Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?

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Last updated 4 months ago

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Summary

The discussion around the "Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024" market highlights the differing opinions on the likelihood of military conflict between the two nations. Participants expressed skepticism over the definitive outcomes of such events, with some suggesting Israel's covert actions, while others believe that a large-scale war is improbable. Concerns were also raised about the pricing of "Yes" and "No" shares, indicating that the resolution rules are a critical factor in the decision-making process. Debates about previous covert operations and their implications for the current market also featured prominently.

There is significant debate over whether Israel's potential military action would be overt or continue in a covert manner, which affects the market's perceived risk.
Pricing and market resolution rules remain a contentious issue, with some believing that current prices do not accurately reflect the circumstances due to the ambiguity of resolution criteria.

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