Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November? | Polymarket Tracker

This market is closed and no longer accepting bets.

102

Comments

1

Market

0

Comments per hour

Summary

The discussion on the outcome of whether Russia will capture Pokrovsk before November revolves around military strategies, the logistics involved, and the current advancement of Russian forces. There are diverse opinions, with some users confident in Russia's capability due to their military size and equipment, while others doubt the feasibility within the timeframe given the tactical challenges and the need for securing surrounding towns. Some participants have also speculated on potential market bets that could arise from this outcome.

There is ongoing skepticism about Russia's ability to capture Pokrovsk in time due to logistical challenges and Ukraine's defensive strategies.
Speculation over market values is influenced by recent military movements and strategic analysis, resulting in various betting strategies.

Comments

Situation south of Pokrovsk shared by an ukrainian soldier, 29 August: - situation not just critical, it's a nightmare - 3 towns lost in last 2 days - enemy advances with speed over 1 km/day - enemy almost in Selidovo, it could be lost in days or even hours - Selidovo is critical for logistics both to Pokrovsk and Kurakhovo - lacking personnel - not even talking about fortifications, it's mind-boggling comparing to Russian speed in Kursk oblast - people just fleeing the battlefield without even notifying other units

CompulsiveGambler

Thank you anonymous non holder I trust you with my life

Advisor: Yes at 11c is cheap after ISW changes. Buy it. Thank me later.

Pokrovsk Front continues to collapse massively. The speed of the frontline changes suggest that the Ukrainian defenders had abandoned positions and the Russian are progressing without much fighting. Half of Hrodivka had been taken by the Russian forces, while they had also captured Krutyi Yar, Novohrodivka, Marynivka, Mykhailivka and Novotoretske. Fighting has also arrived in Selydove while the landbridge north of Karlivka falls to Russian control. There is currently no end in sight to the current collapse.

and how to spot someone with no arguments or knowledge of anything at all? just see who is repeating common catchphrases, and doesnt know how to disagree, argue, or anything

people were trading no's based on an empty statement from the ukraine commander. a guy who was bragging, as if it was his biggest achievement, the fact that russia did not moved for 6 days on that front line. when russia doesn't need to move everyday. this is not even their strategy. it's about drones and soldier ratio. so that when they decide to move, they go fast. just like it just happened now, they have just moved again, and took over another city, which was almost empty, in a matter of a few hours. and they are now just 7km from pokrovk this time

people were trading no's based on an empty statement from the ukraine commander. a guy who was bragging, as if it was his biggest achievement, the fact that russia did not moved for 6 days on that front line. when russia doesn't need to move everyday. this is not even their strategy. it's about drones and soldier ratio. so that when they decide to move, they go fast. just like it just happened now, they have just moved again, and took over another city, which was almost empty, in a matter of a few hours. and they are now just 7km from pokrovk this time

🤺JustPunched

Hold the phone...WAIT A MINUTE....another colossal Russian failure? There must be a mistake.

x10 for russia win, lets buy YES. Its gem

Arestovych, former advisor to Zelensky, posted a map of how Donbas will fall: - As Russia reaches the strategic logistic hub of Pokrovsk, it can create a massive encirclement in both the north and south - Also, there are no more defensive lines west of Pokrovsk until the Dnieper.

Ukraine can only defend Pokrovsk if they redeploy all troops from Kursk. Otherwise it will fall in 2-3 weeks.

Whats your opionion on the market? We have been at these 50/50 levels pretty long. Do you think the chance is really 50% or will ukraine really put more men to defend pokrovks, as russia inches closer?

🤺JustPunched