck. From now on I will just always bet on the EU being the biggest globalist homos in existence
X9504
2 months ago
He will probably drop it today
X9504
2 months ago
Who is Quinten Tarantino
X9504
2 months ago
If I were him I'd definitely launch it on the 28th
X9504
2 months ago
Would Poland really vote for an obvious globalist EU plant?
X9504
2 months ago
It's over please buy my shares
X9504
2 months ago
Keine Sorge die Stimme aller anderen Buerger wird eh auch ignoriert
Marat.
2 months ago
aus demokratischer Perspektive irgendwie krass, dass jetzt alle Stimmen von denen verloren sind, weil 0.02% fehlt
X9504
2 months ago
7.1%
X9504
2 months ago
PUTIN SEND THE VOTES NOW
X9504
2 months ago
Annalena Baerbock is behind this, I just have to prove it
X9504
2 months ago
Wow, great, a coalition between CDU and SPD. Thanks. That's exactly what we wanted
X9504
2 months ago
Mit dem Angriff Meckpomms wird das alles in Ordnung kommen
X9504
2 months ago
Counties don't vote, people do
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF FAKE NEWS LUEGENPRESSE WIE IMMER
X9504
2 months ago
Unfortunately not... you can rest now, Leader Mao
dommel
2 months ago
did we make it Sarah chan....
X9504
2 months ago
Wait till they google the population of that county in the east
Adrien01
2 months ago
Let's be clear: Yes folks are gambling that 1 strong county in the east will offset 14 weak/neutral counties in the west?
X9504
2 months ago
Follow me to get notified when my Alice Weidel - Sarah Wagenknecht Fanfic gets published
X9504
2 months ago
Unfortunately it will not be enough for them
X9504
2 months ago
They keep increasing... you cant stop communism bitch
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF still has them at 5.0 as of 0:31
X9504
2 months ago
Proletarii vsekh stran, soedinyaytes'
X9504
2 months ago
Half of Meckpomm still missing
X9504
2 months ago
Yeah if BSW makes it in, this is much easier to do with CSU than the Greens
0xd306AC3aEEcFBf9fA2082a125f2f39E7EB7dbe42-1737044280712
2 months ago
the coalition with BSW is undervalued
X9504
2 months ago
Can't stop the Russo-German reunification now bitch!!!!
X9504
2 months ago
Ze dream is over comrades... for now
X9504
2 months ago
Dropping to 4.914% it is over
X9504
2 months ago
Let the coping begin
MAXMSTRMNN
2 months ago
"wins 5% or more of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election" you have to add erststimmen 0.7% and zweitstimmen 4.9%, this is well over 5% so clear YES
X9504
2 months ago
No mostly BW and NRW
higermany0202
2 months ago
4.909 with 234/299
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF: 5.0% der Staatsfunk luegt mal wieder wie gedruckt
X9504
2 months ago
Stop negotiating
PoliticsGuy
2 months ago
BSW needs 4.95 to go into the Bundestag
X9504
2 months ago
Now at 4.936%
X9504
2 months ago
Yikes, another poor update for Buendnis Sarah Zarenknecht
X9504
2 months ago
Niedersachsen, I choose you!
X9504
2 months ago
Only weak counties for BSW left, it is probably over
X9504
2 months ago
BW and NRW are over 50% of the missing counties...
X9504
2 months ago
ZDF Hochrechnung is still at 5.0
fl8
2 months ago
No is way underpriced, ARD Hochrechnung is likely very accurate at this point, and official results as of now is probably an upper bound given that the east seems to be overrepresented
X9504
2 months ago
4.9999999999999999999999999999999993%
CrayonConnoisseur
2 months ago
4.993%
X9504
2 months ago
4.993% now
X9504
2 months ago
By number, a lot more votes will come from Bavaria still
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
X9504
2 months ago
New ARD count remains at 4.9% for BSW
X9504
2 months ago
You can see on Bundeswahlleiterin.de
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
X9504
2 months ago
They are strongest in DDR and most missing votes are from Bavaria and the north
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
X9504
2 months ago
Most of the missing votes are in areas where BSW is weak
X9504
2 months ago
22-24 seems realistic with the turnout overperformance
X9504
3 months ago
Add "tampon"
X9504
3 months ago
30% is way too high you will lose your money. Even 25% is a big stretch
n/a
3 months ago
Dutch person here. I’m pretty sure the polls aren’t taking into account the validation from Trump, Elon, Vance, the recent murders, and the influence of TikTok. I think many Germans will secretly vote for the AfD and end up surprising even themselves.
X9504
3 months ago
Cuomo? Are Democrats retarded?
X9504
3 months ago
Billie deserves let's be honest
X9504
3 months ago
I believe Trump will be too tired to sign the order today
X9504
3 months ago
BREAKING: Trump willing to stop Canadian tariffs if Trudeau provides a paternity test
X9504
3 months ago
He can sign it on the golf course
Libitum
3 months ago
Just made a degen bet. For Yes to work out it needs that Trump is not going golfing tomorrow and actually signs the damn thing! The 10:1 odds are too juicy to ignore. Odds are probably around 50/50.
X9504
3 months ago
Democrats still think screaming louder will win them votes
POA
3 months ago
'You glorified it!' Democrat smacks down Kash Patel's scramble to distance self from cop attack
X9504
3 months ago
They can't call her racist or sexist so it will be difficult to get anything to stick
X9504
3 months ago
This is such a nothingburger. They literally say at the beginning of their own hit piece that there is no indication of any wrongdoing. The NYT is such a rag
Justifax
3 months ago
More NYT hit pieces. I wonder if they realize this probably ups her chances of confirmation. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/us/politics/tulsi-gabbard-trump-intel-pick-watch-list.html
X9504
3 months ago
Everyone already forgot about TikTok
donedone
3 months ago
If Trump doesn't broker a deal, he will be forced to ban TikTok (remember, TikTok is still halted and under a temporary suspension). This could cause him to lose the majority of the youth vote, which his party cannot afford to let happen.
X9504
3 months ago
It would be very racist if Democrats vote against the confirmation of an indigenous Polynesian woman of color
X9504
4 months ago
Why would they pick the woman who played a major role in the worst Canadian government of all time??
X9504
4 months ago
So what, Michelle just sits at home and huffs while Barack is out partying?
X9504
5 months ago
His fragile husk is held together by the pure spite he feels for Kamala
X9504
5 months ago
Inshallah AfD
X9504
5 months ago
To reiterate, Man City no
X9504
6 months ago
Man City yes
X9504
6 months ago
Where strike?
X9504
6 months ago
It's not his job to evaluate fictitious policies that are not in place or even detailed out yet
leszcz
6 months ago
everyone's gonna be asking about inflationary pressure of tariffs, 5+ tariffs is free money
X9504
6 months ago
But Axios told me the attack will have taken place last week?
X9504
6 months ago
Man city no
X9504
6 months ago
Most of the missing votes are from blue states and especially California
0x79E641fc0920498Ba9eA5F2398E23A61A84417b4-1730576812696
6 months ago
Per ChatGPT, As of November 8, 2024, with 99% of votes counted, Donald Trump leads the popular vote with 50.7% to Kamala Harris 47.7%, a 3-point margin. The figures include all candidates, and with 1% of votes left, the margin is unlikely to change significantly, possibly shifting by 0.1 to 0.2 points. Trump lead should remain around 3%, ending between 2.8% and 3.2%. always dyor
X9504
6 months ago
Yes shares are on sale
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
X9504
6 months ago
Buy more cheap yes
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
X9504
6 months ago
The way you exited your position immediately lmao
AA42
6 months ago
Post election amerimutt geopolitical retard money flowing in these markets hard. Gotta love it.
X9504
6 months ago
Would austere religious scholar Khamenei lie?
Donkov
6 months ago
Dont think they want to poke the bear with Trump winning
X9504
6 months ago
Daddy Trump will not allow it
X9504
6 months ago
Congrats dude
X9504
6 months ago
But, but, the polls? I was told this was impossible
X9504
6 months ago
But, but, the polls? I was told this was impossible
X9504
6 months ago
Seems extremely statistically unlikely
X9504
6 months ago
It is over little buddy
sosuke
6 months ago
could go either way 45-53m or 53-61m anyone betting on either of these is just gambling at the moment, even experts can't tell, what makes you think you can, 91c on 45-53m is only because the market's illiquid, keep aping !
X9504
6 months ago
70m is dead bro
Miendrew
6 months ago
off-shore box office is way up expectations, the reviews describe it as the best of the 3 and multiple for previews of the last 2 movies is 7.8. We just need a 7% increase in walkups from word of mouth and we are good. No way this is only 10% possibility.
X9504
6 months ago
Same preview multiplier as The Marvels would put it under 55
X9504
7 months ago
“ or photographs showing Harris working at a McDonald's” what if she copies Trumps PR stunt and goes there now?
X9504
7 months ago
Arjun is on fire, Alireza not so much
X9504
7 months ago
It'll be a treat for the toddlers
SaulG
7 months ago
Taking the entire family tonight...Kids and all. Happy Halloween
X9504
7 months ago
But, but… the mainstream media told me that the evil juuuus want to take over??
X9504
7 months ago
Per Bloomberg Israel has not yet finalized the plan
X9504
7 months ago
Holy shit
yevh97
7 months ago
Nice pnl bro
X9504
7 months ago
Israelis are patient
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
i dont understand this sale at all. yesterday was Jewish new year, it was completely clear to me that if they attack, they will do it tonight. Thougt people would appreciate that with their 50% evaluation, apparently they did not. Important: This is until 06:59am of 4th of October due to different time zone. Im Hyped.
X9504
7 months ago
He actually says tampon a lot
JackBauerPowerHour
7 months ago
He never mentions Tim Walz… but given that he’s going to be recapping the vp debate at least a little bit… I bet we get a “I can him tampon Tim.” Tim Walz is too boring a name for trump to say the full thing
X9504
7 months ago
This is a rally, he almost always says Comrade Kamala at those
X9504
7 months ago
Better luck next time guys
X9504
7 months ago
No one cares
KovacNationalism
7 months ago
YouGov already posted a CBS poll that shows Vance won.
X9504
7 months ago
Every poll so far has them in a dead tie. All republicans will say Vance won, and all Democrats will say Walz won
X9504
7 months ago
The only thing that matters
PolyRig-Fried
7 months ago
The vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance on October 2, 2024, ended with no clear winner according to post-debate polls. A CNN instant poll showed a near-even split, with 51% of viewers believing Vance performed better and 49% favoring Walz. A POLITICO/Focaldata snap poll also indicated a 50-50 division among voters on who won the debate, reflecting the country's polarized politics. A CBS survey found similar divisions, with 42% of viewers believing Vance emerged victorious, 41% siding with Walz, and 17% viewing it as a tie.
X9504
7 months ago
You're assuming that people respond to polls based on reality
Clenc
7 months ago
because we watched a 2 hour debate where Vance made you want to vote for his candidate
X9504
7 months ago
Yeah I'd say it's 50-50, maybe a small advantage for Vance
aenews2
7 months ago
I don't understand why people are so confident about this, could land either way
X9504
7 months ago
Lol
Apsalar
7 months ago
rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”
X9504
7 months ago
Why would he mention a Hurricane in Wisconsin
X9504
7 months ago
You can live bet all of them
MaccabeanSoldier
7 months ago
Can you live bet the border or any other markets?
X9504
7 months ago
Would the German media lie?
McLarry
7 months ago
@Ken: That was a lot of blah blah, you could have just said, “no, even if troops are in Lebanon, I will continue to argue for no”. But I can answer your question directly: all German media are reporting about ground troops in Lebanon even the ones with reporters in Beirut, so yes, you've lost your mind.
