Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion surrounding the potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in 2024 is varied and heated. Many participants skeptically engage with the belief that Trump could end the conflict, often countering with the view that neither side has an incentive to cease hostilities. Additionally, there's speculation about the impact of Western aid and the possibility of a short-term truce, specifically around Christmas, though skepticism remains regarding the practicality of such an agreement. Overall, the sentiment leans towards doubt about a ceasefire occurring within the specified timeframe.

The belief in Trump's ability to end the war is met with skepticism, with arguments emphasizing that he lacks significant leverage to force a resolution.
Discussion about a potential short Christmas truce is also met with doubt, especially considering the need for it to apply across all fronts per the market's rules.

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A friend's father works in Washington. Today I was urgently called to a meeting. He returned late and did not explain anything. He just told me to pack my things and run to the store for groceries for two weeks. Now we are going somewhere far outside the city. I don't know what's going on, but it seems to me it's started...

Imagine trusting a slav with last name Gordon.

Trump is gonna make a phone call and end the war! Totally gonna happen!

This order has just been sent to the front line: I ask you to inform the personnel that starting tomorrow at 12:00, a ceasefire begins. From 12:00, it is prohibited to fire, use strike drones, including FPV, and it is forbidden to use artillery, mortars, etc. Violations will be punished with a strict reprimand.

Gordon is condome. Lost his reputation. Scammer

the fact you placed a volume of 5.7k down without even knowing the Christmas truce (as if it would happen anyways) would be after the resolution of this bet says it all

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-says-russia-supports-orbans-pow-peace-proposals-2024-12-12/

The flight path of the plane from the special flight squad "Russia" indicates that someone from the Russian leadership may have spent two days in Washington this week. This may indicate secret negotiations, the results of which may become known in the coming days. Meanwhile, Zelensky said that tomorrow "an important decision by the United States in support of Ukraine" is being prepared. Also, the head of the DPR Denis Pushilin said that the curfew in the republic will be lifted from December 31 to January 7.

Gordon bet his reputation on that

In Gordon we trust.

You are welcome! 🫡

Thanks for your naïve optimism, yessers.