Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | Polymarket Tracker

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Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Last updated 1 month ago

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Summary

Discussions on the betting platform regarding the VP debate winner revolve around polling results and accusations of misinformation. One notable poll cited had JD Vance leading, but some participants contend the results were misrepresented or misinterpreted, calling the poll methodology itself into question. A particular controversy involved a fake poll supposedly created to mislead bettors, as users shared links to verify genuine data. Additionally, participants analyzed betting strategies, debated the financial implications of the poll outcomes, and anticipated the market's resolution. A portion of the debate focuses on market rules and the legitimacy of certain strategies.

Users cited different poll outcomes with a particular focus on a YouGov poll showing JD Vance leading, though some argued it was misleading or misunderstood.
There is significant concern over a pump-and-dump scam involving a fake poll, leading to community efforts to spread awareness of the scam and share correct information.

Comments

Buying Walz solely because many of the people buying Vance seem to be doing so for very dumb reasons

Liked by mango-lass..., Eridpnc and 15 others

I just called Ipsos customer service and asked when the VP poll would be released and they said "sir this is a Wendy's"

Liked by n/a, EdgyUserna... and 15 others

It’s hilarious when democrats lose outright they start calling for a 50/50 split.

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

Walz lied about china, lied about border crossings, said he is friends with school shooters. Yeah he'll definitely win in the polls

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

Well if ipsos doesn't release a poll Vance wins by default as he won in yougov's poll

Liked by Memofsteel, Justifax and 11 others

How this isn’t 99% Vance winning at this point is beyond me

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

when is this shit coming out

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

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4 polls so far. Yougov show 42-41 to Vance, they're unbias (+0.2% lean towards Trump in Nate Silver house effects). CNN had 51-49 Vance, they tend to be +0.8% Trump (NS h.e. Yes their news is bias, their polls are not, just like Fox News’ polls). Focaldata had 50-50, they are unbias (+0.2% Harris NS h.e.). JL have 50-43 Vance, they're Trump simpers (+2.5% Trump NS h.e, MASSIVE bias). So...Ipsos? +1.7% Harris NS h.e., MASSIVE bias. In other words. 3 unbias pollsters show a tie; 1 Trump simp shows Vance winning; and we're waiting for the results from a Harris simp ;) . Nb ITT a ton of ppl saying “I think Vance won, so I’ll bet on him”. You’re betting on the results of a left leaning pollster’s poll after seeing three tied polls; not “who everyone knows won, c’mon, he totally won”. I don’t mean to make you better bettors, but pls, do better. We’ve already had one unbiased pollster (focaldata) for Politico lose you money if it were Ipsos (money would have been split 50-50)

Liked by n/a, technickai and 10 others

This is a poorly constructed betting market as it's not about who won the debate or consensus on that in the polls – the answer to both of those has been clear for days. Rather, this is a market on Ipsos corporate policy and bias, that should have been the headline.

Liked by n/a, n/a and 10 others

CNN, the most liberal news network in the world is bashing Walz and siding with Vance.

Liked by , ArtVandala... and 11 others