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Summary

The discussion on the Nebraska Senate Election market is dominated by debates surrounding the polling data and predictions for candidates Fischer and Osborn. Participants express skepticism about the availability and neutrality of polls, with references to specific polling results indicating a tight race. There is substantial discussion about whether existing polls are biased or reliable predictors. Many users express doubt about Osborn's chances due to historical election outcomes and question the strategy of painting him near the Democratic party. A variety of opinions on market pricing and betting strategies are present, with some advocating for betting on Fischer while others push for investing in Osborn, highlighting a volatile and uncertain market atmosphere.

  • Polling Concerns: Many participants emphasize the absence of nonpartisan polls and the potential inaccuracy of the available partisan polls, leading to uncertainty about the real picture of the race.
  • Betting Strategies and Market Views: There is a clear division between those confident in Fischer's lead and others advocating for Osborn's potential, reflecting a broader uncertainty in market predictions.
Comments
AnEggplant
6 months ago
What you do in the privacy of your bedroom is your business, bud
aenews2
6 months ago
Well, it's too bad but I guess no one's willing to fill me anymore. Been fun, guys.
Rayse
6 months ago
Race to the white house now has Osborn at 30% chance. Bet accordingly. https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24
c4t4
6 months ago
First non-commissioned poll with Osborn up this thing goes 50/50. Get in now.
icecoldeddie
6 months ago
This race could get very interesting these next few weeks. People in and around Omaha absolutely dispise Fischer.
Rayse
6 months ago
New poll was released. GG Fischer holders
AnEggplant
6 months ago
This is 2:1 for Fischer at best
Rayse
6 months ago
Yupp. What makes me think its actually competitive is the fact that Fischer's internal poll was actually quite weak, and the fact she has barely released any of her own makes me think she doesnt want to draw attention to her weak numbers
AnEggplant
6 months ago
This is 2:1 for Fischer at best
Rayse
6 months ago
Buy your 21 cent shares from the fishes before they realize what's happening
rtels2023
5 months ago
This race reminds me a lot of the 2014 Kansas Senate race. The Republican incumbent and Independent challenger were running neck and neck in the polls, and most showed the independent leading. But in the end, the Republican won by 10 points - less than usual, but not all that close. Of course, the difference between that race and this one is that one had many nonpartisan, high-quality polls, while we still don't have any in Nebraska. Unless and until we get one, I will remain skeptical as to whether the rise of Osborn is real.
WizardOfOdds
11 months ago
is this the special election for Sasse's seat (Ricketts) or for Fischer's seat