U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30? | Polymarket Tracker

This market is closed and no longer accepting bets.

59

Comments

1

Market

0

Comments per hour

Summary

The discussion on the possibility of the U.S. evacuating its Beirut Embassy by September 30 revolves around various developments related to escalating security situations in Lebanon and neighboring areas. Participants debate whether recent orders for partial evacuations of non-essential staff fulfill the criteria for a full evacuation. While some users share news links suggesting the possibility of an evacuation, others clarify that partial evacuations do not meet the market's resolution conditions. Speculation on the impact of U.S. and Israeli actions and related regional instability also feature prominently.

Evacuation Criteria: The market will resolve to "Yes" only if a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut is confirmed; partial evacuations of non-essential staff do not count.
Context and Speculation: The discussions highlight diverse views and updates on the geopolitical conditions that might lead to an evacuation, such as the volatile security situation in Lebanon and regional tensions involving Israel, Hezbollah, and other actors.

Comments

"A guy comes up to me -- a big guy, tears in his eyes -- and he says, "Sir, Sir, how are you so great at evacuating embassies?"

AugustoPinochet73

THE U.S. IS NUMBER ONE! NO QUESTION ABOUT IT. When it comes to evacuating embassies, WE DO IT FASTER THAN ANYONE. Gold medal performance, folks! Other countries can’t keep up, they’re SLOW, they’re WEAK. We get our people out QUICK, we’re the BEST at it—believe me! Nobody does it like the United States. We lead, others follow. AMERICA FIRST!

AugustoPinochet73

THE U.S. IS NUMBER ONE! NO QUESTION ABOUT IT. When it comes to evacuating embassies, WE DO IT FASTER THAN ANYONE. Gold medal performance, folks! Other countries can’t keep up, they’re SLOW, they’re WEAK. We get our people out QUICK, we’re the BEST at it—believe me! Nobody does it like the United States. We lead, others follow. AMERICA FIRST!

🇺🇸🇱🇧Report: The US embassy in Lebanon was surrounded by fences and soldiers

What else needs to happen before they pull the trigger as a precaution? https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-09-22/ty-article/.premium/u-s-officials-prepping-for-worst-amid-fear-of-all-out-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah/00000192-191c-dc8b-a7b6-5f7f9ce00000

So the Lebanese army is currently protecting the embassy from possible riots. This means if they evacuate the embassy for safety reasons, this market should resolve to YES.

"A guy comes up to me -- a big guy, tears in his eyes -- and he says, "Sir, Sir, how are you so great at evacuating embassies?"

🇮🇱🇱🇧❗This morning the Israeli Air Force launched its largest air strike on Lebanon since 2006, the entire country is on fire The IDF said it was striking targets belonging to the Hezbollah group and called on Lebanese to "leave areas where weapons depots are located."

https://x.com/intelFromBrian/status/1839730942631403878

https://x.com/anonymouswave1/status/1839732388483477690

AugustoPinochet73

The anonymous wave 😆😆😆😆😆😆

https://x.com/anonymouswave1/status/1839732388483477690