How many games reach OT in NBA Finals? | Polymarket Tracker

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DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

if you are buying 3+ Yes at these prices, I regret to inform you that you are an INNUMERATE RETARD so innumerate, the innumerate DUMFAG DECRAPP might outsmart you! (out-lessdumb you, to be accurate)

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

I am selling off all my "2 Yes" shares at 2.6 cents, what I consider to be +EV prices for the buyer (2 games is a HELL of a lot likelier than 3+ games, if you do the math)

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

I am selling because I am not in love with the exposure. It is rather difficult to hedge out, and my cost basis is 2.5 cents

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

I am selling off all my "2 Yes" shares at 2.6 cents, what I consider to be +EV prices for the buyer (2 games is a HELL of a lot likelier than 3+ games, if you do the math)

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

assuming a 6.66% overtime rate, for a 4-game series p(OT=2)= 2.3%, for a 5-game series 3.6%, for a 6-game series 5.0%, for a 7-game series 6.6%

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

I am selling off all my "2 Yes" shares at 2.6 cents, what I consider to be +EV prices for the buyer (2 games is a HELL of a lot likelier than 3+ games, if you do the math)

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

assuming 5.55% overtime rate, p(OT=2) would be 1.6%, 2.6%, 3.7%, 4.8% respectively

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

assuming a 6.66% overtime rate, for a 4-game series p(OT=2)= 2.3%, for a 5-game series 3.6%, for a 6-game series 5.0%, for a 7-game series 6.6%

DECRAPisDUMBandGAY

crunchwrap, you sold your shares too cheaply! DUMB MOVE!