X9504
7 months ago
Or clearing your cache
Poseidon.gmb
7 months ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
X9504
7 months ago
It is a bug, try in incognito mode
Poseidon.gmb
7 months ago
could the shares be sold at this moment?
X9504
7 months ago
It’s not an invasion, it’s a special limited ground operation
X9504
7 months ago
What is ME Forum? Al Jazeera, NYT, ABC, WashPo, Bloomberg, none of them call it invasion
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
https://www.meforum.org/israel-launches-extensive-ground-invasion-of-southern-lebanon "However, the scale and intensity of the operation suggest a more extensive campaign than initially indicated. The Commanding Officer of the IDF Northern Command, Major General Ori Gordin, has met with the commanders of the 98th, 91st, and 36th Divisions to approve plans for an expansion of fighting in the North, indicating a well-coordinated and potentially prolonged operation."
X9504
7 months ago
For example?
HsB34sgg
7 months ago
Most media are calling it an invasion.
X9504
7 months ago
No media seems to be calling it an invasion
X9504
7 months ago
He plays both sides
n/a
7 months ago
lol did you forget what side you are on?
X9504
7 months ago
Report: US voicing concern limited Israeli ground op may transform into 'something larger'
X9504
7 months ago
MTV Lebanon and Al Jazeera both confirming
X9504
7 months ago
Let him rest for his final months
HaterzLoserz
7 months ago
"im comfortable with them stopping" might be the weakest shit ever uttered by a US president lol
X9504
7 months ago
If every headline reports that Israel is invading it won’t matter
Foreseeable.
7 months ago
I sold and here is why: This market is going crazy given that the rules state that the operation needs to be “intended to ESTABLISH CONTROL over any portion of Lebanon”. Yet, Israel has agreed with the US to only do a LIMITED ground operation that is *NOT* targeted “to establish control”, but ONLY to clear areas at the border from Hisbollah sources to prevent further attacks on Israeli Villages. Even if they attack today (which is still maximum 50/50), its not even clear if it would count. https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-updates-idf-confirms-new-attacks/?id=114341295&entryId=114355166
X9504
7 months ago
Front page
Hamurabi
7 months ago
Really? Link?
X9504
7 months ago
Confirmed by NYT
X9504
7 months ago
No
Rassska
7 months ago
did it get resolved?
X9504
7 months ago
Another successful scam
Car
7 months ago
Nobody is gonna dispute this with the current evidence we have. Sorry NO holders, but its a YES
X9504
7 months ago
Polymarket resolves based on headline vibes
Caligulas.dog
7 months ago
I sold my no at a 50 % loss and think this will resolve to yes, but in fairness to all the holders, so far the reports have not confirmed COMBAT OPERATIONS.
X9504
7 months ago
It’s Joever
X9504
7 months ago
Seems pretty clear
X9504
7 months ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
X9504
7 months ago
An Israeli official told the Telegraph that elite troops were targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons sites and command and control centres, in a bid to push the militants away from the Israeli border. “They are targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone,” the official said.
X9504
7 months ago
The problem is nowadays all media copy each other. The WSJ made a report and Times of Israel and Telegraph both cited that same report. Suddenly you have consensus
X9504
7 months ago
It’s over, Polymarket always resolves based on headline vibes
X9504
7 months ago
People need to stop listening to the mainstream media
X9504
7 months ago
Sorry you were wrong
Bohemian
7 months ago
If you call this free money, then I understand your negative overall profit... 😒
X9504
7 months ago
fpo wins if there is a tie in seats
Bohemian
7 months ago
Can you explain me, what is so interesting in rules?
X9504
7 months ago
Free money if you read the rules
X9504
7 months ago
Whenever someone proposes, should be very soon
aLaT
7 months ago
when review start??
X9504
7 months ago
The border giveth and the border taketh away
aLaT
7 months ago
border guys get smoked LOL
X9504
7 months ago
He has like never said this lol
n/a
7 months ago
wen bitcoin
X9504
7 months ago
Thanks
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
4
X9504
7 months ago
Border count anyone?
X9504
7 months ago
Just put the fries in the bag bro
n/a
7 months ago
If the question is "Will Israel invade Lebanon?" The answer is a clear and obvious yes. Israel's entire goal is expansion, using the same playbook, tactics and justifications that they used in Gaza. "They're using human shields, our war is with Hezbollah/Hamas, not you, citizens of Gaza/Lebanon!" While they target any and everyone. Hospitals, apartment complexes, etc. Even going so far as to say "Lebanon cannot technically be classified as a sovereign nation. They're repeating Gaza. That much is not up for debate. What is, however is the timeframe. Will they put boots on the ground, tanks, etc within the next 40 so days? With the rate they're escalating, I would be surprised if the answer was no. The US is sending troops to the region as we speak. A wider war is brewing, one that the US is likely getting itself pulled into. Israel is already talking about establishing control of a buffer zone within Lebanon. And you have the anniversary of October 7th on just a couple of weeks. If a major push isn't made before this date, It likely will on the 7th. Why is the US sending troops? To protect Israel. From what? An attack/push from Hezbollah. Israel's only move against this is to establish a buffer zone ASAP, which they will do.
X9504
8 months ago
Those are like all his favorite topics bro lmao
BlitzDaTweetGod
8 months ago
Can’t believe I really bailed on the one winner and piled into all losers lol 💀
X9504
8 months ago
Him rating his own nicknames for Kamala is so funny
X9504
8 months ago
Like a thousand
idfkanything
8 months ago
Does anyone have a border count?
X9504
8 months ago
He's bringing out all the oldies for this one
X9504
8 months ago
Just send everyone to bed at this point
X9504
8 months ago
He’s not gonna say it
BlitzDaTweetGod
8 months ago
Bigger question is why TF is moderator at .17c lol
X9504
8 months ago
20 minutes
ShizWizard
8 months ago
Anybody know roughly how long till we get final results? (Noon ET?)
X9504
8 months ago
This is a spanking
X9504
8 months ago
It will drop below 95
sosuke
8 months ago
Alright 44m previews estimate scared me yesterday and I had to sell of 105m+ no shares I held since 20c, but now the official number is 41.5m on Friday, there is no way this is doing 105m + anymore, 95-105 is the bet here for anyone new
X9504
8 months ago
You don’t need a reason to pardon someone as President
MissionDreamer
8 months ago
The key point is that he doesn't have a valid reason for a pardon.
X9504
8 months ago
You’re doing amazing sweetie
YoungGriff
8 months ago
The shear amount of retarded comments I’m reading from people that share my positions has me deeply concerned that I’m on the wrong side.
X9504
8 months ago
Could honestly see Hikaru choking
X9504
8 months ago
Didn’t think it’d be this close lol
X9504
8 months ago
Warner Bros.’ Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is eyeing a $38M first day at this point in time, which includes previews, on its way to a $90M-$95M opening. There is a path to $40M-plus today and $100M-plus for the weekend, however, that all hinges on the continued momentum of walk-up business.
X9504
8 months ago
The hot weather prompted delays to the start of the new school year in some Chinese cities. State media reported on Tuesday that some schools and universities in Jiangxi, Chongqing, and Sichuan provinces had pushed the return to school out to 9 September, citing high temperatures.
X9504
8 months ago
Great games
MrNFT
8 months ago
VEry exciting hikaru vs firouzja
X9504
8 months ago
Everyone claims they have knowledge on here :)
n/a
8 months ago
Do you have knowledge in box office and stuff?
X9504
8 months ago
That’s his opinion, maybe he’s right. If you assume lots of of families will give it walk up business on the weekend, it’s possible
n/a
8 months ago
But why is this professional analyst coming up with 105m to 115m? https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
X9504
8 months ago
Dune 2 is a good comp in my opinion
n/a
8 months ago
yeah... so more or less comparable, no?
X9504
8 months ago
Just finding comparable movies. 95+ is possible in theory but it’s a sequel so you’d expect more front loading
n/a
8 months ago
Oh really not more than that... I was more between 95m and 105m. What methodology do you use for your estimates?
X9504
8 months ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
X9504
8 months ago
Assuming my Thursday estimate is correct, 80-90m looks right. Will depend on the Saturday bump
n/a
8 months ago
How much would you estimate the OW domestic figure?
X9504
8 months ago
September 2023 was pretty insanely hot but 2024 is off to a solid start
Sever
8 months ago
Why is there so little faith in the hottest September?
X9504
8 months ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
X9504
8 months ago
Several CDU politicians and members have spoken out against a coalition with BSW. Not saying this is very likely but a coalition with Afd is still in the cards (but definitely a long shot)
X9504
8 months ago
US job openings fell in July to the lowest since the start of 2021 and layoffs rose, consistent with other signs of slowing demand for workers. Available positions decreased to 7.67 million from a downwardly revised 7.91 million reading in the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS, showed Wednesday. The figure was lower than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists.
X9504
8 months ago
The White House is scrambling to put forward a new proposal for a Gaza ceasefire and the release of hostages by Hamas in the coming days, two US officials, two Egyptian security sources and an official with knowledge of the matter tell Reuters. The new proposal aims to work out the major sticking points behind a months-long impasse in talks
X9504
8 months ago
That’s not gonna be reflected in the polls but I think your odds are decent
plsplspls
8 months ago
If Trump's speech on the 4th goes well, I can make some extra money :)
X9504
8 months ago
Just keep them it is not hitting 105
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
X9504
8 months ago
Putting all on red is gambling just as much as putting all on “0”
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
X9504
8 months ago
So are you
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
They are just betting against the market because IF they happen to be right it would be massive profits. In other words, they are gambling
X9504
8 months ago
Using this to hedge the loss of my own job
X9504
8 months ago
Bro if I had insight into Apples books I would be buying options, not Polymarket shares lmao
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
X9504
8 months ago
Is this info usually released by the channel?
X9504
8 months ago
1) Extremely high expectations for Apples upgrade cycle, meaning their event next Monday has to go flawlessly 2) Potential for China troubles, further market share gains for Huawei or government regulation punishing Apple 3) MSFT being one of the few companies that actually make money with AI, as opposed to Apple 4) Apple valuation is out of whack, same PE as Microsoft despite much slower growth of both revenue and profit
DoughJones
8 months ago
And why is it that msft should go up all these 26 days, and aapl necessarily down or flat? because you guys want so, or there are other reasons for aaple not to go up when msft would go up?
X9504
8 months ago
We will see
sosuke
8 months ago
they are forecasting 110m+ brah
X9504
8 months ago
Joker 2 seems slightly divisive, even though it never really stood a chance in the first place
X9504
8 months ago
85-95m looks very doable. Maybe below 85m if I’m lucky
X9504
8 months ago
Thanks for the free money
X9504
8 months ago
Apple can only lose. Microsoft is already making money hand over fist from AI
Car
8 months ago
We are smarter than them
X9504
8 months ago
Down to a 275b difference now
X9504
8 months ago
Huge iPhone upgrade cycle for Apple is priced in, so if their showcase is anything less than exceptional it will be bad for them
X9504
8 months ago
It is really warm
X9504
8 months ago
Brown boy then why are you No on greater than 105m?
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
X9504
8 months ago
This has always been about Microsoft and Apple
DoughJones
8 months ago
This fella is most likely out of race, at least for this one...(Nvidia Reportedly Subpoenaed By Justice Department As Antitrust Probe Intensifies) Down 9,53% in a day.. Largest cap loss in its history.
X9504
8 months ago
My estimate
Lkeprfuh
8 months ago
source?
