This market is open and accepting bets.
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Market
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Comments per hour
Summary
The discussion around the "UK civil war in 2024?" market revolves largely around skepticism regarding the likelihood of a civil war occurring in the United Kingdom, with some participants citing the improbability of such an event due to lack of civilian access to firearms and questioning the media's potential label of civil unrest as civil war. Others highlight the high inflation rates diminishing any potential betting gains. Legal ramifications are also emphasized as the UK government strictly prohibits engagement in such markets without proper licensing. Overall, the sentiment suggests low confidence in the occurrence of a civil war, alongside concerns about the accuracy and consequences of media reporting.
- Legal and Regulatory Concerns: The UK government has issued stern warnings against participating in or even discussing betting markets concerning a potential civil war, citing severe legal consequences.
- Market Skepticism: Many participants express doubt about the likelihood of a civil war within the UK, with some emphasizing economic factors such as inflation potentially negating any betting gains, while others doubt the fulfillment of market criteria for declaring a civil war.
Comments
PanosMariolis2001
1 year ago
England ! It's time to stand against a government that's lost its way and a woke agenda that's silencing us ! This is OUR , fight , a declaration of war for our values , our voices , our.... FREEDOM ! Let's reclaim what's ours !
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Nasi_Goreng
1 year ago
Some people seriously need to spend less time on twitter... NO would be free money, if Inflation wasn't that high atm
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efren1983
1 year ago
no guns civilians...no civil war....
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kurwa18989
1 year ago
These rules are far too precise and could be written more vaguely.
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12Lampran
1 year ago
Absurd. There is a 0.0000001% chance of this.
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X9504
1 year ago
Interesting market but the resolution is extremely vague
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Ullage
1 year ago
This requires consensus on a literal declaration of civil war in order to resolve as "Yes". Not gonna happen
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0xD11e
1 year ago
In 2014 Ukraine you had people and police shooting at each other, the military on the streets, the president violently removed, and several regions seceding from the country. This was not called a civil war by western media. So even if all of this happened in the UK today, this market would still resolve to "No".
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sharks
1 year ago
Rules need some more detail
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lronmexico
1 year ago
I do not think the United Kingdom will enter a state of civil war in the next five months.
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