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hughjonesd
1 year ago
85% against joining the US - not against independence, I think.
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DFK
1 year ago
If you're holding yes, you are: 1- betting that the outcome of the elections will be in favor of holding a referendum 2- betting that this referendum will happen in 2025 3- betting that the outcome of such referendum will be in favor of independance (latest polls: 85% against).
hughjonesd
1 year ago
Think of this as a bidding war between the US and Denmark. The US probably wants Greenland more and can offer them more. The government is calling the referendum to make a credible threat to Denmark: "up your offer or we'll go to the US". I think there's a reasonable chance the referendum will get a yes vote... say 40%.
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DFK
1 year ago
If you're holding yes, you are: 1- betting that the outcome of the elections will be in favor of holding a referendum 2- betting that this referendum will happen in 2025 3- betting that the outcome of such referendum will be in favor of independance (latest polls: 85% against).
retard2
1 year ago
Total Dane Death
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TheNoobBeaver
1 year ago
NEVER, DENMARK RULE; EUROPE RULES!!!
hughjonesd
1 year ago
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/feb/07/greenland-independence-referendum-denmark-snap-election-sweden-belgium-europe-latest-updates-news
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TheNoobBeaver
1 year ago
NEVER, DENMARK RULE; EUROPE RULES!!!
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0x528233Ac1F99e5490270703DB92aC3c261a2e207-1722897919610
1 year ago
This market is ridiculous. The law regarding Greenland self governance is pretty clear on the order of things if Greenland wants independence. 1) negotiationd between Greenland and Denmark, 2) referendum on the specific agreement. 3) ratification by the Danish Parliament. Negotiations have not started so a referendum will not happen this year.
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0x528233Ac1F99e5490270703DB92aC3c261a2e207-1722897919610
1 year ago
Furthermore: nowhere in Danish Media has it been mentioned that a referendum might happen in April. I think Politico must have misquoted Mute B Egede.
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0x528233Ac1F99e5490270703DB92aC3c261a2e207-1722897919610
1 year ago
This market is ridiculous. The law regarding Greenland self governance is pretty clear on the order of things if Greenland wants independence. 1) negotiationd between Greenland and Denmark, 2) referendum on the specific agreement. 3) ratification by the Danish Parliament. Negotiations have not started so a referendum will not happen this year.
BomberOverCentrum
1 year ago
The president just announced elections for March this is a value play for sure
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DFK
1 year ago
If you're holding yes, you are: 1- betting that the outcome of the elections will be in favor of holding a referendum 2- betting that this referendum will happen in 2025 3- betting that the outcome of such referendum will be in favor of independance (latest polls: 85% against).
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DFK
1 year ago
oops. true. but a majority is still not in favor of independance if it means losing subsidies from Denmark (roughly half of their income, and a large part of greenlanders are government employees). Independance means a lot to lose and nothing to win (they are already perfectly independant in every way, except foreign policy and defence, which frankly is a bonus not to have to deal with).
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DFK
1 year ago
If you're holding yes, you are: 1- betting that the outcome of the elections will be in favor of holding a referendum 2- betting that this referendum will happen in 2025 3- betting that the outcome of such referendum will be in favor of independance (latest polls: 85% against).