X9504
8 months ago
Tracking looks good but is getting soft. Seems like a movie that fans will watch but not the general public. ~3.25m in early showings, ~9m previews looks about a right for a total around 80-85m
X9504
8 months ago
Lmao the pump and dump
X9504
8 months ago
It’s out in 70 minutes
Ilyassbk
8 months ago
is the video out ?
X9504
8 months ago
If the price is right
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
@saylorgiftfromgod Do you have anymore capital to buy ? I just increased my buy orders.
X9504
8 months ago
And if Lex yaps for 17 minutes at the end of
MrNFT
8 months ago
Easy no. Use an AI upscaler. It shows 1:17 very clearly
X9504
8 months ago
Why would a fed cut that is fully expected effect Apple differently than Microsoft?
CheerfulPessimist
8 months ago
Interest rates will be cut this month. The market expects a 25 point cut with a 70% probability, if the fed deviates from that, stocks might get volatile.
X9504
8 months ago
Timers can show you how much time has passed, hope this helps
Donkov
8 months ago
"Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short" That makes no sense
X9504
8 months ago
Put on a long blonde wig and I’ll think about it
XiJinPing
8 months ago
why you into taylor swift? she's not even pretty. im prettier.
X9504
8 months ago
A lot has changed since 2020
X9504
8 months ago
Stop conducting CSI level analysis of grainy pictures of timers and ask yourself whether Trump is going to let a USD 5 kitchen timer tell him to stop speaking
X9504
8 months ago
Taylor Swift said that?
Eridpnc
8 months ago
God's telling you to sell all your yes at a very cheap price
X9504
8 months ago
If she wants to endorse Kamala it will be obvious
babendums
8 months ago
the problem with this one is the gray area of "endorse", not sure if you saw what happend with RFK.. I want to bet on this one but im scurred
X9504
8 months ago
Does he even have a single podcast below 3 hours? Good thing Trump doesn’t like to ramble or anything
X9504
8 months ago
How tf do we still not know
X9504
8 months ago
Doesn’t matter how many people you saw, as long as Trump gets 13% of their vote
Car
8 months ago
maybe because Kamala Harris is BLACK?
X9504
8 months ago
There simply isn't enough time to make this happen in 2024
X9504
8 months ago
Firoujza seems underpriced, he has a real shot against Nakamura and if he wins his odds will go way up
X9504
8 months ago
Will Barron Trump go to NYU?
X9504
8 months ago
Can’t say we didn’t warn the No holders
X9504
8 months ago
The first movie has been in the Top 3 of HBO Max for weeks
X9504
8 months ago
Good reviews and a mostly empty marketplace for movies
X9504
8 months ago
I know
johann04
8 months ago
btw, every party said that they will not work with the AfD
X9504
8 months ago
First preliminary results expected today just after 6pm UTC +2
X9504
8 months ago
Judging by your P&L you have been waiting for the right time for quite a while
XiJinPing
8 months ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
X9504
8 months ago
Less embarrassing than shit talking on a market you have no stake in
XiJinPing
8 months ago
HOW EMBARRASING 😂😂 sharky5643 sold 2,790 Yes at 12.9¢ ($360) --- sharky5643 bought 418 No at 86.0¢ ($360) ---- sharky5643 sold 418 No at 76.5¢ ($320) ---- sharky5643 bought 372 No at 86.0¢ ($320)
X9504
8 months ago
It’s not a normal weekend though. It will be at like 599 by Sunday
Borgo
8 months ago
It will all depend on monday.
X9504
8 months ago
No it wont
Borgo
8 months ago
It will all depend on monday.
X9504
8 months ago
You can buy anytime until the market is resolved, until it’s confirmed that they are or are not in the government
Nasa531
8 months ago
But the market ends september first, no?
X9504
8 months ago
Last polls for Saxony: CDU 33%, AfD 31%, BSW 12%, SPD 7%
X9504
8 months ago
Last polls for Thuringia: AfD 30, CDU 22%, BSW 17%, Linke 14%, SPD 7%, others out
X9504
8 months ago
The market ends on December 31
Nasa531
8 months ago
But the market ends september first, no?
X9504
8 months ago
It’s Joever guys
X9504
8 months ago
https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-next-coup/
X9504
8 months ago
No way he knows the name
FinkBig
8 months ago
Pavel Durov undervalued no?
X9504
8 months ago
Another one (DJ Khaled)
X9504
8 months ago
I don't think he'll go that crazy, there isn't that much time left
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
Then why are you betting no on 40+? He’s in pace for 37.8 assuming he doesn’t tweet any more today. If he goes off tomorrow he’ll surely hit 40
X9504
8 months ago
Surely he will have something to say about Kamala's interview
X9504
8 months ago
$2,148,413
Dropper11
8 months ago
Tuesday already released?
X9504
8 months ago
-44% on Monday, -42% on Tuesday.
X9504
8 months ago
Cornell already began classes and he wasn't seen there. Columbia begins September 3, but way too many Hamas supporters for Trump. NYU is the only feasible option. He's not going to a college worse than those 3
X9504
8 months ago
Kamala allowed fentanyl into the US due to Gyna
n/a
8 months ago
in what context would he say fentanyl lol?
X9504
8 months ago
"My unrealized gains are in the triple digit millions"
X9504
8 months ago
This is looking promising
X9504
8 months ago
Just fire out a few tweets about Kamala, you know you want to
X9504
8 months ago
Buy Yes then
yojoti
8 months ago
It's pretty damn hard to jail the CEO of social media platform for more than a few days, if he didn't commit any crimes personally. This is france, not some third world lawless country.
X9504
8 months ago
If the warrants were issued months ago they have most likely collected a lot of evidence to at least convince the judge in a preliminary hearing
X9504
8 months ago
Buy yes then
tsybka
8 months ago
you have such a mess in your head... lol
X9504
8 months ago
Yes Labor Day is a big movie going day
Ania-chan
8 months ago
Included Monday (2/9) Box Office right?
X9504
8 months ago
I wonder if they will release the internationally wanted political prisoner with ties to a country that declared war on Europe and who’s also accused of facilitating terrorism and CSAM
X9504
8 months ago
Trump wouldn't send his kid to a woke ass college like Columbia
LMNOP
8 months ago
Good catch. Columbia would be my bet as it caters to the very wealthy and elite. Classes start September 3rd.
X9504
8 months ago
Can't wait!
5to5000
8 months ago
Sundays also perform better on labor day weekend since people can stay up later
X9504
8 months ago
This
n/a
8 months ago
Hard to pronounce
X9504
8 months ago
Because there's no way on earth Trump will mention him
n/a
8 months ago
why Pavel is cheap?
X9504
8 months ago
All they have to do is read the rules lol
getLeGold
8 months ago
always shocking to see bagholders who have never heard of xtracker
X9504
8 months ago
Agree fully
Wisdomtime
8 months ago
Ok LOL this is so ridiculously underpriced for YES that I am a bit shamed of polymarket users :D Basically, if you look at any of the major movies that have launched in July or August (like Deadpool), the labour day is basically an extra weekend-day, comparable to ~80% previous week's friday or sunday, which for DP and W is 5M * 80% = 4M. This comes in top of the 7 days that we have left, which will likely yield around 19-21M (55% - 70% of the previous weeks 30M). Unless DW somehow miraculously plummets, this is a clear yes. Like, there is not even competition for the movie -- Beetlejuice Beetlejuice is launching Sep 6, not the next weekend
X9504
8 months ago
"The candidate's will be considered “seated” if the candidates are provided with chairs from which they can conduct debate." what if they are provided a couch?
X9504
8 months ago
Told y'all border 5+ was free
X9504
8 months ago
He says border all the time
Lizrael
8 months ago
Trump yes, Vance is a more cautious speaker
X9504
8 months ago
He always tweeted from the toilet at 5am before his Twitter account went corporate
Arbiter-of-Truth
8 months ago
He usually doesn’t start tweeting until around 1400 ET at the earliest
X9504
8 months ago
He tuckered himself out
X9504
8 months ago
When has a woke ever faces consequences for their actions?
X9504
8 months ago
He might say it 5 times in a sentence
X9504
8 months ago
He was just shilling his new book a bit
X9504
8 months ago
The French will maybe start looking at this next week
tsybka
8 months ago
The UAE authorities are monitoring Pavel Durov's case and have sent a request to the French government to provide him with consular services, according to a statement from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
X9504
8 months ago
Manufacturing is guaranteed
factman
8 months ago
does JD even have any guaranteed phrases
X9504
8 months ago
It has 8 days as today's numbers aren't included yet, and Labor Day is a big movie going day, I think this is a near lock
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
X9504
8 months ago
Correct
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
X9504
8 months ago
This is by Monday which is Labor Day
n/a
8 months ago
Am I missing something? Deadpool is losing 40-45% week on week and it only did 40 million in revenue last week. And it needs 23 million to reach 600mil
X9504
8 months ago
The charges are pretty serious and he's basically a political prisoner
X9504
8 months ago
You're welcome
Bro999
8 months ago
No, it's the amount of shares.
X9504
8 months ago
No morning toilet tweets so far
X9504
8 months ago
With most schools and universities starting again this week or next week, Deadpool weekdays will decrease fast
X9504
8 months ago
Bye
homosexual
8 months ago
And that seals the deal -- I will be using an actually consistent betting site instead from now on!
X9504
8 months ago
Oh look, some free money
X9504
8 months ago
This is free money. A fan driven movie like Deadpool will never catch up to the four quadrant movie Inside Out 2
X9504
8 months ago
But the DNC had celebrities
Spartan37
8 months ago
But why is the question. Kennedy just ended the election.
X9504
8 months ago
What if there was a girl twin who was absorbed in the womb?
X9504
8 months ago
You should see a doctor then
Compliance
9 months ago
He will drop out, i am hearing things
X9504
8 months ago
She is just going to edge the "Yes" holders, just like she is edging the American public when it comes to policies and answers
X9504
8 months ago
Not a resolution source
n/a
8 months ago
5 of his family members have acknowledge his endorsement and commented on it as well. If there was no endorsement then someone needs to contact the media, his family, and RFK himself to let them know.
X9504
8 months ago
Nicole Shanahan has confirmed to one of the users here in writing that the Kennedy campaign hasn’t endorsed anyone. Poly market needs to make this right
X9504
8 months ago
This is completely false, the IoC lists Hong Kong separately
n/a
8 months ago
Just to clarify PolyMarket does not care about technicalities with verbiage. If you No sayers were right then China would of won the most gold medals prediction. The IOC recognizes Hong Kong as part of China and list them as so. That prediction clearly worded things by Country and not team. Polymarket did not pay out based on how the rules were written but based off of how the western media publicized things. The media has confirmed and multiple sources have published his endorsement. If that is not true then have them redact that.
X9504
8 months ago
Hopefully
0xB28d604F9434467c12DACEF78f10fB876745cf67-1724442052721
8 months ago
Look at the Israel attack Iran market, uma will vote this p4 too
X9504
8 months ago
There will be no polls released in August that were conducted after the DNC
L114
9 months ago
Has nothing to do with the order book. Harris is going to leap in polls after a very succesful DNC, and RFK half-endorsement wont be enough to counter it. Consequently, the order book MMs will adjust and swing Kamala.
X9504
9 months ago
Every heard of Jackie Kennedy?
X9504
9 months ago
I endorse xyz
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
What would be an example of a formal endorsement?
X9504
9 months ago
Bro why don’t you just take your 99% shares and celebrate? This is manic posting
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
Breaking News: RFK Jr ends US presidential campaign, endorses Trump - Reuters
X9504
9 months ago
You’re a real one
hillary2win
9 months ago
the NO resolution movement is real. Read the rules. This needs to be properly resolved. Also I sent you $20 for fun enjoy
X9504
9 months ago
He was on fire today
X9504
9 months ago
Read the rules
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
sorry guys, no free lunches. turns out reuters wins and the context literally says the market will resolve yes. gg https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/
X9504
9 months ago
Where should we post about it?
