VP debate before election? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion revolves around the likelihood of a Vice Presidential debate occurring before the election. Key issues include varying opinions on whether JD Vance and Tim Walz will actually participate, with users citing recent confirmations and potential geopolitical distractions, like Iran attacking Israel, which could lead to cancellations. There are contrasting views on the value of the bets, the probabilities of certain outcomes, and the historical context of VP debates.

Confirmed Participation: There are confirmations that both VP candidates, JD Vance and Tim Walz, intend to fly to New York City for the debate, with some users asserting that the debate will proceed unless unforeseen events occur.
Geopolitical Concerns: Potential international incidents, such as an attack by Iran on Israel, are discussed as factors that could lead to the cancellation of the debate, affecting the likelihood and value of bets.

Comments

Surely Vance will chicken out against Walz

Surely Vance will chicken out against Walz

JD Vance just agreed as well, even mentioning he wants to do at least 2 VP debates https://www.foxnews.com/media/jd-vance-says-he-wants-real-debate-opponent-tim-walz-not-fake-news-media-garbage-one

JD agreed letsgo

not sure why this is so much higher than the presidential debate odds

Confirmed. Walz just agreed JD Vance invite. https://x.com/Tim_Walz/status/1823824781873176770

He hasn't agreed. This is a quote from your article: "I strongly suspect we're going to be there on October the 1st, but we're not going to do one of these fake debates where they don't actually have an audience there, where they don't actually set the parameters in a way where we can have a good exchange of ideas. In other words, we're not going to walk into a fake news media garbage debate. We're going to do a real debate, and if CBS agrees to it, then certainly we'll do it."

JD Vance just agreed as well, even mentioning he wants to do at least 2 VP debates https://www.foxnews.com/media/jd-vance-says-he-wants-real-debate-opponent-tim-walz-not-fake-news-media-garbage-one

this is so free lol

Without Fox News Presidential Debate VP will not debate, it doesnt make sense to have only VP debate, so I take the risk at a good price.

Fun fact: There has been at least 1 VP Debate every election year since 1980!