Israel withdraws from Lebanon before November? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion centers around skepticism regarding Israel's potential withdrawal from Lebanon before November. Participants expressed doubts about the rationale behind Israel withdrawing troops, with insinuations that any such movements are part of strategic military maneuvers. Some comments also reveal distrust towards the integrity of the market, hinting at possible manipulations by influential market players and questioning the underlying motivations for creating the market. The debate highlights both geopolitical considerations and market integrity issues.

There is significant skepticism about Israel withdrawing from Lebanon, with some users suggesting that daily military incursions are part of deliberate strategizing rather than indications of a larger withdrawal.
Concerns were raised about the integrity of the market, with accusations of market manipulation and skepticism about the motivations behind creating such markets. Users hinted that outcomes could be influenced by key players rather than actual geopolitical events.

Comments

Whoever created this market is as numb as those who fixed the September Invade market. https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september/will-israel-invade-lebanon-in-september

staying away from these war bets after getting rigged in the previous lebanon invasion and military entering predictions

JustKen doesn't give 2 fucks about the title or the rules of the markets: he buys the cheapest odds.

I'd bet he is 90% bot trading. I mean with this volume...

JustKen doesn't give 2 fucks about the title or the rules of the markets: he buys the cheapest odds.

that's a little bit of an exaggeration. The only market that was resolved in a debatable way was the September invasion market. But it was, indeed, debatable, as it was based on events at the very last hours of the market, and on wording that was subject to interpretation. I would call it bad judgment (I disagree with the outcome) but I wouldn't call it rigged. All other war markets resolved properly.

staying away from these war bets after getting rigged in the previous lebanon invasion and military entering predictions

why would they withdraw their troops, lol

You are smart.. we wont go back till theres an agreement with them it gonna take few months at least.. dont ask for my source ;)

why would they withdraw their troops, lol

everything you wrote is complete nonsense, sir

Why.., it was just a quick "in and out" in the first place. Just ask Domer/JustsKam. All you have to do is search the entire internet for "in and out". It's a synonym for "limited incursion" don’t you know! It would most certainly never be indicative of the commencement of a military offensive. Besides, in state warfare, it’s the kids with boots who call the shots, not the president or prime minister. PM Domer/JustsKam clownworld.

GandalfAirlines

they kind of are all the time, they are penetrating Lebenons territory to test defences and then quickly coming back. So in a way they do withdraw everyday.

why would they withdraw their troops, lol

Lol you must believe the media

GandalfAirlines

they kind of are all the time, they are penetrating Lebenons territory to test defences and then quickly coming back. So in a way they do withdraw everyday.