Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion revolves around speculation and analysis of potential pardons by Trump within his first 100 days. Key figures being discussed include Edward Snowden, Rudy Giuliani, Steve Bannon, and Roger Ver. There is skepticism regarding the likelihood of these individuals receiving pardons, with arguments citing legal nuances such as the limitations of presidential pardons and ongoing state-level charges. Some participants question the rationale behind betting on certain outcomes, while others dismiss the possibility of certain pardons based on past statements and legal implications.

There is considerable debate about the potential for Trump to pardon Edward Snowden, driven in part by online speculation, but some participants argue this is unlikely due to lack of motive and conflicting past statements by Trump.
The limitations of presidential pardons are highlighted, particularly concerning figures like Steve Bannon, whose state guilty pleas complicate the possibility of federal pardons being meaningful or possible.

Comments

I can't wait for Ross market to crash -50% on day 1

The funny thing about the Ross Ulbricht market is bettors on both sides think the other is side is completely retarded.

People really saw Trump throw the entire non-interventionist wing under the bus and go "yeah trump will totally keep his promise he made to a room of 14 balding incel libertarians"

shoutout to my counterparties

What if he sneezed and said "pardon me", would that count?

Sir you have 44 shares.

I'm just putting more and more on no. I struggle to find reasons on why trump would do such a thing, it'd give democrats such a great way to attack on him on his "tough on drugs and crime policy" + he also tried to murder people.

i wonder when will the panic selling start for “yes” buyers

Damn, a full pardon as well. Glad Ross is free! Congrats to the Yes shares.

on record - "If you vote for me on day one I will commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricth..."

It’s a prediction market u retard

dreadpiratehome

https://x.com/angela4LNCChair/status/1881533967209578781 Ross is coming home late tonight or tomorrow morning. Fuck you to all the "No" holders scumbags who tried making money off of Ross never getting out