GPT-5 released in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on the betting platform regarding the release of GPT-5 in 2024 highlights differing interpretations and expectations among participants. Some believe the recently introduced OpenAI o1 represents GPT-5 due to its advanced capabilities and a reset in naming conventions. Others argue that the o1 is a distinct series, not an explicit successor to GPT-4, citing continued development in the GPT series as evidence that a separate GPT-5 has not been released. This debate is fueled by statements from OpenAI and the context in which these AI models are being developed and announced.

Confusion over Naming and Series: There is debate over whether OpenAI's new o1 series signifies the release of GPT-5. Some argue that it marks a new AI capability level, while others believe it represents a separate model not fitting GPT-5 criteria.
Vague Announcements: Statements from OpenAI, including those from CEO Sam Altman, contribute to differing interpretations, with some believing the next big model mentioned is GPT-5, while others see it as a different advancement.

Comments

JasonPapadopoulos

then why are you betting no?

Liked by n/a, mango-lass... and 11 others

Sam Altman said repeatedly that they are “going to release our next big model this year“, e.g. in his Lex Fridman interview in March

infiloop - 30897

Can’t be a more obvious no

larnzius.schmarnzius

its released and announcend

We already have this market: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-announced?tid=1722470579405

Read carefully (in the same blog post): "We also plan to continue developing and releasing models in our GPT series, in addition to the new OpenAI o1 series." Clearly not GPT-5

GPT5 has been released with a new name: O1 - "for complex reasoning tasks this is a significant advancement and represents a new level of AI capability. Given this, we are resetting the counter back to 1 and naming this series OpenAI o1." https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/

GPT5 has been released with a new name: O1 - "for complex reasoning tasks this is a significant advancement and represents a new level of AI capability. Given this, we are resetting the counter back to 1 and naming this series OpenAI o1." https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/

Altman just said no GPT-5 this year. https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/1ggixzy/comment/luq96qs/

Sam Altman said repeatedly that they are “going to release our next big model this year“, e.g. in his Lex Fridman interview in March

GrannyWeatherwax

Strawberry is not to be considered as GPT5,, as per the article you posted.

StormPrediction

Posted today: GPT 5 Strawberry expected release date of Sept 24th according to the Information: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/new-details-on-openais-strawberry-apples-siri-makeover-larry-ellison-doubles-down-on-data-centers

Ha domer, beat you!

bummer, just placed a buy hearing the exact opposite. thanks for linking the convo. glad i didnt yolo