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Summary

The market discussion surrounding the potential dismissal or death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024 is filled with speculation and conjecture. Concerns primarily focus on his health, as numerous sources, including major news outlets, have reported that he is gravely ill. While some participants speculate about a possible successor, others believe an external force, such as a targeted attack by Israel, might accelerate his removal, particularly in the context of recent regional tensions. The conversation is peppered with allegations and assumptions about political maneuvers rather than actionable insights. Overall, feelings about Khamenei's future are mixed with pessimism and some making jokes about the gravity of the situation.

  • There is a shared belief among some commenters that Khamenei’s health issues will lead to him being replaced, either naturally or through external influences.
  • The possibility of Israeli intervention or retaliation features prominently in discussions, especially in light of recent regional instability involving Israeli and Iranian leadership.
Comments
debased
6 months ago
serious recommendation - if you are looking for a longshot bet, go bet on biden not finising his term. he is in a worse condition than khamenei and the market expires 20 days later than this one .
NERA
6 months ago
i suspect khameni Son is called Erasmus and he's here the biggest holder of NO
BrightPuppers
6 months ago
Good thing Iran is a democracy amirite
Shmultz
6 months ago
Even better, in Democracies, like Israel, every time Bibi goes into a special medical treatment (happens alot lately), he must temp give his title to someone else. Will happen here aswell.
NERA
6 months ago
exactly and since he sleep at night so its done
0xffffffff
6 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time....any length of time, not just completely off
IranIsRuined
6 months ago
יש לנו מידע שמציע שזה יכול להיות תוך חודש שהוא ימנה יורש שיילחם במלחמה נגדנו, אנחנו ננצח, אבל הוא לא יצליח
ScienceDog
6 months ago
just assassination is not enough! we need to see him and the whole iranian revolutionary guard go in flames on live tv and the persian go celebrate it
Lulu1
6 months ago
Man why everyone gotta be so negative and hope that he assassinated? I just hope he gets replaced or smth
0xffffffff
6 months ago
your PNL showing you didnt pass it well enough, fren
NERA
6 months ago
Polymarket need to introduce IQ test before they give access
ScienceDog
6 months ago
don't worry, mossad will make sure he makes it out :)
MAGA-King
6 months ago
He's in a coma. Hope he makes it. https://x.com/FEDDUPP2/status/1858716133240512976
latenightdegen
7 months ago
finally, a new IDF assassination market 😂
blastard
7 months ago
guy is also 85