'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office Cont. | Polymarket Tracker

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'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office Cont.

Last updated 1 year ago

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Summary

The discussion revolves around the opening weekend box office performance of "Joker: Folie à Deux." Users talked about the film's expected earnings versus actual performance, with estimates initially suggesting $66-80 million. However, the final number reported was significantly lower at $37,678,467. There was speculation on how reviews and the absence of competition would influence earnings. Participants also debated about the market's resolution based on Box Office Mojo's reported figures and the inclusion of preview earnings in estimates.

The actual box office figures for "Joker: Folie à Deux" were confirmed at $37,678,467, significantly lower than initial high estimates.
Discussion included the potential impact of negative reviews and lack of competition, as well as speculation on the timing and sources for official box office updates.

Comments

Over $66m predicted.

This is gonna be a bigger flop than my weiner after 10 beers

It's a musical with a prison rape scene. Who he hell did they expect to watch this?

I’m taking all of my incel friends and our wives. Heard it’s great!!!!!

I must apologise to everyone here for getting this one wrong, it was actually a bigger flop than my weiner after TWENTY beers

I think this has enough brand recognition that 50M is a solid floor. No competition, so default choice for people who want to watch a movie will be to watch Joker 2.

Saturday numbers are going to make or break this. Typically its a huge bump over Friday given the afternoon screenings. Even if there's a dip considering the bad reviews if it hits 16-17 then its on like Donkey Kong.

As per the rules: "This is a market on how much 'Joker: Folie à Deux' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11315808/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates)."

The real question is: Will this bet get resolved before or after the final numbers are in?

I know this movie has a lot of hate but for it to be under $66m opening weekend would mean it was the worst #1 of the year. Literally nothing else opens this weekend. No competition. Even Furiosa (which had next to no hype) did nearly double that opening weekend

are we really going to pretend like the incel market will outweigh the normie market?

Who likes musicals? Lady gaga's peak was 10 years ago