Will Biden resign before the election? | Polymarket Tracker

This market is open and accepting bets.

60

Comments

1

Market

0

Comments per hour

Summary

The discussion on whether President Biden will resign before the next election is highly divided. Some commenters speculate that pressure might mount for Biden to resign to avoid negative effects on his legacy, or to pave the way for Kamala Harris to become the first female president. However, others argue that there's little incentive for Biden to resign, as it could damage his legacy and complicate Harris' campaign. Joe Biden's recent announcement confirming he will not seek reelection has added more fuel to the debate, leading traders to bet on both sides of the resignation question. The comments also highlighted different interpretations of the market's resolution rules, specifically regarding how Biden’s potential resignation should be treated.

Biden's Resignation Speculation: Predictions about Biden resigning are largely driven by strategic factors, such as handing Kamala Harris the presidency to strengthen her position or to protect Biden’s legacy.
Resolution Rules Controversy: There is notable debate surrounding the interpretation of the market's rules, especially regarding whether Biden's announcement alone would trigger a "Yes" resolution, even if he does not formally resign.

Comments

if he dies this resolves to no.

16 Billion dollars from FTX is about to be released back into the crypto market, yet people are willing to park their money for 3 months, and risk a 100% loss for a measly 3% return on an 81 year old that has already been pushed aside from his party, not resigning. Imagine watching the crypto market fly as your money is parked here, holding on for your tiny little return, only to wake up one morning and seeing that it went to ZERO. “NO” holders must hate money.

You'd had to be brain dead to bet yes here. There is zero advantage for Joe to resign before the election. Neither for Joe nor for Harris. Joes legacy would be destroyed if he resigns in disgrace and everyone would question Harris again why she was part of a coverup. Additionally, she would have a much harder time campaigning while fulfilling the duties of the office. If you think he is a full on dementia patient, why would they not be able to cover the last two months up too? It’s only 55 days left. And if he dies or has an incapacitating stroke, this would resolve to No, too.

Harris stepping into the presidency could generate massive media coverage and offer her campaign the opportunity to create a narrative of leadership, power, and continuity. It would also give her direct control over policy decisions that could be popular with key voter groups.

Mountainman is the biggest retarded faggot I've seen on this site comparing his 500 dollar memcoin investment to a liquid 40% annualized return. Actually kill yourself

The probability is not very high.

Imagine parking 26k for 4 months, for a 3 percent return... knowing that it can turn to zero at any second and thinking you should be giving people advice hahaha. You know that you can literally make more of a return in about an hour with almost no risk? Some of you are legit clueless.

Death or 25th amendment will also resolve to no according to rules

Put up a limit order for 300k shares and I'm sure someone will take it. Unless your posting random tweets has scared everyone else off. Very strong evidence, I don't know how I'll sleep now.

16 Billion dollars from FTX is about to be released back into the crypto market, yet people are willing to park their money for 3 months, and risk a 100% loss for a measly 3% return on an 81 year old that has already been pushed aside from his party, not resigning. Imagine watching the crypto market fly as your money is parked here, holding on for your tiny little return, only to wake up one morning and seeing that it went to ZERO. “NO” holders must hate money.

So when Sleepy Joe sleeps forever while being President this is a "No"?

So when Sleepy Joe sleeps forever while being President this is a "No"?