432
9 months ago
https://discord.com/invite/uma go to UMA and be active there
X9504
9 months ago
Can someone link to a statement by RFK or one of his representatives stating that he is voting for or formally endorsing Trump?
X9504
9 months ago
He should replace him with Kennedy. Trump-Kennedy would be an iconic ticket
X9504
9 months ago
Kari Lake is the special guest for sure
X9504
9 months ago
He's giving it to his wife to save their marriage
X9504
9 months ago
He says it all the time lol
Venoo
9 months ago
no way he says tampon
X9504
9 months ago
If you guys were so confident about RFK "endorsing" him at today's speech, this should be at 99%
X9504
9 months ago
That "Final dispute" button spells certain doom
X9504
9 months ago
Trump is not a reliable source
MOA
9 months ago
Trump just thanked him for the endorsement in his Nevada speech: https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1827064702511591817
X9504
9 months ago
He did not, check the market on which words he used
Spartan37
9 months ago
He didn't say he would vote or endorse Trump, did he?
X9504
9 months ago
It seemed like he badly wanted to avoid formally endorsing him
yeamon
9 months ago
RFK went out of his way to not use the word "endorse". He literally told people to vote for him if he's on the ballot. "Support" is not an endorsement. I can support my child's decisions and not endorse them. Poly must close NO.
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao people trying to pump "endorse"
X9504
9 months ago
My boss is also an asshole whom I do not endorse
ppsp
9 months ago
Lol the guy is literally gonna be in Trump's administration, yet this is going to resolve to "No". Love the autism of this community, can't make this up xD
X9504
9 months ago
wow embarrassing headline for the WSJ
asdf4
9 months ago
he said himself he isn`t droping out
X9504
9 months ago
This will clearly resolve to No
X9504
9 months ago
But he didn't endorse him before the speech, which is in the part of the sentence you cut off
Hunor
9 months ago
Rule: "...He must mention his support of Trump during the address." (it counts as an endorsment)
X9504
9 months ago
This way his wife can say "he never endorsed Trump" and keep her friends at the country club
GreedyMacFear
9 months ago
3 options: 1) he is trying to squeeze Harris to offer job, 2) he want to continue and just abuse us with this show, 3) he support Trump but is unable to say it clearly
X9504
9 months ago
Expensive lesson coming up
X9504
9 months ago
Oh this is gonna be fun
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe he will still say it but so far I have to agree
Darknight
9 months ago
How the hell is this supposed to be an endorsement. I expect an endorsement to be something like” Pres Trump has my vote and support” if he’s still running then it shouldn’t count
X9504
9 months ago
Plot twist, Trump is dropping out and endorsing RFK
GEEEEG
9 months ago
'With president trumps backing'????
X9504
9 months ago
I agree with the Supreme Leader
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Rules: 1, "announce he will vote for trump" (didnt say that), 2, "formally endorse" (didn't formally endorse)
X9504
9 months ago
I would say something like "I support Trump to become president" should count, but he didn't quite say anything like that (yet)
ppsp
9 months ago
So if I understand correctly, this was a bet on whether or not RFK would say the word "formally" in his speech ?
X9504
9 months ago
I have to say he makes many good points
MOA
9 months ago
This guy should be president. Solving real problems, not made up side shows.
X9504
9 months ago
He's just like me fr
Wrong19B4rullingEthereumETF
9 months ago
He really hates fat people
X9504
9 months ago
I have to laugh
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
https://apnews.com/article/rfk-jr-trump-speech-arizona-a2638f89ddcb5de03edbe4574ca17d45"Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. However, a spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error. “Mr. Kennedy has not endorsed President Trump,” said spokesperson Stefanie Spear. “The filing was made by an attorney and not reviewed by the campaign.” She said the filing would be updated."
X9504
9 months ago
He's still dragging the fatties
X9504
9 months ago
Donald Trump Jr. isn't a reliable source
idfkanything
9 months ago
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1827059690225959089
X9504
9 months ago
Drag the fattys, RFK
X9504
9 months ago
He literally said he is not withdrawing his candidacy
X9504
9 months ago
If he keeps waffling there are gonna be fights on here
X9504
9 months ago
I'm just here to listen to him skewering Kamala
X9504
9 months ago
Welcome so much for being here
X9504
9 months ago
If his wife killed him it's still a no
X9504
9 months ago
She doesn't have the je-ne-sais-quoi
X9504
9 months ago
Don't worry "Yes" holders, he will endorse Trump as soon as Trump admits that something he did was a mistake
X9504
9 months ago
First 100% no market ever
X9504
9 months ago
I'm edging
X9504
9 months ago
All his voters will vote Trump anyway, the endorsement wont do much
X9504
9 months ago
Nothing ever happens
k33r0s
9 months ago
For all No holders, what's your reasoning?
X9504
9 months ago
Isn't Michigan one of the more precarious swing states for Kamala because of all the anti Israel voters?
X9504
9 months ago
No he was talking about the first rate cut specifically. A lot has changed since July
satoshi sir
9 months ago
Bostic was talking about "for the year" and not about the September meeting. He's talking about the dots, remember at the July meeting they said they would only do 25bps of cuts by December? . Bostic is one of the more hawkish Fed members.. Expecting him to even remotely hint for 50bps of cuts at the Sep meeting..
X9504
9 months ago
The size of the first rate cut — a quarter point or a half point — will depend on the data, Bostic said. If unemployment spikes in an unexpected way, “we have to move bigger,” he said. 50bps gang unite
X9504
9 months ago
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said it’s possible that more than one interest-rate cut may now be needed by year-end, shifting his view in the wake of data showing falling inflation and a slowing labor market.
X9504
9 months ago
I'm ready to get spanked by the Polymarket whales
X9504
9 months ago
Rumors are saying it will be Russell Brand
X9504
9 months ago
Shocking and surprising
Car
9 months ago
Oh no she didnt come! Who wouldve thought!
X9504
9 months ago
Why would Jew think that?
n/a
9 months ago
Lmao there would more of a chance of her saying comrade than there is Jew
X9504
9 months ago
Cheering for Ukraine isn’t that popular any more
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
It's no secret that she will tackle every issue including foreign policy.
X9504
9 months ago
Obviously they monitor what Republicans are saying and adjusting messages accordingly. That's common sense
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
X9504
9 months ago
Chanel bags maybe
CAPNCOOK
9 months ago
Trying to get a better price on unloading your Abortion no bags?
X9504
9 months ago
is everyone on this website gay then?
minji
9 months ago
can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?
X9504
9 months ago
Thank you, easy no then. The lady is not singing into a microphone tonight
Car
9 months ago
singing, dancing, doing something artistic. Needs to be an act of entertainment. Her announcing Kamala on stages does not count for example
X9504
9 months ago
What counts as a perfomance?
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of people are saying she will have the most viewers of all time
X9504
9 months ago
Great, that box is checked then, she won’t have to do it again
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
The last Speaker mentioned Ceasefire
X9504
9 months ago
Let’s be real the topic just attracts… controversial people. She won’t want it on stage tonight
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
X9504
9 months ago
Looking at the speech outline seems quite possible she won’t mention Gaza at all
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
To the ceasefire no ppl: do you think she won’t mention gaza at all? Ceasefire is the new lib buzzword. If she’s bringing up that topic, she’s saying ceasefire
X9504
9 months ago
We all know it was Bezos
X9504
9 months ago
Conservatives are angry over the planned parenthood truck at DNC
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
controversy over abortion truck? what are you talking about lol?
X9504
9 months ago
He said it once, sometimes she says it, sometimes not. She might say it tonight but 80% seems a stretch
factman
9 months ago
Walz didn't avoid it though to be fair.
X9504
9 months ago
The good guys usually get away with it
PokerBrat
9 months ago
israel just aistriked another guy bro i cant
X9504
9 months ago
I think she’ll avoid abortion because of the “controversy” over the abortion truck. She says it sometimes but she can also talk about it using other terms
X9504
9 months ago
There is no inflation in Ba Sing Se
X9504
9 months ago
casual racism from the Chinese, wish I could say I was surprised
XiJinPing
9 months ago
these monkeys dont have high enough IQ
X9504
9 months ago
She won't say antisemitism as it would immediately spawn 10 Hamas supporters who would give a 1-hour lecture about how "antizionism isn't antisemitism"
X9504
9 months ago
It’s obviously not obvious or else people wouldn’t be arguing about it lol. Whenever the rules say “consensus of credible reporting” you should be careful
mr.ozi
9 months ago
I don't think it's about whales. With the Venezuelan elections, they actually had arguments given that the opposition had copies of official tally sheets. Here, it's different, because it's quite obvious that the arrested were protesting the DNC.
X9504
9 months ago
Add “sexual relations” and “oral sex” please
X9504
9 months ago
I was part of the conspiracy to topple Joe Biden. We ended Joe Biden’s career and made sure Joe Biden would be replaced by a younger, more attractive candidate
X9504
9 months ago
This is about to be a shitshow, there will not be a specific account of who was arrested “protesting the DNC” or “protesting something else”. If the media reports any sort of 100+ figure, regardless of what exactly they were protesting, you guys are toast
X9504
9 months ago
I agree, like she's not gonna use the main attack word they have used against Trump in her victory speech?
atrade1
9 months ago
Weird insanely underpriced, gotta be at least 50/50
X9504
9 months ago
Here with me tonight is Doug, my favorite Jew in the world
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
No
X9504
9 months ago
Who thought he would say tampon at a speech about security, bffr
TheOneB
9 months ago
tampon bros losing for the first time?
X9504
9 months ago
Keep it simple: he just used Comrade Kamala, so he will remember it. He hasn’t said Zelensky in like a month, so he won’t remember it.
X9504
9 months ago
There’s no way he remembers the name Zelensky off hand
PoLOLitics
9 months ago
Now tell us again about the perfect phone call
X9504
9 months ago
Third World War lmao he is so funny. Thank god he didn’t say Kamala Comrade
X9504
9 months ago
Lfg
n/a
9 months ago
Comrade Kamala yes seems like free lunch money to me but who knows. GLHF
X9504
9 months ago
He just came up with Comrade Kamala, he’s gonna want to try it in public
X9504
9 months ago
Much like Nancy Pelosi, Macron always gets what he wants
X9504
9 months ago
I'm not gonna do it
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks, it's not like he says it very often. But in the context of the DNC I think it makes sense.
factman
9 months ago
So for whatever reason I can't insert any video links, but I checked his speeches on August 7, 10, 13, 17, 18 and 21. He only said the word "debate" on August 7 - "I can't wait to debate the guy" and "I can't wait till the debate".
X9504
9 months ago
Like 2 weeks ago I think, it makes sense he would repeat his greatest hits at the DNC
factman
9 months ago
Last time being how many days ago? Been considering this one but I am unsure how much likely it really would be.
X9504
9 months ago
And he could also talk about Trump backing out of the debates
X9504
9 months ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
X9504
9 months ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
X9504
9 months ago
in his home turf it seems pretty guaranteed, it's like Trump saying Lock Her Up in 2016 or calling Kamala a communist
Anesti
9 months ago
I am conflicted on whether or not he will say weird. I think it is overused and they're looking for new slogans.
X9504
9 months ago
Susan, this is inappropriate. Please meet me at the HR office today
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Finally, a real man who understands. Your wife is a lucky woman.
