Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? | Polymarket Tracker

This market is open and accepting bets.

Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday?

Last updated 1 year ago

6

Comments

1

Market

0

Comments per hour

Comments

not the clearest rules hear. does he need to explicitly say he is "endorsing" Trump, or would him stating his intention to vote for Trump be sufficient?

I don't think intention to vote, especially if its something like "if he's the nominee I'll vote for him"

not the clearest rules hear. does he need to explicitly say he is "endorsing" Trump, or would him stating his intention to vote for Trump be sufficient?

the example you gave is clear-cut, but it definitely can end up being more ambiguous than that. There are many ways to, for all intents and purposes, endorse someone without using the word "endorse"

I don't think intention to vote, especially if its something like "if he's the nominee I'll vote for him"

Yeah, for sure. Anything which indicates that McConnel firmly believes Trump is or should be the rightful presumptive nominee should count. "Looks like he's going to win" shouldn't. Bright lines here are impossible though, I think. Hopefully that will cover 90% of the cases tho.

not the clearest rules hear. does he need to explicitly say he is "endorsing" Trump, or would him stating his intention to vote for Trump be sufficient?

My guess the most likely 'endorsement' will come in the form of "It's time for the GOP to coalesce behind Trump for the good of the party." That is if there is an endorsement in the next few days, which seems unlikely given this current market.

not the clearest rules hear. does he need to explicitly say he is "endorsing" Trump, or would him stating his intention to vote for Trump be sufficient?

Looks like he will turtle up, but if he does decide to come out of his shell this market might still resolve to yes.