This market is closed and no longer accepting bets.
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Summary
The discussion surrounding the "Airdrops by September 30?" market primarily revolves around the timing and validity of the airdrop, as well as the role of major voting influencers known as "whales." Proponents of resolving "Yes" argue that on-chain evidence shows airdrop transactions occurring before the deadline, while opponents cite the official announcement from Eigenlayer, which was made post-deadline, as justification for a "No" resolution. The influence of large stakeholders, particularly UMA voters, is also a contentious point, with some participants suggesting that decisions should align with these powerful voters' interests.
- On-chain data suggests airdrops were swapped before the deadline, contradicting the formal announcement timeline.
- The significance of large stakeholders ("whales") impacts voting outcomes, emphasizing a shift towards their influence over official sources.
Comments
Car
1 year ago
What about Polymarket Airdrop
23
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Liked by debased, Skip-Earth... and 21 others
1PrecentRicher
1 year ago
I see so Stakedrop from Eigen were not tradeable/transferable. It was just Eigen team moving their tokens. Which means market should go to No.
11
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Liked by n/a, n/a and 9 others
Axios
1 year ago
Hey guys, check this out. "On chain" transactions from 100 DAYS AGO. Why didn't this resolve earlier? Because it wasn't live for trading or swapping. Or unlocked. https://etherscan.io/txs?a=0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83&p=2000
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BlackSky123
1 year ago
https://etherscan.io/txs?a=0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83&p=1440 Here are transactions from over 24 hours ago... obviously the token was not unlocked or live for trading or swapping until after midnight
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n/a
1 year ago
Obviosly no lol
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WenDrop
1 year ago
Where is Scroll airdrop bet?
7
Chrome
1 year ago
Still believe this should resolve no, but gg's yes. Moving forward, should probably just start betting based on whatever UMA whales think
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0x28Ef478D6C5A488EAE787DbB13Dcf25F33c0e092-1724687480387
1 year ago
Looks like it's really a "NO"
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Apsalar
1 year ago
imagine betting against YatSen. shouldn't be me
6
Wojtek
1 year ago
Where is Scroll?
5