Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | Polymarket Tracker

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Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Last updated 53 minutes ago

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Summary

The discussion on the betting market for predicting the VP debate winner, as judged by polls, has been marked by significant skepticism and controversy. Many participants express frustration over misleading information, notably involving a fake poll disseminated by a user named "Car." This has prompted accusations of fraudulent activity aimed at manipulating the market. Several users are concerned about making sound financial decisions amidst rumors and false documents, with discussions also touching on risk management and profit-making strategies.

Scams and Misleading Information: A considerable part of the discussion centers on allegations against a user who circulated a fake poll to manipulate market positions, highlighting the importance of verifying sources and remaining skeptical of too-good-to-be-true claims.
Market Sentiment and Financial Strategies: Participants debate the validity of staying invested after the debate, discussing potential returns, and strategies like "buying the dip," reflecting a mix of optimism and risk awareness.

Comments

Buying Walz solely because many of the people buying Vance seem to be doing so for very dumb reasons

Liked by n/a, n/a and 15 others

It’s hilarious when democrats lose outright they start calling for a 50/50 split.

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

I just called Ipsos customer service and asked when the VP poll would be released and they said "sir this is a Wendy's"

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

Walz lied about china, lied about border crossings, said he is friends with school shooters. Yeah he'll definitely win in the polls

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

Well if ipsos doesn't release a poll Vance wins by default as he won in yougov's poll

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

How this isn’t 99% Vance winning at this point is beyond me

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

when is this shit coming out

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Liked by n/a, n/a and 10 others

This is a poorly constructed betting market as it's not about who won the debate or consensus on that in the polls – the answer to both of those has been clear for days. Rather, this is a market on Ipsos corporate policy and bias, that should have been the headline.

Liked by , and 11 others

CNN, the most liberal news network in the world is bashing Walz and siding with Vance.

Liked by , ArtVandala... and 11 others