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Summary

The discussion around the betting market "Trump ends Ukraine war in the first 90 days?" revolves substantially around skepticism and strategic insights regarding the potential for this bet to resolve positively. Participants predominantly express doubt over the likelihood of Trump playing a decisive role in ending the Ukraine war within the stipulated timeline, with many attributing the ongoing conflict's resolution more to Putin's status and broader geopolitical dynamics than to Trump's actions. Additionally, there is confusion and debate regarding the specific conditions under which the bet would resolve in favor of 'Yes', accompanied by comparisons with different betting platforms and strategies for leveraging odds and liquidity.

  • Skepticism about Trump's Influence: Many commenters express doubt over Trump's capability to end the war within the 90-day window, noting Putin's role and ongoing international support for Ukraine as significant obstacles.
  • Market Conditions and Strategy: There is discussion about the specific terms that would allow the bet to resolve as 'Yes', with some participants noting that even announcements of potential ceasefires could technically fulfill the conditions, indicating a strategic play on the market rules.
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