Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on the 'Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?' market centers around the transparency and credibility of different poll aggregators, particularly RealClearPolitics (RCP) and their methodologies. There is significant debate over whether RCP and others exhibit bias and how this affects the reported polling margins. Another point of contention is the impact of different currencies on betting profits and the potential use of platform-specific tokens.

Polling Methodology and Bias: Participants argue about the reliability of poll aggregators like RCP, with many expressing frustration over perceived biases and inconsistencies in their methodologies and updates.
Betting Concerns: Some users are concerned about the impact of currency volatility on their betting margins, leading to suggestions for using more stable or platform-specific tokens to mitigate these issues.

Comments

That they have the balls to use the phrase "Real Clear" in their name astounds me.

RCP really clenching onto those three old 9/3-9/4 polls lol

Ok, this is unplayable and rcp should be investigated at this point

Literally cannot see how the market didn't see that coming

lmao what last minutes polls are gonna show up to screw over my trade

Harvard-Harris 9/4 - 9/5 in the trash now which makes it 2.3 - but they still keep the Emerson and NPR which are just as old

Really they are doing their customers a service by correctly weighing against the “fake news” polls with advanced scientific manipulation. Most on here are too small brained to understand.

Why did they drop TIPP 9/13 when there are other polls ending on 9/13 in the results (and a 9/12)? lol fuck rcp.

Guess i was a doofus to think they would let her rise a couple decimal points 😭

I’ve been screwed over by RCP the last three times, and yet I keep sticking around. I probably need some psychological help at this point...

A million in volume betting on... this. God bless America. I mean, God bless not America, certainly none of us are betting on this in America.