Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on the betting market 'Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday' primarily revolves around the anticipation and inclusion of various polls, particularly from RealClearPolitics (RCP). Users express frustration and suspicion regarding the timing and manipulation of poll releases, notably highlighting an RCP developer's erratic updates. There's a general sentiment of unpredictability in the polling results and the impact it has on market outcomes.

Timing and Inclusion of Polls: Many participants are concerned about the unpredictability in the release of polls and their impact on the market. Specific polls like Rasmussen and Trafalgar Group are frequently mentioned.
Frustration with RCP: Users express significant frustration and distrust towards RealClearPolitics, accusing them of manipulation and insider trading, which adds to the market's volatility.

Comments

AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe

Because this is a prediction market and not a current status market

Liked by mango-lass..., CouchWhale and 7 others

NoNoiseKnifeOnly

how is the bracket that the average is currently in priced at 20c lol?

Wow. As far as I know the first time I’ve ever seen them add an Atlas Intel poll. RCP gonna RCP

It’s so cute watching an entire new generation of traders realize RCP has no rules and be outraged instead of adjusting.

this is the most power the bald headed incel fuk at RCP has ever had

Rasmussen +6, Rasmussen -6 on next day. aha, peak scientific polling

RCP Dev is eating lunch and taking a shit, he will continue his shit show afterwards

i think it will end at this point lmao

I’ve never seen them use atlas intel for the 5+ years I’ve been tracking rcp lol

Wouldnt be an RCP market without rank partisan cuckery

These RCP markets are entertaining because there is so much surprise factor built in (read: their methodology is crap). But sometimes I yearn for something a bit more stable. I was wondering, are there any similar weekly markets based on other polls aggregators, like 538 or NYT??