Will Trump sanction Russia before March? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

There is a discussion centered around the possible actions of former President Trump and how they might be interpreted in relation to the market question on whether he will sanction Russia before March. Comments speculate on the nuances between tariffs and sanctions, and how different interpretations could impact the outcome for bettors.

The distinction between tariffs and sanctions is a key focus, with questions about whether tariffs could be considered as sanctions if they are perceived as having a similar impact.
Bettors are concerned about the clarity of the market rules and the potential for different interpretations influencing the resolution of the market.

Comments

https://pmexpressng.com/six-nigerians-sanctioned-by-us-over-6m-cyber-scam/ Same executive order. Were these sanctions against Nigeria? No. Unless, the sanctioned individuals acted on behalf of the Russian state, it cannot qualify. And there’s no evidence that they did.

Why not just drop UMA, Polymarket?

Some person sits and decides for the entire market how profitable it is for him to steal other people’s money! This is what it looks like! maybe the court will sort it out?

I hope this will resolve the dispute. The sanctions were imposed on the basis of Executive Order No. 14144 (which is clear from the press-report). The Executive Order No. 14144 is entitled "Russian Harmful Foreign Activities Sanctions Act", and, I quote Blocking Property With Respect To Specified Harmful Foreign Activities of the Government of the Russian Federation". According to OFAC's website, it "establishes a new national emergency under which sanctions may be imposed against individuals and entities furthering specified harmful foreign activities of the Russian Federation". You can check the executive order. It is clear that both this Executive Order and the sanctions imposed on the Russian individuals and the legal entity today are targeted against Russia.

Car is the number one killer of males 18-25.

dont worry, I'm putting this on twitter. Hart Lambur will suffer!

If any yes holders want to join my lawsuit against Polymarket over their resolution practices, please lmk.

These sanctions are clearly part of a broader strategy targeting Russian government-affiliated cyber operations. The legal framework and context indicate that these actions are clearly targeting Russian state-linked entities. I can’t believe this market still hasn’t resolved to "Yes."

+1 to mr.ozi, once again a case of Ron trying to be a lawyer and finding loop holes in the rules to overturn a market

the fact that EO No. 14144 (i.e. Russia-specific one) was invoked is confirmed by the OFAC official press-release: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0018 The "NO" holders are desperate.

https://pmexpressng.com/six-nigerians-sanctioned-by-us-over-6m-cyber-scam/ Same executive order. Were these sanctions against Nigeria? No. Unless, the sanctioned individuals acted on behalf of the Russian state, it cannot qualify. And there’s no evidence that they did.

This is a far-fetched and factually wrong analogy. The sanctions at issue were imposed on the basis of the EO entitled "Russian Harmful Foreign Activities Sanctions Act" and which starts with the words "Blocking Property With Respect To Specified Harmful Foreign Activities of the Government of the Russian Federation". Those individuals were clearly sanctioned as an arm of the Russian State, and it is also clear from what the British Foreign Secretary specifically referred to the Kremlin (i.e. the Russian Government): https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-uk-sanctions-target-russian-cybercrime-networksaid:

https://pmexpressng.com/six-nigerians-sanctioned-by-us-over-6m-cyber-scam/ Same executive order. Were these sanctions against Nigeria? No. Unless, the sanctioned individuals acted on behalf of the Russian state, it cannot qualify. And there’s no evidence that they did.