Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion in the HBO documentary betting market centers around the disappointment and controversy following the reveal—or lack thereof—of who Satoshi Nakamoto is. Participants express frustration over the decision, debate on whether the choice of Adam Back as a potential Satoshi is credible, and discuss the possibility of multiple inventors. Some highlight the arguments against Nick Szabo and Hal Finney, questioning the documentary's conclusions. The operation of the betting market itself, including disputes and the market’s closure, also attracts attention.

There's significant disagreement on the identification of Satoshi, with some believing Adam Back was unjustly pinpointed, while others express support for candidates like Sergey Nazarov or Elon Musk.
The market's handling and the documentary's ambiguity in revealing a concrete identity lead to discussions about the legitimacy and operability of the event, with users contemplating the role of disputes and market resolution processes.

Comments

I will not be profit taking on the way up. We holding to 100c boys

Liked by n/a, n/a and 12 others

Can we all agree that Cullen is a fucking idiot.

Liked by n/a, 05brownboy and 11 others

Now this is a good market!

I have 160k shares of what Occam's razor says is the winning choice, yet even if I'm wrong, I will still profit as long as none of the corpses listed here faked their death, fooled their loved ones, have worked hard for years since to encourage Bitcoin adoption, and then sat down with this filmmaker for an interview. One of the most amazing markets in the history of this site. Polymarket will always have a competitive advantage over other prediction market creators because of the staggering number of utter morons they can lure in from the crypto world. Absolutely unmatched on any other investing platform.

Liked by , HaterzLose... and 14 others

The creator of the documentary just posted that they land on a specific name: https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745

Everyone asks who is satoshi but no one asks how is satoshi

WinstonChurchil

I've already invested all the money I have available so it's fine to say this. This documentary had hundreds of staff working on it (literally hundreds), and a company outsourced for editing. My sister works for the company editing the documentary. It was done in parts (no one has access to the whole thing so we can't confirm the full narrative) but we can confirm the following: Szabo is a main Satoshi candidate, Hal was involved with Bitcoin early on, and it is not Adam, Len, or Paul. I was surprised that other insiders have not changed the market entirely yet but I guess it's hard to get access to enough capital and hard to use this UI anyway.

Liked by n/a, n/a and 14 others

i have studied this for at least 10 minutes and it was Len

People really trusting a one minute leak of a 2 hour documentary... Leak could just be another plot twist.

It's possible the person below screened it, but it's also possible there are multiple endings that were sent out for a/b testing.