Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April? | Polymarket Tracker

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Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?

Last updated 10 months ago

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Summary

The discussion around the market centers on whether Facebook, now renamed Meta, will adopt a "community notes" system by the specified date. Participants are dissecting the market's criteria, which focus on implementation for a majority of U.S. users. Meta's past initiatives and its potential alignment with the community notes feature are under scrutiny, with considerations of their past behavior in implementing similar updates. Participants are trying to assess the likelihood of such an implementation based on Meta's historical patterns and strategic decisions.

The market is focused on the implementation of "community notes" by Meta for the majority of its U.S. users, creating a concentrated discussion on regional applicability.
Meta's history of launching features and making strategic digital moves is being analyzed to predict the probability of this specific initiative happening in the given timeframe.

Comments

Its impossible to know if more than 50% of the US users have the update.

They will either announce they implemented it nationwide or test it on a very small percentage of users. There is no scenario where they implement it in 30 US states, covering 40% of the population. Social media platforms (or any big tech apps) just don't work like that.

How the fuck do you plan to find out if they've enrolled over 50% of American users? If the roll-out is partial and they don't make some announcement about the proportion, is it an assumed "No"?

No. Read the rules

Its impossible to know if more than 50% of the US users have the update.

So American-centric rule - "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Facebook implements a "community notes" system for a majority of U.S. users"

From Meta’s website: “We plan to phase in Community Notes in the US first over the next couple of months” https://about.fb.com/news/2025/01/meta-more-speech-fewer-mistakes/amp/

Because Facebook is releasing it to America first. Take it to them.

So American-centric rule - "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Facebook implements a "community notes" system for a majority of U.S. users"

50% users don't need to have the update. This resolves to true so long as Facebook has rolled out thw update

Its impossible to know if more than 50% of the US users have the update.

YoungDolphGelato

Facebook was made in America.

So American-centric rule - "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Facebook implements a "community notes" system for a majority of U.S. users"

features rollout like this take a couple of days at most. There is no way it stuck at 40% for an extended period