Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

🤺JustKen

1 month ago

Imho this was a clear No and UMA likely would've voted it No if it was disputed, and the clarification is ridiculous

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Liked by baal, hillary2wi... and 24 others

anon1565

1 month ago

I was a yes holder before the speech with 55,000 shares. However, as the speech concluded, I was 100% certain given the present rules that he had not dropped out While I had been a Yes voter previously, the quote: "I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and - NOT ENDING IT. My name will remain on the ballot in most states... I encourage you to vote for me! And if enough of you vote for me and neither of the major party candidates wins 270 votes, which is quite possible... I could conceivably still end up in the White House in a contingential election." made it iron tight for me that he was not dropping out. I asked chatgpt and a lawyer friend to confirm what I had heard, and they agreed. I read and re-read the rules over and over again to confirm I was correct. Given I had the information I needed, and after the speech ended, I bought 175,000 No shares. The market agreed with me, trading all the way down to .29c for yes. After I bought these shares, Polymarket posts additional context where they decide the entire speech is invalid, especially the full paragraph I quoted, and instead conjoin 2 inconclusive small quotes. I am positive an unbiased judge, lawyer, llm, uma, or anyone else would rule in Nos favor.

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Liked by baal, 432 and 22 others

AG1234

1 month ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8O-ZM0RxG4g&t=3259s RFK again reiterates: "I am still running for president" and "I have not terminated my campaign". He objectively did not "officially withdraw" as per the rules. This is not new information either. PM manipulated the market, and told people how to vote for resolution.

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Liked by n/a, PeterNh and 14 others

n/a

1 month ago

Nothing will happen to Polymarket, even though they are the ones to blame—not UMA, not RFK Jr., not the Yes holders, nor the No holders. from now on it'll be a shitshow for them, play stupid games win stupid prizes, you wanna put a market up in minutes without thinking it twice and later on avoid the consequences , you pay the price one way or another sooner or later, you pull enough BS like this on half the market, and you'll end up getting replaced by another competitor soon enough

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Liked by baal, JanSobiesk... and 11 others

n/a

1 month ago

in retrospect, it'll be easy to see rfk jr didn't technically drop out, he'll remain active and polymarket's reputation will never be the same again. people will think twice before placing any bet and a competitor will come along and take over

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Liked by baal, n/a and 11 others

Bank.

1 month ago

What a joke. How is someone who is still on the ballots dropped out? Why is this even a question...

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Liked by Bigdog666, and 10 others

Highboard

1 month ago

Why is Polymarket adding context in a way that says how it "should" resolve. Isn't that for UMA to decide?

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Liked by n/a, SusanWarre... and 10 others

Rahket

1 month ago

I bet the No because I’m betting on the validity of Polymarket. If they chose to make this yes, then they are worthless.

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Liked by 432, Bigdog666 and 10 others

hillary2win

1 month ago

I'm glad I was able to dispute this the 2nd round, and get eyes on it. Lets get this resolved properly. Thank you for everyones help!

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Liked by 432, n/a and 10 others

🤺JustKen

1 month ago

Good guys winning (so far).

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Liked by n/a, baal and 10 others