Iran Nuke in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on whether Iran will develop or test a nuclear weapon in 2024 is filled with skepticism and diverse opinions. One user argues that without nuclear capabilities, a country is vulnerable compared to nuclear-armed states like North Korea. On the other hand, there are comments suggesting false alarms and misinformation surrounding Iran's nuclear activities due to its participation in the non-proliferation treaty. Some challenge the credibility of reports claiming secret nuclear advancements, attributing these claims to unreliable sources. Concerns about potential deceptions and speculation about Iran's actual capabilities are also evident.

Speculation about Iran's nuclear capabilities is split between those who believe they are secretly developing nuclear weapons and those who cite international treaties and point to potential misinformation.
There is a historical context of skepticism towards reports of Iran's nuclear advancement, reflecting a broader doubt in the perception of Iran's actions and intentions.

Comments

its a earthquake prone zone. :) Highly unlikely that they test nuke.

Iran just conduced a nuclear test - I hope they announce it publicly. https://x.com/Keef337178/status/1842756748311924984 will also resolve https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-nuclear-weapon-detonate-in-2024/will-a-nuclear-weapon-detonate-in-2024?tid=1728211660478

I been speaking to Iran and word in the street is that they are dropping a nuke at the last day of December to mess with the bears of this market.

If iran nukes us and we all die polymarket better pay up in the after life

Western nations have introduced new resolution against #Iran at the #IAEA, further complicating nuclear talks. Iran has vowed to increase its nuclear capabilities immediately as a response.

Wait how much fees are you taking otherwise ?

Iran 100% has a nuke from North Korea, and it can make dirty bomb on its own, the only question is whether they announe in 2024 and with how things are going it is very likely

"According to a Report from Iran International, the Iranian Government for the First Time in the 20-Year Existence of its Nuclear Program, has begun Active Secret Development and Testing on an Explosive Device for the Warhead of a Nuclear Weapon."

oh hey, I've seen this story before

things that will never happen

They are telling you but you won't listen https://x.com/iranspec/status/1824418557616414750?s=46