X9504
9 months ago
No surprises there
XiJinPing
9 months ago
im gonna sell... writing this one off as a loss
X9504
9 months ago
Foiled by feminism once again
CookieMonster562678
9 months ago
he said yes she can, so close but not quite a hit
X9504
9 months ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was chanting it too. Oh well
Justifax
9 months ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
X9504
9 months ago
It would’ve made sense today, everyone was
Justifax
9 months ago
it'd be kinda weird to use your campaign slogan for someone else's presidency.
X9504
9 months ago
lol wut
Isucku4currency
9 months ago
Your a fucking idiot. Kill yourself.
X9504
9 months ago
If he didn’t say Yes We Can he must not want to say it for some personal reason
X9504
9 months ago
Seems like they are more interested in musical intermissions
X9504
9 months ago
Finally found a girl that you couldn’t impress, last man on the earth still couldn’t get this
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
X9504
9 months ago
That part yes, but the whole “Obama is pulling the strings in the back” is kind of a negative theory on the right
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
X9504
9 months ago
I don’t think they want to create the impression that Obama and Pelosi are power brokering together, but at 8 cents why not
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Obama has a ton of history with Pelosi. Wouldn't be surprised if he drops it. He was also in the room when Pelosi was convincing Biden to step aside.
X9504
9 months ago
when everybody knows
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Why are you so obsessed with me?
X9504
9 months ago
Biden said it 25 times, I feel like Obama would say it less
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
hit 149 times and they go\t Obama tonight speaking he will say trump at least 20+ times himself.
X9504
9 months ago
Surely they can’t be that obsessed with him? There’s no way
X9504
9 months ago
She says “trump abortion ban” a lot
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
I think Kamala is more likely to say female reproductive rights than abortion
X9504
9 months ago
Obamacare: easy mention, healthcare is always relevant, Muslim: way too random, Yes We Can: good value, it’d be like a passing the torch to Kamala moment. Dems love empty gestures like that
X9504
9 months ago
“ “Time is in our favor and the waiting period for this response could be long,” Alimohammad Naini says, referring to retaliation against Israel, and reiterating that “the enemy” should wait for a calculated and accurate response.” lmaoooo
X9504
9 months ago
She said it exactly once in her speech that was specifically about economic policy
Panzwalizka
9 months ago
inflation 3 times during 2hrs long speech XD it is not going to happen XD
X9504
9 months ago
I think Iran can’t and won’t do shit lmao
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Blud thinks Iran can accurately assess the full timeline of a Mossad assasination in two weeks
X9504
9 months ago
Sold my position because Chicago police is clearly going on easy on the protesters, many of whom broke the fence on video and weren’t arrested. They need to portray their “no bail” program as a success, so I wouldn’t be surprised if no official number of arrests is even released by the police
X9504
9 months ago
Looks like there are far fewer protesters than assumed, but several prominent ones already announced they will employ violence, so I’m staying hopeful
X9504
9 months ago
They already started getting arrested lmao honestly this seems like a pretty safe yes
X9504
9 months ago
Deadline confirming she won’t be there, this should be close to 0
X9504
9 months ago
No one on the far left would consider her saying “ceasefire” an achievement, she would have to at least halt all arm sales to Israel to win them over, which will never happen
scattering
9 months ago
well, my approach is rather that she will pretty much mention it since she needs to secure the young voters incl. Muslims. + consider the art of politics (i guess a lot of people will applaud if she says that her intention is to get a ceasefire done.)
X9504
9 months ago
I’m with ellinor
elies
9 months ago
me vs anon 1565 may the best man win
X9504
9 months ago
Decent call imo
n/a
9 months ago
he is barely gonna talk abt trump
X9504
9 months ago
Sus
fuck2die
9 months ago
what if she gets killed at the DNC
X9504
9 months ago
I think Inflation Reduction Act is the best chance, other than that he might just say “we worked hard to bring down prices for Americans” or something
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
why is inflation not at 90%+?
X9504
9 months ago
You think they just fell out of a coconut tree? They exist in the context
PoliNostra
9 months ago
How do new words get added to these markets?
X9504
9 months ago
LOCK HER UP
X9504
9 months ago
Who’s gonna be investigating it outside of Iran? If they haven’t found anything by now that will satisfy the market makers here, they won’t
PokerBrat
9 months ago
It’s still being investigated, we don’t even know yet how it happened
X9504
9 months ago
Don’t think it was announced yet
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
So she speaks today? Does anyone know at what time? These articles are useless...
X9504
9 months ago
Not sure why evidence would come out, Iran has already officially accused Israel which doesn’t seem to have been good enough for whoever made the resolution
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Also, if you Aare asking yourself why the market price is so high: People are not betting on there being action in the future but for further evidence to come out that links Israel to the Assasination in Iran
X9504
9 months ago
Kek
X9504
9 months ago
I’m not sure if Hamas would formally agree to a ceasefire, so no, but seems like the the war is basically over in practice
PokerBrat
9 months ago
Go bet on the ceasefire then
X9504
9 months ago
Convincing
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
Noon everything this man wants to leave FAST also they don't want him talking long lol
X9504
9 months ago
Biden speaks today not her
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
So she speaks today? Does anyone know at what time? These articles are useless...
X9504
9 months ago
Looks like a ceasefire is pretty likely now whether Hamas agrees or is forced to agree
X9504
9 months ago
Shockingly, the DNC platform just released is mega pro Israel, with one mention of Gaza on 92 pages
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao
Gregorius
9 months ago
@Blubber vs @creditlullaby ceasefire showdown. The winner will be deemed as King of betting pit and degens shall follow them for future bets. Let the game commence!
X9504
9 months ago
We will see. When have you ever seen Harris address a controversial topic head on?
factman
9 months ago
honestly the coinflip odds are still valid, you have chances of it being not mentioned imo
X9504
9 months ago
That makes it less likely she will mention it lol
Gregorius
9 months ago
@Blubber you baited me into ceasefire no now these mfs are breaking into DNC screaming "free palestine" we are fucked mate
X9504
9 months ago
I have not heard anyone ask for a ceasefire in many months, these days they just wave Hamas and Hezbollah flags
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
The vast majority of people, especially the small group of far left voters that Dems are trying to win over, most definitely don’t think that the way Biden and Harris have handled this war is any sort of achievement. They call him Genocide Joe constantly. But that’s the last point I have to make on this topic, we will see in a few days
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
Some people are just very loud, doesn’t mean they are right or representative
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
Just look up the top issues named by voters for this election, Gaza maybe cracks the Top 20 if you’re lucky. Not a key issue
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
Biden has spent like 1-2 hours on this total, the work is done by Blinken whose job it obviously is to keep US allies like Israel happy
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
That will never happen
BUBASIIK
9 months ago
 If Israel takes responsibility, it will be resolved
X9504
9 months ago
A ceasefire is not a key issue for Dems, it’s something they mention every few months to placate the far left. The more they talk about it the worse it will be if Kamala is elected and supports Israel exactly the same way all past presidents have
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
@SteveBonnel I seriously doubt anyone is tuning into this speech to lean anything about her political plans. It is a marketing event and Gaza is bad marketing for the Dems
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
They’re not going to be allowing any protests in or around the DNC
minji
9 months ago
pre-written = within the overton window. she has to say something to address the protests that will occur at the dnc
X9504
9 months ago
She has never publicly talked about a ceasefire ina speech since becoming the candidate, she’s not gonna pick a euphoric moment to talk about the most controversial issue. Doubly so because uncertain negotiations are currently ongoing, and anything concrete she says could blow up in her face within days
Science
9 months ago
Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn
X9504
9 months ago
In a pre written speech since she became the candidate?
minji
9 months ago
She’s argued for it times already
X9504
9 months ago
I agree, even if there is a truce/ceasefire, it needs to be acknowledged by Hamas, and I don’t see it happening
WALTUH.YTE
9 months ago
Hamas: progress is in negotiations is fake, mediators are "selling illusions". www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gdewq4v8wo ||| Hamas official Osama Hamdan tells Al Jazeera that “everyone understands” now that Netanyahu and the Israeli government are not willing to agree on a ceasefire deal...- https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/8/17/israel-war-on-gaza-live-israeli-attacks-continue-as-focus-on-truce-talks
X9504
9 months ago
Why was this market never 50-50 lol
X9504
9 months ago
Because if Israel denies they did it, and 10 “reputable sources” claim Israel did it, you’re just at the mercy of the top bettors
nicekitty
9 months ago
why
X9504
9 months ago
This is why you don’t bet on vague markets with multiple resolution sources
X9504
9 months ago
Gaza is way too controversial for her to talk about, she ignores it unless protesters accost her
X9504
9 months ago
All her speeches are written the exact same way
Anesti
9 months ago
She's impossible to predict since it's not her words but different speech writers...
X9504
9 months ago
Democrats do
MichaelBurryd
9 months ago
who announces their partner by their race that's just weird
X9504
9 months ago
Fuck him I'm voting for Kamala
X9504
9 months ago
He rarely says "illegal immigrant" at rallies
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
illegals, migrants, illegal aliens... he has a lot of words but not the one we need
X9504
9 months ago
I'm wearing diapers
Gregorius
9 months ago
people arent shitting their pants at maga yet?
X9504
9 months ago
She's just clicking buttons
JonJonesMMA
9 months ago
How the hell are you $2m in profit? lmao
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah
BigDoh
9 months ago
Elon on its own works right?
X9504
9 months ago
I will never give up
n/a
9 months ago
Is MAGA 5+ dead lol?
X9504
9 months ago
Add "Sophia Loren" to the next market please
X9504
9 months ago
He has said "laugh" 27 times but not MAGA
X9504
9 months ago
Will do Sir
factman
9 months ago
THANK YOU DONALD J TRUMP I LOVE YOU
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe but he could also say it 5 times in the last two sentences
n/a
9 months ago
Are we dead on MAGA 5+?
X9504
9 months ago
Congrats now make him say MAGA
factman
9 months ago
THANK YOU DONALD J TRUMP I LOVE YOU
X9504
9 months ago
Let's go my fellow little tampons
X9504
9 months ago
He is saving the best for last
mango-lassi
9 months ago
Where is MAGA
X9504
9 months ago
Yes when has Trump ever reused one of his nicknames
Car
9 months ago
No tampon today guys! The funny tampon joke is over!
X9504
9 months ago
Trust the process
n/a
9 months ago
is MAGA 5+ dead?
X9504
9 months ago
"She's been against fracking since the day she was born" he's so funny
X9504
9 months ago
Yes
BalkanDwarf
9 months ago
Is this confirmed?
X9504
9 months ago
He’s rewriting his speech and replacing every word with MAGA, Lous Griffin style
X9504
9 months ago
I mean once you take a bet there’s no reason to watch, he will say it or not say it regardless if you watch it
moviesera92
9 months ago
I don't mean to be rude or question you but why tf did you buy 4.8k share when you don't even know that?
X9504
9 months ago
You think Tampon Tim can Make America Great Again?
X9504
9 months ago
Maga
0x2Eb07e831DCCa6E2b2490342658E755823df7326-1723782543529
9 months ago
maga!
X9504
9 months ago
MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA MAGA
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of smart people are saying that
Eridpnc
9 months ago
I watched so many Trump rallies that sometimes I hear people on real life talk and I morph their voices into trump’s
X9504
9 months ago
Whenever Kamala does something communist he doubles down on the MAGA
X9504
9 months ago
I would say no simply because Hamas has to publicly agree to it from their end. Do they even have anyone who can sign a piece of paper right now?
X9504
9 months ago
A lot of these were meme words and this was a pre written speech about economics
Expander
9 months ago
There's literally only one Yes outcome in this market. Man so many people thought we had winnings guaranteed.
