This market is open and accepting bets.
229
Comments
1
Market
0
Comments per hour
Summary
The discussion centers on interpretations of the market conditions regarding whether Donald Trump has nominated Elon Musk to a Cabinet position. Some participants believe that Musk's leading role in the newly established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could qualify as a "Cabinet-level" role, which would fulfill the market's condition for resolving as "YES." Others argue that DOGE functions more like a task force or advisory body and not a formal Cabinet position, implying a "NO" resolution. The key points of contention are the definitions of a Cabinet role and how they apply to Musk's announced position.
- Interpretation of "Cabinet-level": Some argue that DOGE, a newly created body that Musk will lead, should be considered Cabinet-level due to its presidential appointment, while others emphasize its advisory nature doesn't meet the formal Cabinet criteria.
- Market resolution timing: There is debate over why the market hasn't been closed yet, which hinges on varying interpretations of the market rules and how they apply to the newly formed commission under Trump's upcoming presidency.
Comments
nola72324
1 year ago
Nomination is an official process and goes to the Senate for a confirmation vote. There is no "nomination" that someone then declines.
8
Jacktheknife
1 year ago
It says “nominates” if he proposes it and Elon doesn’t take it, that should still qualify, correct?
0x3709ea1a8A93f741F28a522f7cd2C954166D3d7E-1730184833906
1 year ago
https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/cabinet jajaj TOO late... the STAMENNT ITS CLEAR! this possition has CABINET LEVEL CREDITATTION
8
thismaysoundcornybutloveistheanswer
1 year ago
This market is incredibly undervalued.
7
vgauther
1 year ago
DOGE is presented as a cabinet by the french media
6
AnonK1
1 year ago
wasn't it like one of Elon's major talking points?
5
0x3709ea1a8A93f741F28a522f7cd2C954166D3d7E-1730184833906
1 year ago
Elon literally spent the whole day with Trump and RFK on November 6. The news said they were talking about picking new staff members. Personally, I think Elon has plenty of reasons to be involved in the cabinet .main reason might be that he once said he lost a child because of the Woke Mind Virus. So I Think This feels More Personal For Him https://abc30.com/live-updates/trump-harris-2024-election-updates/15454438/entry/15520281/
5
SMALL13999
1 year ago
Peter Thiel: "I would never bet against Elon, in anything. That's hard rule #1"
5
dg3n
1 year ago
https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-confirms-elon-musk-in-his-cabinet-13253406
5
RogerDot
1 year ago
President-elect Donald Trump has announced that while Elon Musk will play a leading role in the newly established "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE), he will not hold a traditional Cabinet position. This commission, focused on reducing government spending, cutting regulations, and streamlining federal agency bureaucracy, will be co-led by Musk and former Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. Unlike Cabinet or Cabinet-level positions, DOGE functions more like a task force or advisory commission with a specified end date of July 4, 2026. True Cabinet departments are permanent, ongoing entities with broad administrative authority that support the President's agenda indefinitely. This distinction confirms that DOGE is a temporary commission, not part of the formal Cabinet or a Cabinet-level department.
5
MrKangaroo
1 year ago
bruh, how are people still buying yes, the only reason this isn't at NO 99.9c is because of the resolve date, don't listen to the scammers in the comments
5