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Apsalar
2 months ago
Sorry I don't have an opinion on this market. Aenews hasn't taken up a large position yet.
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Liked by aenews2, n/a and 10 others
aenews2
1 month ago
Data is coming in pretty hot
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viltalik
1 month ago
What do the yesoors know?
aenews2
1 month ago
In a surprise to no one, the final is 130. Congrats and condolences to all, and see you in the next market.
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analord
1 month ago
just tweaked the numbers of the JRP repository, returns 119 every time. 130 only returns if you don't account for the celsius/fahrenheit conversion in the first few lines
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Tkromm
1 month ago
It seems we have the ERA5 results: sites.ecmwf.int/data/climatepulse/data/series/era5_daily_series_2t_global.csv Daily mean absolute temperature: Aug23 16.821 - Aug24 16.822
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OmenOfLord
1 month ago
We basically have good enough data to say this is going to be slightly lower or a tie. There's maybe a maybe 15% chance it comes in higher now that we have data sources. Definitely worth the risk/reward
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OmenOfLord
1 month ago
For August 2024, preliminary reports suggest that temperatures remain high but are slightly lower than those of August 2023. There has been a slight decrease in the intensity of marine heatwaves, and some regions experienced near-normal temperatures, which could contribute to this slight dip. However, the ongoing El Niño is still contributing to elevated temperatures globally, keeping August 2024 among the hottest months on record, even if it doesn't exceed the previous year's levels. Both NOAA and other global agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and the European Copernicus Climate Change Service are closely monitoring these trends. The final data for August 2024 will provide more clarity, but the current indications suggest that while it will be close, August 2024 might tie or be slightly cooler than August 2023
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morisarm
1 month ago
Something tells me there will be a tie, so the no will win
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SLEEPYJOE
1 month ago
Uh ok someones trying to dump 100k shares ... which YES holder is nervous they are on the wrong side of the trade?
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Tibo
1 month ago
Copernicus, the EU model, i wouldn't say it's 100% a NO but it's def more 50/50 than 98/2
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