This market is closed and no longer accepting bets.
59
Comments
1
Market
0
Comments per hour
Summary

The discussion around the question of whether Iran will strike Israel before November revealed a mix of skepticism and concern. Many participants expressed their belief that an actual attack on Israeli soil was unlikely, often quoting official sources and pointing out the high efficiency of Israel's missile defense systems. Some commenters debated the interpretation of what would constitute a "strike" and whether interceptions outside of Israel would count, while others speculated on the potential responses from both sides and the broader geopolitical implications. There was also a significant amount of doubt cast on the immediacy of any actual threat, with many indicating confidence that no major developments would occur.

  • Participants generally lean towards the belief that there will be no successful strike on Israeli soil due to robust defenses and logistical challenges.
  • There is ongoing debate about what qualifies as a strike, and whether intercepted missiles outside Israeli boundaries would impact the outcome of the market.
Comments