X9504
9 months ago
Maybe if he gets shot again during the speech
Car
9 months ago
one day MAGA will lose lol. 95% is nuts
X9504
9 months ago
That’s like saying he’ll only say “lock her up” once
Car
9 months ago
No he is not saying Tampon again lol
X9504
9 months ago
Nice one congrats
DonaldinhoTrumpito
9 months ago
This was the easiest market to bet on in a while, haha. 7 No bets, all paying off :D
X9504
9 months ago
She is working hard to secure an interview in the next 24 days
n/a
9 months ago
25 minute speech and no questions. bruh...
X9504
9 months ago
Nice odds on me for the election right now
DanZai
9 months ago
It came to price gouging time and she says “price gauging” Ffs. Trump gave me money twice and Kamala took it all away. Sounds like her plan for the country.
X9504
9 months ago
I guessed this when the word inflation wasn’t mentioned a single time in her press releases about the speech. She sticks to the s c r I p t
HaterzLoserz
9 months ago
said "costs going up" and "prices going up" 100 times instead of inflation or price gouging. Speech writers 100% aware of these markets now lol, its over
X9504
9 months ago
Oh she said “going back”
X9504
9 months ago
Damn she didn’t say a single one? Lmao
X9504
9 months ago
Damn she didn’t say a single one? Lmao
X9504
9 months ago
Thank you smart and handsome stranger
X9504
9 months ago
I told y’all “inflation” is bad for democrats so better to pretend it doesn’t exist
X9504
9 months ago
I told y’all “inflation” is bad for democrats so better to pretend it doesn’t exist
X9504
9 months ago
Hold my hand
iioooiii
9 months ago
inflation bros, i dont feel good about this one 😣
X9504
9 months ago
The whole Trump campaign is a con, text KamalHQ to learn more
JohnathanDoe
9 months ago
If Kamala says "context", then I will have to declare chapter 11.
X9504
9 months ago
I highly doubt she will introduce any bill that has “inflation” in the name, since that bill is like 2 years old and closely tied to Biden
Timmy121
9 months ago
Today is all about inflation, as outlined in her tweet just now: https://x.com/VP/status/1824457338620629232
X9504
9 months ago
Where did you see that? All I see is some news articles connecting her to Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act
Timmy121
9 months ago
she has just annouced the Inflation Reduction Act.
X9504
9 months ago
I did not see the word inflation mentioned once in any of her press releases about the speech
X9504
9 months ago
Yes I do think she will use euphemisms in place of both “abortion” and “inflation”, just saying there’s still a chance of her saying “abortion” even though it’s a speech about economics
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.
X9504
9 months ago
I wouldn’t put it past her to say “Abortion rights are fundamentally intertwined with economic opportunity” or something
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
Abortion NO voters are gonna get fucked. This is your normal rally in a state she has not been in a lot. She is going to hammer the abortion issue since a shit ton of ppl care about that.
X9504
9 months ago
She can talk about that without using the word “inflation” which most people blame on Biden since it happened during his tenure with Harris
Donkov
9 months ago
The theme of her speech will be price gouging that caused inflation
X9504
9 months ago
If I were her I wouldn’t say Inflation that much because everyone knows it was worst under the Biden administration. Why would she remind voters of that? Makes much more sense to use price gouging to blame the corporations, but saying it 5+ times is asking a lot
X9504
9 months ago
Guys he doesn’t know the word Crypto
X9504
9 months ago
I don’t think he knows the word crypto
X9504
9 months ago
My good friend Tesla SpaceX had a conversation with me recently
Bitcoinbearholder
9 months ago
Anyone who listened to the Musk interview knows already that Trump will not say "Elon" or "Musk" when answering any questions about the interview. Easy x5 for your money
X9504
9 months ago
Can confirm this is true, he will only mention Gyna
DanZai
9 months ago
I heard that he’s been told not to mention China.
X9504
9 months ago
He has used the term “slurred speech” on Twitter instead of “lisp” so I don’t think that’s guaranteed
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
you think they will ask about the lisp?
X9504
9 months ago
Rumor is he just saw the Steven Spielberg movie Artificial Intelligence and will discuss the plot at the conference
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
rumour going around that trump might fire his campaign manger, which could be a question asked
X9504
9 months ago
Why would this happen? Elon himself has shared AI generated material of Trump
X9504
9 months ago
Freest money ever
X9504
9 months ago
This but unironically
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Hurr durr, my name is JustScam. China is a fake country that does not exist separate from Taiwan on old maps, and the Chinese speak the same language as the Taiwanese, it is only natural for the Taiwan army to attempt to reunify Taiwan and China. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, China has been overrun by Nazis and needs to be denazified. And it is imperative that we support the Taiwan army's attempts to denazify China.
X9504
9 months ago
At least I put my money where my mouth is cuccboy
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Here's 10 reasons why Samuels is MASSIVELY undervalued, a thread 🧵:
X9504
9 months ago
Congrats on your USD 28.85
bidendropoutnow
9 months ago
She's up 17 points in the polls
X9504
9 months ago
They're selling dollars for 0.1 cents
Apsalar
9 months ago
Will Stancil write-in campaign gonna come in with a steel chair
X9504
9 months ago
good luck bro
PeterNh
9 months ago
The wildcard here is Republican cross-over. There are a number of people encouraging this and she only won by a couple of thousand last time. She is the favorite, but 95% does seem nuts.
X9504
9 months ago
If he makes one more Tweet every day shilling his interview, we still win
X9504
9 months ago
I’ll be watching
n/a
9 months ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
X9504
9 months ago
Axios has been wrong many times on this topic
diddy
9 months ago
I think realistically, the deadline for this is before Thursday, so let's see what happens then. If they choose to attack, that time would be in their best interest.
X9504
9 months ago
What’s confusing about it? They are preparing an attack but probably willing to hold off pending the results from August 15
Justifax
9 months ago
This report seemed extremely puzzling to me. So I checked again and here are my conclusions: 1. Senior American and Israeli officials say that the intelligence in their hands shows that there is an Iranian preparation on the ground for an attack (!!) 2. The Iranian preparation is almost complete. Hezbollah's preparations were completed a few days ago 3. The leader of Iran has not yet given a final order to carry out https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1823340377992020384
X9504
9 months ago
She won’t even do an interview with a paid friendly journalist
X9504
9 months ago
He looked absolutely awful in the CBS interview. He’s literally wheezing
X9504
9 months ago
“Everyone…. Likes Omar” citation needed
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
If he didn’t tweet from the toilet this morning at 4am he won’t
X9504
9 months ago
Then we kiss?
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
X9504
9 months ago
Go bomb some Mosques Xi
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
X9504
9 months ago
There is a source in the rules, there are exactly 11 posts at the moment
Gregorius
9 months ago
if all current retweets and Space counts total should be at 11 right? Also, are we sure they count as "posts"?
X9504
9 months ago
“I don’t think electric cars should be mandated… but I gotta say you make a really good product Elon, I’m not gonna say the name… really good product” something like that
Car
9 months ago
What did he say about tesla shareholders?
X9504
9 months ago
Lost some money but at least I’m still laughing about how he edged Tesla holders
X9504
9 months ago
He doesn’t know what it’s called
JohnathanDoe
9 months ago
Why isnt he saying Tesla?? Is he dementiated?
X9504
9 months ago
Lmaoooo
X9504
9 months ago
Tesla holders gooning now
X9504
9 months ago
Who told Elon he'd be good at this
X9504
9 months ago
Just say it Elon
X9504
9 months ago
I'm gooning so hard
X9504
9 months ago
C'mon talk about the UK Elon
X9504
9 months ago
counts
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
iMMIGRATION not immigrant fk
X9504
9 months ago
Illegal immigrant holders start gooning
X9504
9 months ago
Nobody knew if I was alive when I got up
X9504
9 months ago
I wonder if the bullet would've hit if Trump had been at a different angle, hope Elon explores that topic
X9504
9 months ago
Jesus Christ Elon
X9504
9 months ago
7 hours at this rate
StevenBonnell
9 months ago
does anyone know how long this conversation is supposed to be? 45 min?
X9504
9 months ago
Nobody moves down like I do, everybody is saying it
X9504
9 months ago
I didn't really think about what it would mean that Elon would be "conducting" this...
X9504
9 months ago
It's starting my little tampons
X9504
9 months ago
Just a little premature action
X.x
9 months ago
why is MAGA exploding when they didnt even speak yet?
X9504
9 months ago
Shut up you tampon
Flipp
9 months ago
THIS IS NOT AN INTERVIEW.
X9504
9 months ago
Sounds like Mars music to me
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah I got in immediately
Republican
9 months ago
working now
X9504
9 months ago
It better be trans porn
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Going back to my wank
X9504
9 months ago
I just know Gyna is behind this
X9504
9 months ago
It's already happening, just not everyone is getting in
Slaylorswift
9 months ago
So what happens if this doesn’t even work tonight trump hasn’t said a word
X9504
9 months ago
We are facing some technical difficulties caused by illegal immigrants
4chan
9 months ago
Is he speaking already?
X9504
9 months ago
Interview is starting, come in my little tampons
X9504
9 months ago
9 with a repost
-nothingburger-
9 months ago
we are at 8 already?
X9504
9 months ago
BRB gotta send some tweets
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
X9504
9 months ago
Done bitch
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
X9504
9 months ago
Agree, especially after Elon's response to the EU letter just now
DJD22
9 months ago
civil war is so free, he's gunna say it in refrence to what is going on in bong land now
X9504
9 months ago
You are toast bro
Apsalar
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT!
X9504
9 months ago
He did say illegal immigrant at both of his last public appearances
BrandonThought
9 months ago
I hope people realize that the resolution does not have "Illegals" or "Illegal Alien" which are the terms he almost exclusively uses.
X9504
9 months ago
Bitcoin just opened
AccountNames
9 months ago
How is Bitcoin less than Crypto?
X9504
9 months ago
Imo civil war is more likely than tampon. They’ll probably talk about “big topics” like free speech, censorship, immigration. I don’t think Elon is as interested in discussing Tampon Tim. Plus he’s in a major fight with the UK and is petulant enough to say the thing they don’t want him to say on purpose. But good luck to all
X9504
9 months ago
Ameryx thx but I don’t think Elon gives a fuck what the EU says
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
X9504
9 months ago
He literally just said it at his press conference
skrtttttttttt
9 months ago
can someone give me a argument on trump saying trans, you are telling me the presidential candidate losing by 4-6 points to kamala is going to go on a trans rant infront of elon musk whos kid is trans and is trying to expose him for being a bad person lmao
X9504
9 months ago
5 Tweets already
X9504
9 months ago
Hopefully Elon prints out this list and hands it to Trump to read out loud
X9504
9 months ago
Just bet all your winnings on me taking the popular vote and we good
LordJames
9 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
X9504
9 months ago
I got you lil homie
LordJames
9 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
X9504
9 months ago
Think there are rumors that Trump might launch some sort of token of his own, and Trump Jr has talked about the “crypto community” (quote) very recently
Ckai
9 months ago
I'm a biased holder, but I don't really understand the pricing on "crypto". If anything wouldn't they probably just say bitcoin if the topic comes up?
X9504
9 months ago
I just noticed that “civil war” was also bandied about in reaction to the assassination attempt on Trump. Almost 100% chance they speak either about the assassination attempt or the U.K. riots, so pretty high chance the phrase comes up imo.
X9504
9 months ago
The best interview
sleepyxs
9 months ago
It will be a good interview!
