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jcooper3123212321
1 year ago
It’s not everyday you see a market this inefficient
PunishedCK
1 year ago
Anything higher than 50% for either is too expensive. They use a coin to determine who is asked first
just.some.guy
1 year ago
I've lived my entire life by a single axiom: Tails never fails.
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
I'm not saying that it will be either. I'm saying they are going to flip a coin to determine first question. It's still 50/50.
taizong
1 year ago
https://time.com/7018380/harris-trump-debate-rules-microphones-abc-2024/ If coin flip decides who speaks first, they would have enumerated that the same way they specified for "Who speaks last" here in the rules.
yoonmarketenjoyer
1 year ago
This is the Bieber baby market all over again
MrNFT
1 year ago
lol
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
50/50 is the only answer
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
Coin flips have been used in most of the debates since 2012. Also the order of closing statements, or position of where they are standing have never been determinant of the first question. It's a 50/50 through hours of research I've done.
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
50/50 is the only answer
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
2016 Presidential Debates: ABC, in collaboration with other networks, followed standard procedures such as a coin toss to decide who received the first question. For example, in the debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, a coin toss determined who answered first. 2012 Presidential Debates: Similarly, the first question in debates moderated by ABC was often determined by a coin toss. In one debate, Mitt Romney and Barack Obama had the order decided through this impartial method. 2008 Presidential Debates: During debates between John McCain and Barack Obama, ABC also relied on a coin toss to determine the first question. This practice ensures that neither candidate has an unfair advantage. 2004 Presidential Debates: In the debates between George W. Bush and John Kerry, ABC and other networks conducted coin tosses to determine the order of questions and who got the first question. This was common practice during the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates​( DGE Press )​( ABC10 ). 2020 Presidential Debate: For the 2020 debates between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, including one hosted by ABC, the coin toss determined who would answer the first question, a standard that has been consistent for many years​( ABC10 ).
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
Basically, anything over 50% you get an expected loss, and anything below 50% is an expected gain. It's literally your house edge. These are all ABC debates, all coin toss.
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
2016 Presidential Debates: ABC, in collaboration with other networks, followed standard procedures such as a coin toss to decide who received the first question. For example, in the debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, a coin toss determined who answered first. 2012 Presidential Debates: Similarly, the first question in debates moderated by ABC was often determined by a coin toss. In one debate, Mitt Romney and Barack Obama had the order decided through this impartial method. 2008 Presidential Debates: During debates between John McCain and Barack Obama, ABC also relied on a coin toss to determine the first question. This practice ensures that neither candidate has an unfair advantage. 2004 Presidential Debates: In the debates between George W. Bush and John Kerry, ABC and other networks conducted coin tosses to determine the order of questions and who got the first question. This was common practice during the debates sponsored by the Commission on Presidential Debates​( DGE Press )​( ABC10 ). 2020 Presidential Debate: For the 2020 debates between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, including one hosted by ABC, the coin toss determined who would answer the first question, a standard that has been consistent for many years​( ABC10 ).