Ohio Presidential Election Winner
GenericUser1234
8 months ago
Not saying it's more than 50% likely, but 13% seems underpriced. There haven't been any GE polls in Ohio since Harris took over. NYT reported recently that GOP showed private polls to the reporter that were worrisome, showing Trump below 50% (see article here: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/trump-campaign-election.html). Also, Senate polls are seeing Brown lead Moreno by 4-5% consistently over last few months (see here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/ohio/). With a likely post DNC convention bounce, I could see new Ohio polls showing a much closer race for Harris, maybe even Harris up 1-2% (remember that Obama won Ohio in 2008). All told, 13% is undervalued IMO, but we'll see.
2
Reactions
| User | Date |
|---|---|
| polibetter | 8 months ago |
| EdgyUsername | 8 months ago |