X9504
9 months ago
Finally, an article released yesterday by the Intercept shows that Zionists/pro-Israeli groups did in fact try to support Samuels in this race. It is an interesting article overall, with my overall take being that lots of people are galvanized to take on Omar and have decided to make last-minute donations, with renewed interest once Cori Bush lost her primary: https://theintercept.com/2024/08/11/ilhan-omar-don-samuels-primary-super-pac-israel/
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
An interesting observation related to the funding: Omar has 2.9 million Twitter followers, most of her recent posts (not reposts) have only garnered a few hundred likes. In contrast, Samuels has just 7.6 thousand followers, but many of his recent tweets have also garnered a few hundred likes, with some of them going up into the thousands
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar has raised more funds than Samuels, the vast majority, around 95% of this has been raised from outside the state (https://x.com/DonSamuelsMN/status/1813277866098106792?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet). While spending money on ads and volunteers helps, this indicates a lower level of support for Omar by actual voters. In contrast, about 70% of the money Samuels raised was from in-state sources (same source).
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
Minnesota has an open primary and several prominent Republicans such as Laura Loomer and Royce White have made very popular posts calling on Republicans to vote against Omar. She is probably the most hated Democratic congresswoman on the Republican side, and often causes controversies, for example recently announcing that she would put Somali interests ahead of American ones. The recent "controversy" about the Minnesota/Somali flag (although personally I think is stupid) has especially garnered a lot of attention due to the association with Tim Walz
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
Polling here seems wildly inaccurate, as Omar put out her own poll in 2022 showing her ahead by forty points. In the actual election, she was only ahead by 2 points. Her current polls for 2024 by Lake Research Partners show her ahead by 27%. If you check out their website, the polling company openly talks about wanting to promote progressive values, which doesn't seem that trustworthy to me. Samuels' polling by Victoria Research has shown him at 38-41 and 41-41
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
While Omar is the favorite in this race, I think 95+% far overestimates her chances for these reasons:
X9504
9 months ago
That's not Samuel's own polling, which is from Victoria research and shows them virtually tied at 38-41. It refers to polling conducted by Omar through Lake Research Partners
JishWa
9 months ago
Samuels own poll has him trailing to Omar (53% to 31%). See the second paragraph of the polling memo from his consultant: https://www.donsamuels.com/2024/07/24/updated-polling-memo/
X9504
9 months ago
He’s just providing info dude you can take it or leave it
Pidor🐓
9 months ago
just sell your bags if you're this stressed damn dude
X9504
9 months ago
This has been planned and announced for many months
0xD11e
9 months ago
https://x.com/AFpost/status/1822721709428047959 "US forces to withdraw from Iraq" Maybe the rumor about the deal between US and Iran is true.
X9504
9 months ago
It's called crossdressing and I love all my crossdressers and transgenders
n/a
9 months ago
Trump should explain why his VP pick is a closeted transgender https://imgur.com/a/Id9dhg7
X9504
9 months ago
Never bet against the USA
DumbMoney1
9 months ago
It's interesting that poly is prohibited in the U.S., so a lot of non-Americans converted their local currency into US dollars, transferred them to Polymarket, and lost them betting against the U.S. in the Olympics. Maybe the cftc was just trying to make sure bets on the U.S. have positive expected value.
X9504
9 months ago
See you in 4 years, commies
X9504
9 months ago
Elon even used the phrase “civil war in the UK” recently, if he says it in interview I think trump will repeat it for sure
X9504
9 months ago
Civil War underrated imo. Elon has been tweeting about the UK nonstop. Pretty high chance he brings it up and trump says something “it is civil war in the Uk, vote Kamala if you want the same here”
X9504
9 months ago
Civil War underrated imo. Elon has been tweeting about the UK nonstop. Pretty high chance he brings it up and trump says something “it is civil war in the Uk, vote Kamala if you want the same here”
X9504
9 months ago
How many times do we have to teach you this lesson commies
X9504
9 months ago
Go ahead and find an IOC source where they add them up
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if China wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". People's Republic of China and Hong Kong, China both seem to fit that bill
X9504
9 months ago
Not really, they already won in Beijing and the outcome in 2021 was almost the same
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
China keeps getting more and more closer to the United States, United States is lucky it's in Los Angeles 2028
X9504
9 months ago
Read all the rules, from start to finish, carefully, with glasses on
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if China wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". People's Republic of China and Hong Kong, China both seem to fit that bill
X9504
9 months ago
Don’t forget they dope their athletes like the GDR
Nicky-Boi
9 months ago
I’ll be honest this is kind of pathetic for China. A country with 4x America’s population might end up tying US in Golds, and getting blown out in total medal count. Don’t they also have giant government initiatives to field and train athletes?
X9504
9 months ago
Valente takes an early lead
X9504
9 months ago
Omnium starting now
X9504
9 months ago
F
LFGGGGGGGG
9 months ago
What happens in a tie?
X9504
9 months ago
Last Omnium round in 5 minutes
X9504
9 months ago
Hope they shoot a rocket at some empty rice field in Israel to save you guys 👍
X9504
9 months ago
Yes they are, mostly dogs
0x042aC1248456996a05A3C571FF006969ba0365A8-1723372425277
9 months ago
China is cooking
X9504
9 months ago
Let’s just say some cultures are more sensitive than others
mvp99
9 months ago
I'd like to know why there are no fees on the Middle Eastern bets, but the same does not apply here?
X9504
9 months ago
Those weightlifting ladies are thiccccccc
X9504
9 months ago
Take a bet and stick with it coward
Cardinal
9 months ago
If I had been in a coma for the last 2 days, I'd be up now.
X9504
9 months ago
Valente wins round 3/4 and remains ahead
X9504
9 months ago
@truck that makes me more confident given your track record
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
Overpriced at the moment. Valente hasn't even won yet. Even if Valente wins, need to win basketball
X9504
9 months ago
Gonna be tough for Americans to win basketball
x.com/polymarketbet
9 months ago
Overpriced at the moment. Valente hasn't even won yet. Even if Valente wins, need to win basketball
X9504
9 months ago
🦅🦅🦅🦅🦅🦅
X9504
9 months ago
They are referring to the IOC medal table which is very clear.
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
Polymarket needs to stop writing these trash rules it's really unacceptable that they keep doing this after the Venezuela fiasco.
X9504
9 months ago
Rules the read
0xd34779ACFD925e6Dc51E2B873D532b0c7659113A-1721535010373
9 months ago
If USA and China tie on gold count, what does it resolve to?
X9504
9 months ago
Not on my watch
comon
9 months ago
CCP will win
X9504
9 months ago
And say no to commies
Dorpheus
9 months ago
The final day begins. God bless our athletes. God bless our troops. God bless America.
X9504
9 months ago
China could easily lose boxing tonight
X9504
9 months ago
Not enough for you not to lose
backflip
9 months ago
What medal games do we have left for tomorrow?
X9504
9 months ago
Not much it was like 95% safe
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
What does that gold do for the odds?
X9504
9 months ago
My African-Americans are on another level
X9504
9 months ago
It's not
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
Lost on high jump and secured the relay. This is legit feeling like 50/50 right now
X9504
9 months ago
Look at my African-Americans
X9504
9 months ago
Ain't you tired, Miss Hilly?
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Last chance to buy cheap China's. US is cursed at relays
X9504
9 months ago
They both way too tired now
X9504
9 months ago
we all know
AiBets
9 months ago
nobody knows
X9504
9 months ago
What does it do?
Cardinal
9 months ago
I thought "convert" only traded yes/no for the same country, LOL.
X9504
9 months ago
So go buy glasses
HaterAde
9 months ago
I just don’t see a path for US to win here.
X9504
9 months ago
Wait till you find out what they did in the 1920s
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
wo thought that superior ''musicality'' and ''vocabulary'' would ever get you closer to an Olympic medal?
X9504
9 months ago
A win is a win bro
gingdot33
9 months ago
Just paid for lunch thanks bros
X9504
9 months ago
But also an embarrassment with all the homeless drug addicts around. Should’ve held them at Mar a Lago in Florida
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Nah Tokyo was worse for the US. 2028 will be a sweep because of host buffs
X9504
9 months ago
Then stay out
diddy
9 months ago
I will vote Kamala
X9504
9 months ago
They got real quiet
diddy
9 months ago
This guy just sold 25,000 YES China shares lol
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks for the cheap shares, commies
X9504
9 months ago
USA just won underwater wanking, it's so over for China
X9504
9 months ago
They getting desperate
Codger
9 months ago
USA was never favored in the 800.
X9504
9 months ago
Last I checked 80% is lower than 100%
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Was really that football match so important?
X9504
9 months ago
It wasn't guaranteed for the USA that's why
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Was really that football match so important?
X9504
9 months ago
Thanks for providing objective information even if it’s bad for your position
qlemxis
9 months ago
Could be a big opportunity for Snyder (the USA M wrestler). Top seed goes down in other Semi -- if he goes through, USA would be odds-on favorite in tomorrow's final? Extra chance to catch China
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins fair and square unlike Chinas 76 doped athletes and hockey women committing assault
mango-lassi
9 months ago
US needs to find a way to ban China at Olympics
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins if they tie
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
This market is will China get more medals or will there be a tie, China is advantaged in that type of situation.
X9504
9 months ago
No one cares commie, a win is a win
Iamjamesv
9 months ago
The fact that American betters are hoping for a "draw" and no a "win" in gold medals while China could still get a bigger number. Shows all you need to know to bet in this market.
X9504
9 months ago
But commies told me USA is losing women’s soccer for sure?
X9504
9 months ago
USA standing for peace and against terrorism as always
X9504
9 months ago
Buy more China then
diddy
9 months ago
lol people buy USA, for USA to stand a chance at this point, China has to lose every gold competition, and USA win every
X9504
9 months ago
China extreme capitalism?
Culture
9 months ago
China has always been larger in terms of population than the United States and was previously an agrarian and backward country, but since they adopted the free market and far-right capitalist policies they have become a power. China is great economically thanks to the same extreme right-wing capitalist policies that made the USA great in the 1950s, but extreme capitalism. economically. As the United States lets progressives in, they will lose more and more power. China is a shitty country with a shitty society that I don't like, behind the Chinese and their social credit and all their shit about social communism.
X9504
9 months ago
Those are set by bookmakers so it’s not really the same
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
do people actually listen to the fud here? it's the only market where china has flipped the us haha
X9504
9 months ago
She has her last concert in London on August 20 and the next one is months later in Miami, so she will be in the US either way
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
You think she will fly back from europe?
X9504
9 months ago
USA wins, more total medals
je-069
9 months ago
What happens if both have the same gold medal score? Bet on china is a win then?
X9504
9 months ago
Never bet on the commies
X9504
9 months ago
Not on my watch
ootharju
9 months ago
Lmao communists might win
X9504
9 months ago
Agree, people should buy more "Yes" share. Iran is powerful and will definitely strike
dcue86
9 months ago
Probably a distraction...get the Israelis to let their guard down..perfect planning
X9504
9 months ago
Gyna will never win on my watch
X9504
9 months ago
Neither of them have ever told the truth
0x1D45f538E786b55beF2F3447747289d4Aa5aD03D-1723155832286
9 months ago
Can we get an over under market on number of provable lies told for each
X9504
9 months ago
Okay but what does that have to do with this market?
jingleJongle
9 months ago
same goes for trump thankfully ;)
X9504
9 months ago
At least I put my money where my mouth is
n/a
9 months ago
Iranian sources: Iran will be launching an attack against Israel on Sunday, August 11th with Hezbollah.
X9504
9 months ago
Source: trust me akhi
n/a
9 months ago
Iranian sources: Iran will be launching an attack against Israel on Sunday, August 11th with Hezbollah.
X9504
9 months ago
Go pump your own bags Winnie
XiJinPing
9 months ago
dont listen to this guy's lies
X9504
9 months ago
Tracking can be completely off, not sure if it's the case here but bigger differences have definitely happened
sandimashighschoolfootballrules
9 months ago
Tracking a few days ago on this was $28MM. I'm not sure why the increase but even overperforming that keeps you under $40MM. But we will see!
