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Summary
The discussion centers on whether Donald Trump might drop out of the presidential race, with various users expressing skepticism that this will occur. Some argue that health concerns due to his age or external pressures might force him to withdraw, while others strongly maintain that he will not leave the race voluntarily or otherwise. The conversation includes speculation on the implications of potential scenarios like health decline or death, asserting that these would be considered "extenuating circumstances" leading to a "Yes" resolution in betting terms. Overall, the community reflects both disbelief in his withdrawal and acknowledgment of unpredictable factors like his health and political pressure.
- Several participants argue Trump's age and potential health issues, including supposed signs of dementia, might lead to a sudden withdrawal, yet the consensus remains that he is unlikely to voluntarily exit the race.
- The market rules indicate that should Trump be unable to continue the race due to "extenuating circumstances" such as severe health issues or death, the outcome would resolve affirmatively, leading to speculative betting strategies.
Comments
Ezypzy
6 months ago
low risk huge reward tbh
5
SSander
6 months ago
Two assassination attempts already and hundreds more in the making: buying yes is risky, but the future is uncertain...
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
11 months ago
don't say "the American people" you know what I mean!
4
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
11 months ago
who wins if the fat guy dies?
OP2024
9 months ago
5% is very little. Even if bullets can't harm DT, old age gets everyone.
3
MetaPhysicist
8 months ago
Two assassination attempts on a dementia addled 78 year old and this is only at 4%.
3
walpe
6 months ago
I use this to hedge my "yes" on trump winning election, kinda cheap now
3
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
11 months ago
who wins if the fat guy dies?
2
Lbpaul89
10 months ago
Seriously what happens if he dies?
2
Car
9 months ago
You are next, Trump.
2
n/a
9 months ago
i've bet a lot on things related to Harris winning. For me the dark horse event is, that Trump actually drops out of the race. I honestly believe, that's the only way the Republicans can turn this arround. Trump is liability at this point and i see a chance that it's happening. Trump also doesn't seem to get "into control" again. The "weird" monicker is also getting under his skin. That's why i do some hedging here.
2
anciano
8 months ago
Didn't poly say they would do death markets?
2