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Justsomeguy
2 years ago
Over 200 mil domestic in 3 weeks now…. More than 2 months remaining to get the last $100 mil.
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Devyduu
2 years ago
For the next 55 days, it needs to make an average of $1.6m/day to cross $300m in time, and it's consistently above that, even on weekdays. Obviously returns will keep dropping each week, but an 8% chance at >$300m feels severely underpriced.
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Melion
2 years ago
Dune 2 is one of the major releases that are fully available in screen X (270 Degrees POV), thus many people even rewatching the movie in the absolutely amazing format that not many movies are even available in. To be honest The odds of 300+ are not 100% but at least 50/50 or even 60/40, which is very lucrative 12c per share.
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Devyduu
2 years ago
Got the days wrong on my last count, but now the movie needs $1.27m/day on average to cross $300m by May 15. Every day's still above that, but GxK coming out will likely hurt it. Still, word of mouth is strong and Easter weekend could boost its numbers for a bit.
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Justsomeguy
2 years ago
250-300mil is the safe bet, but this market is underpricing to odds of 300mil or more. Forbes conservative estimates are in the 250 domestic range, with a reasonable expectation of topping 300mil
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Catalyst
2 years ago
From Variety: "‘Dune: Part Two’ Nears $500 Million at Global Box Office, Surpasses Entire Run of First Film" https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/dune-2-box-office-milestone-400-million-1235944137/
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Justsomeguy
2 years ago
If it picks up 15 to 20,000,000 this weekend and continues to average even 2 million on the weekdays it’s got plenty of time to cross 300 before the deadline
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Justsomeguy
2 years ago
Yeah, people are using open weekend multiples to try to forecast long term box office, but this movie is operating closer to a wonder, woman, or Star Wars type, long-term box office performance. People continue to go see it at large format screens that were sold out for the first week or two, and the movie holds up well to repeated viewings
New.Jeans
2 years ago
It's looking about 285.81M
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DrinkDaddy2020
2 years ago
This was a very good weekend. One more weekend like that and I'm doubling down.
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New.Jeans
2 years ago
https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1779519850714730648
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P0lyhedr0n-
2 years ago
Where did you get your estimate information?