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Summary

Discussion on the Pennsylvania Senate Election Winner market largely centers on the tight vote count between candidates McCormick and Casey, with participants debating the feasibility of Casey overturning McCormick's lead. It seems the lead is fluctuating, with various users providing real-time updates on the number of outstanding ballots, projected percentages needed for a Casey victory, and skepticism over any ballot count discrepancies or uncounted votes. Some participants are concerned about potential voter fraud and procedural issues in specific counties, notably mentioning Bucks County. Case analysts suggest that without a significant shift in outstanding ballot counts from heavily Democratic areas, McCormick is likely to win the election.

  • Participants predominantly believe Casey needs an improbable percentage of remaining votes to secure a win, with estimates ranging from over 80% to 84% depending on the count of remaining ballots.
  • There are serious accusations and concerns about voter fraud and counting discrepancies, particularly involving Bucks County ignoring certain legal rulings, which could affect the reliability of the final vote count.
Comments
QuteAnon
3 months ago
Sorry MAGA, we still have 131k ballots left to count. Fortunately, we should have them all counted by Monday, at which time there will only be 150k ballots remaining.
Someone9876
3 months ago
whoever buying bob casey right now is a big fool
RDDDD
3 months ago
This vote counting is a total farce. There are actual third world countries with better systems in place. It is intentionally this way to favor one political party; funny how these long, extended vote counts NEVER favor the GOP.
genghisbrain
3 months ago
Just look at the ad he released. Makes him look weak and scared. It's a self-fulfilling loss.
BrockMacDonald/Steelersfan
3 months ago
Dave McCormick is winning PA Senate
Car
3 months ago
its over
AgricultureSecretary
3 months ago
AP and FOX called it for McCormick, gg.
0x85853aA8fc085b089401e6C4799227f3D417bDe1-1721596012999
3 months ago
Bob Casey is way underpriced in this. Multiple organizations (e.g. CNN, NBC) haven't called yet. McCormick is leading by 36.5k. There are roughly 100k votes left to count yet. There are 13k provisional ballots in Allegheny County alone and 20k in Philadelphia. Philly is voting by margin of 80%. This is a very risky call by AP at this point. Not even considering other surrounding counties to Philly, Erie, etc. There are also ~3k overseas ballots and who knows how many military. Point is this race is very much up in the air and very well may be a photo finish. $0.01 is insane to me.
0x85853aA8fc085b089401e6C4799227f3D417bDe1-1721596012999
3 months ago
Pruser is updating the data live as results come in (check bottom of sheet) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1N7NOlleN9QbJzxffRdPT00MnqJ7lQy3ssa7vtIsQqhY/edit?usp=sharing
BillyWalnuts
3 months ago
looks like Casey needs to get about 71% of the estimated provisional vote share to pull it off. currently getting closer to 63%