X9504
9 months ago
Anytime now, they keep saying for decades
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
They always tell you China is winning. They never tell you China has won.
X9504
9 months ago
Ban the Chinese athletes caught doping
X9504
9 months ago
You can always count on the USA to maintain peace and fight terrorism
X9504
9 months ago
The US has warned Iran that it could suffer a devastating blow if it launches a major attack on Israel, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing an unnamed US official. The warning has been conveyed to Tehran both directly and through intermediaries, the US official says without elaborating.
X9504
9 months ago
The US has warned Iran that it could suffer a devastating blow if it launches a major attack on Israel, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing an unnamed US official. The warning has been conveyed to Tehran both directly and through intermediaries, the US official says without elaborating.
X9504
9 months ago
Lmaooooooooo
X9504
9 months ago
No one cares about the USD 5.7 you're gambling
Tekangu
9 months ago
Love taking money from stupid people like you
X9504
9 months ago
Citing unnamed “Hamas sources,” Channel 12 claims that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar passed along a message to leaders of the terror group outside of Gaza urging them to pursue a ceasefire with Israel and not to wait for the possibility of a major escalation between Israel and Iran.
X9504
9 months ago
If China isn't able to win by doping they'll simply physically assault their opponents. Disgusting behavior
X9504
9 months ago
Damn bro
TheGuru
9 months ago
YESSSSSSSS
X9504
9 months ago
Meloni now joins the ranks of those urging Iran not to respond
X9504
9 months ago
Lmao at people betting on communists
X9504
9 months ago
The USA is a former British colony and I heard Israel is one of their colonies as well, so both those countries should count for the USA total
X9504
9 months ago
Gyna losing as always
X9504
9 months ago
How would this possibly even happen
X9504
9 months ago
I was told by experts on Polymarket that Iran would attack at the exact time they previously announced? Surprising
X9504
9 months ago
Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me twice, shame on my gambling addiction
X9504
9 months ago
Good luck shooting those amazing missiles you speak of
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
you're only saying this because you have no clue about their missile program's true capabilities
X9504
9 months ago
I were a Mullah, I would just watch while Israeli politicians fight each other instead of firing 30 rockets that will just get shot down anyway and justify further Israeli action
X9504
9 months ago
It would resolve No in that case
farigami64
9 months ago
Yes is a tempting prop to take, but there's a chance he retires in November if Kamala is certified the winner.
X9504
9 months ago
Macron has also asked the Iranian president not to attack. It was very successful when he did the same with Putin, so surely it will work again this time
Donkov
9 months ago
Iran’s president implores Khamenei to avoid war with Israel https://www.iranintl.com/en/202408073123
X9504
9 months ago
Not impossible as it takes place during a 2-week break in her tour
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah on what planet do you announce an international attack in advance with a specific 3-hour time window
Donkov
9 months ago
It aint happening tonight. They are doing military drills to gauge US and Israeli response https://x.com/GlobeEyeNews/status/1821258297342935493
X9504
9 months ago
Omar's poll says she is ahead by 27 points, but she also put out polling last primary that put her ahead by 40 points...
homosexual
9 months ago
Do you know of any recent polling?
X9504
9 months ago
They don't have the balls
X9504
9 months ago
Omar has a worse approval rating than Trump in a blue state
X9504
9 months ago
People are sick and tired of activist politicians
X9504
9 months ago
how much have you lost so far?
martingale
9 months ago
Yeah there’s no chance, imo you should bet a bit more
X9504
9 months ago
Wish this market hadn’t been so illiquid, I could have bought more. When both Russia and USA tell you to chill out, you do it
X9504
9 months ago
The United States’ diplomatic efforts to temper Iran’s retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, which Tehran blames on Israel, might be working, White House officials tell The Washington Post.
X9504
9 months ago
Powell has been extremely conservative with cuts so far. 25 seems most likely
X9504
9 months ago
This is false, Q1 2008 GDP was -1.7%, and while there are some signs of a slowing economy right now it is nothing like 2008 yet
n/a
9 months ago
Someone said the Q2 advance estimate 2.8% has no way go negative, I did some research for you. 2008 Q1 advance estimate GDP increase 0.6%, the revision -2.3% , that's 2.9% margin. So don't say "no way", there is always a way, lol
X9504
9 months ago
weirdo sounds... weird. Idk I can't explain it but doesn't feel right for her to say it. It's too much. 'Weird' will do just fine
n/a
9 months ago
Is there a reason weirdo is so low? I know "weird" doesn't count but I feel like it's much more likely than Brat or Venn diagram.
X9504
9 months ago
"The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/."
Taibred
9 months ago
shouldn't this resolve after the convention?
X9504
9 months ago
"The Wait is Part of the Punishment" - Nasrallah's speech today (that's Hezbollah, not Iran themselves, but still). They got nothing.
X9504
9 months ago
He is old as fuck
Paganheat
9 months ago
What’s your rationale on Biden not finishing his term?
X9504
9 months ago
Gimme money
X9504
9 months ago
One small gust of wind and it's over for him
X9504
9 months ago
Kamala has no reason to debate Trump as she looked a fool at the 2020 debates... Trump won't retract something he said publicly. "No" seems underpriced here
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah I’m glad I saw this early. Will take it into account in the future for sure
BiggestBidenFan
9 months ago
Interesting lesson about this platform
X9504
9 months ago
Well Israel has created a buffer zone in Gaza but I think that was barely reported in “reputable” media. So this bet seems risky
martingale
9 months ago
The intent should be for either soldiers to enter or to create a buffer zone. They don’t need to successfully do so but to attempt to do so.
X9504
9 months ago
However, the vague language once again makes me hesitate (“intended to establish control”? Does Israel have to move in, or does a bombing count?
X9504
9 months ago
Tells you how reliable he is
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
happening today according to trump
X9504
9 months ago
Even Putin said “enough”. Don’t think Iran has the balls to do anything
X9504
9 months ago
Biden croaking before the next inauguration
Lejer
9 months ago
What we betting on next guys?!?
X9504
9 months ago
Easiest money of my life
X9504
9 months ago
I didnt Place any bets here but I agree the wording is pretty clearly it should count as a Maduro win or arguably 50/50
X9504
9 months ago
Literally everyone is going to have “dirt” on them these days.
PresidentJim
9 months ago
Shapiro is out. If he wasn't, he would be the pick. Walz is next. Does this guy have any dirt on him? How is the vetting going? I just saw my 4th dirt story on him in the past 15 minutes appear on Twitter. Kamala wasn't joking when she said that this race is still "dynamic".
X9504
9 months ago
I think at this point we won't hear anything until tomorrow
Andy0091
9 months ago
Its getting a little too quiet around here...
X9504
9 months ago
as if that's gonna stop the far left from concocting their conspiracies
pcutz
9 months ago
This VP search is making a good case for compressing all election-related processes, including primaries. People have radicalized themselves into holding Shapiro personally responsible for the IDF's conduct in like 5 days
X9504
9 months ago
What Mama Pelosi wants, Mama Pelosi gets. Hope y'all are ready for Biden up on Mount Rushmore
X9504
9 months ago
I have to laugh at people who thought they would pick a "Zionist". There would be Hamas riots in every Democrat city
X9504
9 months ago
We got it dude
J.Smith
9 months ago
Harris starts in Philadelphia tomorrow. Announcing another candidate in Shapero's home state would likely make her lose there. Also, Harris and the VP are not visiting Minnesota (Walz's state) this week. So, what's more likely: Walz wins but they don't visit his state, or Shapero wins, they announce in his state, and continue from there?
X9504
9 months ago
That's all the info I need to buy "no"
FRENCHG4NGSTA
9 months ago
happening today according to trump
X9504
9 months ago
Interesting market but the resolution is extremely vague
X9504
9 months ago
They know that picking a Zionist would lead to 2020 BLM style riots from the left
X9504
9 months ago
Just because the stock market crashes doesn't mean GDP was negative. There is absolutely no way a 2.8% advance estimate turns negative
n/a
9 months ago
The real Q1 is only 1.4%, and Q2 "advance estimate" data is 2.8% currently, but don't get excited yet, It's not the final data yet. It's very likely the final Q2 data could be negative. Some negative news: Berkshire Hathaway sold half its apple stock for cash; US stock market crashed; Japan stock market crashed; Crypto market crashed; US unemployment rate rose to 4.3 percent in July.
X9504
9 months ago
That's just my guess based on the logic I mentioned (someone who complements Harris in looks/identity)
0x11F0ceb5aD608E9Ab29d9507588df3a92579b5Eb-1721599133047
9 months ago
Why do u think? Was there a leak ?
X9504
9 months ago
It will be walz, the most boring white man possible to counterbalance Harris
X9504
9 months ago
Brat and coconut both?
kaikeibo
9 months ago
brat is free money. if you dont believe me, i dont have time to explain it to you
X9504
9 months ago
At his age honestly any little thing can mean the end
kennyjetski
9 months ago
Biden has already outlived nearly all sitting presidents. When health declines it happens fast. I heard about this from a prediction market newsletter, def recommend: https://prediction-pulse.beehiiv.com/p/democratic-vp-nominee-venezuela
X9504
9 months ago
I agree the bet was about the "official announcement" from Venezuela... Just like Putin "won" his election so did Maduro
n/a
9 months ago
those who correctly predicted that maduro will emerge victorious deserve to get payed. Those who rely on polling data to argue someone else is the winner, predicted absolutely nothing as the polling was known before the election. We waited a few days just in case it gets overturned. Well, it didnt.
X9504
9 months ago
What happens if he becomes incapacitated to the point where Harris takes over?
X9504
9 months ago
Bernie is in the cabinet, he is part of the establishment now
OnlyLintInMyPocket
9 months ago
I think Walz was endorsed by Bernie the other day. Bernie said something about Walz is the best option to fight against corporate greed. That won't go well with the corporate democrats.
X9504
9 months ago
Do you think the price will go up if they advance, even if USA remains the favorite?
0x22eE78F830a54695C27bDB4a066612D064c0fBe9-1721346122663
9 months ago
germany still underpriced. They are third to canada at least
X9504
9 months ago
right, nothing gayer than a man fucking a woman
Pqtriot
9 months ago
He's probably the top in the relationship. What's more alpha than dominating another man and shooting up loads in his ass?
X9504
9 months ago
Zionist is considered the worst slur to anyone on the left today. No way they go with Shapiro
X9504
9 months ago
Yeah this is all that matters today, whether you can accuse your opponent of something bad and make it stick. Unfortunately for the Dems nothing has stuck on Trump for 8 years so he's gonna beat them at this game
aenews2
9 months ago
Regardless of the veracity, can we agree it sounds bad when people say "Shapiro covers up sexual harassment and MURDER of women!"
X9504
9 months ago
Buttigieg seems like a bad idea since he's been in the administration for 4 years. Easy to attack him
OnlyLintInMyPocket
9 months ago
Seeing a lot of stuff on X about Walz and Buttigieg. Compare Tim Walz and Pete Buttigieg on Google Trends. Scroll down to the search map (USA) and Buttigieg has an overwhelming amount of searches besides Minnesota and North Dakota. So are they going to pick the guy that fumbled the BLM riots and whose wife said she was happy smelling the smoke from the riots. Didn't Kamala ask for donations to bail out the "peaceful" rioters? Selecting Walz will rehash all of that mess. I just can't see that happening. Beshear and Buttigieg seems like the best option.
X9504
9 months ago
"No" on Shapiro seems like a no brainer