This market is open and accepting bets.
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DonaldEnjoyer
11 months ago
no shares, obvious bait
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Car
11 months ago
idk about you guys, but its summer right now, once the Winter starts, this is going back down! Makes so much sense! In the winter its cold and in the summer hot. duh!
gopfan
1 year ago
because it makes much more sense to predict the anomaly instead of random revisions of previous years
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oxy
1 year ago
I don't understand why these markets use the anomaly instead of just "the highest temperature since the start of the dataset".
Nasmutin
1 year ago
https://twitter.com/EliotJacobson/status/1781284909333794919?t=NBigynwtkDxjwem8Dk7tww&s=19
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Wisdomtime
11 months ago
haha why :D 50% of my portfolio on this, so I want to get the odds straight asap :P
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n/a
11 months ago
I wish you had waited like a week before posting that lol
aenews2
11 months ago
June was revised upwards by 4, and July is the hottest on record by 2. It's over, and 2024 is the hottest year on record. 0% chance otherwise.
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Car
11 months ago
idk about you guys, but its summer right now, once the Winter starts, this is going back down! Makes so much sense! In the winter its cold and in the summer hot. duh!
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oxy
1 year ago
I don't understand why these markets use the anomaly instead of just "the highest temperature since the start of the dataset".
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f
1 year ago
hii
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oxy
1 year ago
I don't understand why these markets use the anomaly instead of just "the highest temperature since the start of the dataset".
planetnine
1 year ago
random revisions of previous years would affect the data you use to predict the anomaly though, so I don't see how that holds.
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gopfan
1 year ago
because it makes much more sense to predict the anomaly instead of random revisions of previous years
aenews2
1 year ago
Welp, there goes the liquidity
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