Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | Polymarket Tracker

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Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Last updated 3 days ago

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Summary

The discussion on the market "Israel military response against Iran by Friday" largely centers around predictions and analysis of Israeli military actions. Many participants express skepticism about an imminent Israeli military strike against Iran, especially due to the timing coinciding with Jewish holidays like Rosh Hashanah and Shabbat. Some traders indicate changes in their position, either buying or selling based on these perceptions. Topics include strategic timing for possible strikes, military intelligence reports, and geopolitical influences such as statements from global leaders, which all contribute to the ongoing debate and speculation on the likelihood of military action.

Participants express skepticism about imminent military action, taking into account religious observances like Shabbat and Jewish New Year which might delay any decision to attack.
Some bettors reconsider their positions based on recent developments, intelligence reports, and geopolitical statements, showcasing a dynamic and uncertain landscape regarding potential Israeli actions against Iran.

Comments

Happy Jewish New Year!

Israel will not hesitate to strike

It’s gonna be yes

"We don't allow Israel, we advise Israel, and there's nothing that's going to happen today" - Biden today

This certainly changed the odds

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Attack is imminent

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Barak Ravid: Israel is expected to respond to the Iranian missile attack within days and will attack strategic sites in Iran. Senior Israeli officials said that one of the targets of such an attack might be the country's oil facilities. Netanyahu is expected to discuss the matter with President Biden today.

That Israel will respond to this Iranian attack, there is no doubt about it, it just has to respond. Especially after all the statements. The only open question is whether they will do it before Saturday or later. As far as I am concerned, with 80%+ probability they will do it in the next few days. They wanted to respond immediately, but since the response is planned to be more serious than last time, consultations within and with the US were necessary.

the price fell so much, as if the market expected to be told in advance of the time and place of such a blow if there was one. Obviously these plans are kept top secret, aren't they?