Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | Polymarket Tracker

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Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Last updated 1 month ago

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Summary

The discussion in the betting market centered on whether Israel would take military action against Iran by a specified deadline, with much speculation fueled by recent geopolitical developments. Key points include the U.S.'s imposition of new sanctions on Iran and a recent cyberattack on Iran's government, which some participants suggested were efforts by the U.S. to buy more time for Israel to postpone military action. Furthermore, the timing of Yom Kippur, a significant day in Israel, was mentioned as a factor potentially influencing Israel's decision-making. The likelihood of an immediate Israeli response appeared low among the participants, with differing opinions on the strategic importance of launching an attack during the religious holiday.

Recent U.S. sanctions and a cyberattack on Iran were viewed as strategic moves to avoid immediate Israeli military retaliation and control Iran's oil export capabilities.
Yom Kippur, an important religious holiday in Israel, contributes to skepticism about imminent military action, with some speculating on potential surprise tactics, but consensus on immediate response being unlikely.

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Iran govt was cyber attacked very recently in all 3 major branches. https://x.com/IranIntl_En/status/1844812179826212963 On top of this, the US momentarily ago issued new sanctions adding Irans ghost fleet of Oil Tankers they use to deliver oil to countries without an Iranian ID (to avoid sanctions) to the sanctions list. This is likely part of the agreement with israel not to strike Irans Oil infra and instead kill their ability to export on tankers. All hope is not lost, something may happen in 10 hours, but most likely the US is effectively buying time and Israel may wait for a more opportune moment.

CheerfulPessimist

No, tomorrow is "this Friday" and Friday in a week is "next Friday".

MAGA-TRUMP-MAGA

Next Friday is tommorrow. WTF makes up these markets?

When you bet on war use your brain and not media, israel is busy with proxies and have their plates full. If they attack it will definitely be post friday. These betting prices are from fear and emotion, put yourself in Israel's shoes. Iran has already said they will 100% attack almost all Israel's resources if Israel responds on Iranian soil. Israel is too deep in too many areas to worry about a "quick response".

The IDF is controlled by the Jews! Wake up!

McDonalds-Employee

You are trying to push Yes Votes, but the tweet is actually pushing No Votes higher, I quote: "A source with knowledge of the issue said Netanyahu has been waiting for several days to get a call with Biden, but this has not yet happened. Biden said several times that he is expected to speak with Netanyahu, but explained that this will happen after Israel decides how to respond to the Iranian attack, which has not happened yet either."

Imagine being a no holder and seeing this sequence of tweets hahahaha https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1843719814067712293

McDonalds-Employee

Sure I will trust a source called "Terror Alarm" hungry for impressions, good job guys, you fell right into the trap🙂

MAGA-TRUMP-MAGA

I am in the center of Teran and a missle just landed in my backyard and it says "With love from Israel"

Fredi9999WASP🐝

Fuck it's actually happening, they launched Missiles FUUUCK

Israel prob responds this week, hits some military bases, Iran says don’t do it again, Israel says no YOU don’t do it again. Oil spikes then sells off. Israel continues to target Hamas, Hezbollah etc. USA says play nice.

Nothing will happens as always

They rather strike women and children than big boy Iran… The diaper army would shit their pants

https://x.com/AJABreaking/status/1843699524415443001 ^^ Y'all are gonna learn that I am the best geopolitics predictooooor on this site very fast.