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AA42
7 months ago
Really the only risk is the 85 year old dying in the period, quick number-crunching on this: According to the Social Security Administration’s 2017 Life Tables, someone aged 85 has about an 8.969% chance of dying within a year. Using the formula -ln(1 - q_x) to find the mortality rate and plugging in 7 months (which is about 0.583 years), the probability to be around 5.32%. That is for an average American, Khamenei is a world leader under constant medical supervision and clearly very lucid and more mobile than most 85 year olds.
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AA42
7 months ago
No is retardedly underpriced, tempted to add more money to this site... It is absolutely impossible for Israel to take him out. There are 15 minute video compilations of Iranian missiles hitting Israel in tight groupings. It is a fact that Iran can hit anywhere in Israel, Israel knows this and is why they refuse to touch Iranian infrastructure, because if they do Iran will hit their desalination and power plants and anyone who can leave Israel will leave. It genuinely is an existential threat which they will definitely not provide.
AA42
7 months ago
gi Joe retarded amerimutt understanding of geopolitics
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Ernstjunger
7 months ago
Even if he doesn't get ousted, Israel will certainly take a more agressive posture vis a vis Iran once Trump takes office which will increase YES odds significantly
Bibu
6 months ago
There should be market on Israel/US attack on Iran. Why isnt there one?
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AA42
7 months ago
No is retardedly underpriced, tempted to add more money to this site... It is absolutely impossible for Israel to take him out. There are 15 minute video compilations of Iranian missiles hitting Israel in tight groupings. It is a fact that Iran can hit anywhere in Israel, Israel knows this and is why they refuse to touch Iranian infrastructure, because if they do Iran will hit their desalination and power plants and anyone who can leave Israel will leave. It genuinely is an existential threat which they will definitely not provide.
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amused85
7 months ago
he may abdicate
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AA42
7 months ago
No is retardedly underpriced, tempted to add more money to this site... It is absolutely impossible for Israel to take him out. There are 15 minute video compilations of Iranian missiles hitting Israel in tight groupings. It is a fact that Iran can hit anywhere in Israel, Israel knows this and is why they refuse to touch Iranian infrastructure, because if they do Iran will hit their desalination and power plants and anyone who can leave Israel will leave. It genuinely is an existential threat which they will definitely not provide.
amused85
7 months ago
due to bad health. his son is already appointed
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AA42
7 months ago
No is retardedly underpriced, tempted to add more money to this site... It is absolutely impossible for Israel to take him out. There are 15 minute video compilations of Iranian missiles hitting Israel in tight groupings. It is a fact that Iran can hit anywhere in Israel, Israel knows this and is why they refuse to touch Iranian infrastructure, because if they do Iran will hit their desalination and power plants and anyone who can leave Israel will leave. It genuinely is an existential threat which they will definitely not provide.
Viner
7 months ago
The only reason Iran exists is because Biden stops the attack Don't underestimate Israel's capabilities.
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AA42
7 months ago
No is retardedly underpriced, tempted to add more money to this site... It is absolutely impossible for Israel to take him out. There are 15 minute video compilations of Iranian missiles hitting Israel in tight groupings. It is a fact that Iran can hit anywhere in Israel, Israel knows this and is why they refuse to touch Iranian infrastructure, because if they do Iran will hit their desalination and power plants and anyone who can leave Israel will leave. It genuinely is an existential threat which they will definitely not provide.
sMILE
7 months ago
he is old af. do what you gotta do with this info.
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FrankyFourFingers
4 months ago
yeah buy that with your $58 winnings
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GuyWhoFcks
5 months ago
In the next two months, YES price won't move much, so I could sell at a small loss. However, if he dies of old age, I'm buying a 5090
Ernstjunger
7 months ago
Even if he doesn't get ousted, Israel will certainly take a more agressive posture vis a vis Iran once Trump takes office which will increase YES odds significantly
1