U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on the market concerning the potential U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024 brought up several key observations about the geopolitical and political factors influencing such a decision. Participants focused on the historical context of U.S.-Israel relations, potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy under new leadership, and the influence of current global conflicts. There was also consideration of how changes in defense agreements and international relations might impact the likelihood of an embargo.

There was a strong emphasis on analyzing the historical alliance between the U.S. and Israel, questioning if recent political shifts could influence a change in policy.
Discussion included speculation on the influence of ongoing global conflicts and other foreign policy priorities that could either compel or dissuade the U.S. from implementing an arms embargo.

Comments

Guys you're not gonna believe this they're selling dollars for 89 cents over here!

moshemoshemoshe

There is on-going embargo from the US on Israel for a long time, it is not include everything there is embargo for sure, like D9..

There is an ambergo on d9! This needs to be a yes. https://www.ynetnews.com/article/ryn9yycz1g

On interview about the ceasefire with Hezbollah: Nethanyahu: "We will get arms from US, some that were stopped" interviewer: "will the Biden-Blinken arms embargo stop? you talked about it in the knesset earlier this week" Nethanyahu: "there were elements, equipment's componenets and equipment that we didn't get. and i can tell you we will definetly get them now"

true, this is a funny market

moshemoshemoshe

There is on-going embargo from the US on Israel for a long time, it is not include everything there is embargo for sure, like D9..

Will the chicken stop laying its eggs?

Read the article below, 9c is very underpriced...

The US is embargoing 2,000 lb. bombs and heavy bulldozers, so this should presumably resolve to yes. However, the rules are poorly written, as usual.

The US is also embargoing B52 bombers from Israel. Not agreeing to a sale does not equal an embargo. Saying the US is embargoing Israel is beyond ridiculous. This market is free cash

The US is embargoing 2,000 lb. bombs and heavy bulldozers, so this should presumably resolve to yes. However, the rules are poorly written, as usual.

Lol you really think delaying a sale classifies as an embargo? Good luck making that case