Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Polymarket Tracker

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Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Last updated 1 month ago

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Summary

The discussion surrounding the betting market on whether South Korean President Yoon would be out of office before April reveals a strong bias towards 'No' due to recent judicial decisions. Participants highlight a unanimous ruling by the Constitutional Court against Yoon's impeachment, leading many to predict that odds of 'Yes' will continue to fall. Commentators discuss the political climate, noting that the court's decisions seem to support conservative viewpoints and weaken leftist positions.

The Constitutional Court's recent unanimous rulings in favor of conservative viewpoints suggest to market participants that President Yoon will likely remain in power, thus reducing the probability of the 'Yes' outcome.
Many users express confidence in 'No' positions, celebrating profits and urging others to buy 'No', reflecting their belief in the continued political stability of Yoon's presidency.

Comments

Yoon is never die he is KOREA KING

0xaB558B7E828F4c3569c8e24FA63124EA677Ddf2a-1734877574515

What a desperate commie

I support Yoon, but impeachment is inevitable

Game over Yoon WIN

Millions of people are protesting against impeachment, and the 2030 generation is outraged by the illegal detention of our president to close to kidnapping. The anti-protests are only a handful of spy unions, Chinese, feminists, etc., who were sentenced to 15 years in prison after being ordered by North Korea. If the president is impeached, the Republic of Korea can become a communism and further - it can become a vassal of China after the Uyghur, Tibet, and Hong Kong. South Korea's legacy media is putting millions of anti-impeachment protesters in a far-right frame and not showing millions of people as part. Some Chinese people were hired by Korean broadcasting stations, and local people from the Democratic Party became executives. There are Chinese people in the Constitutional Court TF. Korea is dangerous. If Yoon Seok-yeol is impeached, peace in Northeast Asia will be in danger.

Everyone, I'll be honest with you. This news seems very favorable for "NO" holders. The key debate in this topic is whether the Constitutional Court will issue a ruling on impeachment before April or not. The distribution of funds depends on this decision. For impeachment to be upheld, six justices must approve it. However, according to the information available, the current stance is three in favor and five against, making it more likely to be dismissed with a 3:5 ratio. Since there is no consensus among the justices, the trial is taking longer than usual. If the impeachment is dismissed, Yoon Suk-yeol will return to office, and the Democratic Party will face a tough period. Because of this, they would likely want to delay the ruling as much as possible. Therefore, it is highly likely that the ruling will not be made before April. Even if it is, dismissal is expected.

@Erutan I saw you bought a lot of YES at the price of 69. Now there are tens of thousands of YES for sale at 69, please buy more, thank you

Seoul National University, one of the best universities in Korea, is also campaigning against the impeachment of Yoon.

The Sinicization of South Korea has already surpassed 90%. This issue cannot be improved merely through political measures. Only war, similar to how communist forces were eradicated in the past, and massacres remain as options.

The Constitutional Court began reviewing the case promptly and held its final hearing on February 25, 2025. A verdict is widely expected by mid March 2025, although the court technically has up to 180 days (mid June 2025) from the impeachment date to announce its decision. Historically, the Court has delivered verdicts within roughly 2 to 3 months in similar cases, making a March decision most probable.