Israel military action against Iraq before November?
fraud
3 months ago
As previously stated, verbiage is important. Words like "may" or "suggest" do not constitute confirmation. Both the New York Times and Wall Street Journal provide ambiguous or inconclusive reporting, focusing primarily on Iranian territory. The fact that Israeli jets flew through Iraqi airspace does not meet the market's criteria for confirming military action on Iraqi soil. Furthermore, Iraq’s official denial of any strikes on its territory adds weight to the argument against a "Yes" resolution. The phrase "may" in any reporting, such as "Iran said Israel may have used Iraqi airspace," does not constitute definitive confirmation. The market requires explicit evidence of Israeli military action on Iraqi soil, and this has not been provided by any credible media outlet. The lack of any clear consensus, combined with Iraq's denial, means the conditions for a "Yes" resolution are not met. With these points in mind, this market should either resolve as No or remain marked as Too Early until clearer evidence emerges that supports direct military action on Iraqi territory. To resolve this prematurely as "Yes" would be to base the outcome on speculation, not confirmation.
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