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David033
6 months ago
The rules don't state that the claims have to be his
moneymakermars
6 months ago
how could he be motivated by denied claim if he was never insured by them?
bruceyt
7 months ago
Fact Check: everyone involved in UMA belongs in front of a firing squad
taerv534
7 months ago
You know there's a way to operationalize "i bet"...
DjDeez
7 months ago
i bet this ends up being a no. He went to UPenn, his family is rich. He prob has great health insurance.
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
this actually already has enough to resolve. the desperate no holders are just gonna try to FUD it. maybe the back surgery, the manifesto, and the bullet carvings were all a prank and his real motive was he didn't like overweight white men
jconfusedpinetree
7 months ago
Word to no holders - the motivation doesn’t need to be solely denied claims or even mostly denied claims. Given the fact that the words on the bullets (deny, delay, depose) reference a book about insurance companies denying claims, hard to see how this won’t resolve to yes, though anything is possible. (inb4 “buy more then”)
Tom.Cruise
6 months ago
if you spent as much time researching your positions as you did pumping conspiracies you might actually become a winning trader
pixls
6 months ago
It’s hard to believe Shayne Coplan and Polymarket still have any credibility after declaring a 100% chance of government shutdown (https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-before-2025) and letting whales blatantly manipulate outcomes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzbLClVAA3o. The FBI raid on his house starts to make a lot more sense when you notice how much of the trading volume comes from bots, carefully orchestrated to make the platform seem more active than it really is.
Hull
7 months ago
What a horrible market.
GretchenWhitmersBasementSlave
6 months ago
Was he aware of UnitedHealthcare's delaying and denying practices? Yes. Would that have motivated him to commit this murder? Yes. Has the information shared so far been sufficient to validate these two premises? Yes, but resolution will take time and likely more concrete verification.
GretchenWhitmersBasementSlave
7 months ago
They're going to keep pumping No up artificially because they never want me to escape Gretchen Whitmer's basement.
jconfusedpinetree
7 months ago
Word to no holders - the motivation doesn’t need to be solely denied claims or even mostly denied claims. Given the fact that the words on the bullets (deny, delay, depose) reference a book about insurance companies denying claims, hard to see how this won’t resolve to yes, though anything is possible. (inb4 “buy more then”)
PerCapita
6 months ago
Can you guys please hire someone who can write rules that clearly delineate each outcome? Right now, my bet is partially a prediction of how Polymarket will interpret its own rules. I'll fucking do it if you need me to.