Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | Polymarket Tracker

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Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

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Summary

The discussion around the market "Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?" centers on whether Kamala Harris has explicitly endorsed such a policy. Many participants argue that Harris has not explicitly expressed support, pointing out that evidence is often indirect or based on interpretations of her campaign proposals. Counterarguments suggest that statements from Harris's campaign representatives and her support for related tax policies imply endorsement. Additionally, participants discuss the influence of key market players and their potential impact on the market's price dynamics.

Explicit Support Debate: The core of the conversation hinges on the requirement for explicit support by Harris. While some believe that indirect statements and campaign representative comments suggest endorsement, others insist on a clear, direct statement from Harris herself as a necessity for resolving the market as "Yes."
Market Dynamics and Key Players: Participants discuss strategies related to market dynamics, highlighting influential traders like "50 Pence" and their actions. There's speculation about price movements and potential market manipulation, with some looking to benefit from fluctuations in the market as it approaches the resolution deadline.

Comments

DIdn't think I owned any shares, but looks like I have 500 shares of No. I think its No (so far) tbh.

fuck it. copy trading JustKen

Wow that was the Yes holders entire argument? I was so scared 50P had like some secret Kamala video or something lol. I feel so much more comfortable

Im never copytrading 50pence again. Im from now on copy trading Apsalar

market resolution requires **explicit** support, and the harris campaign (probably intentionally) never done this. all arguments for the Yes side rely on mental gymnastics and or implicit statements made by the campaign. The discord discussion is worth seeing for those interested: https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1288946906592051362

if your analysis requires 4 steps (most of which do not follow from each other", then the support is clearly not explicit. the twitter post doesnt even say she supports it, (only that the thing trump is criticizing her for supporting applies to those with $100M or more, which does not imply that she supports it). in any case, it is not **explicit** support, which is what this market requires. there is absolutely no evidence, of any kind, that kamala harris or her campaign has **explicitly** supported a tax on unrealized gains. the campaign is clearly intentionally trying to avoid explicitly saying anything about this. therefore, the only logical conclusion is that she has not yet explicitly supported a tax on unrealized gains.

Her official channel clarified that Harris's tax on unrealized capital gains would apply only to people with "with at least $100 million in wealth." https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1827073628162130283 So, let's go through this. 1. Harris says that she supports Biden's tax package, which includes a "billionaire minimum tax," which is administration's idea to tax unrealized capital gains of people with $100M in wealth. 2. Trump sees that and says that Harris idea to tax unrealized capital gains will kill small business owners. 3. Harris's official Twitter channel debunks Trump's statement by saying that the tax on unrealized capital gains "applies only to individuals with at least $100 million in wealth." 4. Harris explicitly says that she supports a "billionaire minimum tax" in both her policy document and on Twitter. That makes her support even more explicit.

So is transgenderism, but here we are... Stop underestimating your enemies.

tax on unrealized gains is such an obvious gimmick from the democrats. its pure stupidity

« Announcement by Kamala Harris and/or her representatives »

Read the rules: only if she explicitly states, not her advisors not Tim Walz etc. Has to be her and she risks ruining her donation base by doing it.

She's talking about her economic policies live right now, but here's her full economic plan that was just released. No mention of an unrealized gains tax, it just talks about long-term capital gains. https://kamalaharris.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Policy_Book_Economic-Opportunity.pdf

Come on guys, bring that yes price up more. I want more cheap no