Democrat other than Biden wins the Election?

thakattack19

1 year ago

no, if Donald Trump wins, then a republican wins which means this would result in NO. If KAmala wins, this is a YES.

8

Feudalcypress80

1 year ago

isnt this a 100%?? he dropped out and endorsed kamala. what am i missing?

muusd

1 year ago

For this to be a yes, a Democrat has to win the election right? If Trump (or any other republican or independent) wins then this will be NO right.

1

rjpoly

1 year ago

Am I missing something? Seems like this is nearly identical to the "which party wins" market. Only difference I see is that this market would resolve differently if either a 3rd party wins or Joe Biden wins, but those are both exceedingly small probabilities. Not worth the current 3 cents price difference.

1

Imaginal

1 year ago

Is this a trick question?

1

rjpoly

1 year ago

Am I missing something? Seems like this is nearly identical to the "which party wins" market. Only difference I see is that this market would resolve differently if either a 3rd party wins or Joe Biden wins, but those are both exceedingly small probabilities. Not worth the current 3 cents price difference.

rjpoly

1 year ago

Nah, when I made that comment over a month ago there was a 3 cent difference between the two markets, but now they are basically the same

1

Imaginal

1 year ago

Is this a trick question?

Feudalcypress80

1 year ago

isnt this a 100%?? he dropped out and endorsed kamala. what am i missing?

1

Feudalcypress80

1 year ago

but it says, "DEMOCRAT other than Biden wins the Election?" Trump isnt a democrat

1

GreedyMacFear

1 year ago

There is chance that Donald will stole the election.

Darkfangulas

1 year ago

you would thats what they mean aye

0

muusd

1 year ago

For this to be a yes, a Democrat has to win the election right? If Trump (or any other republican or independent) wins then this will be NO right.

Darkfangulas

1 year ago

hope*

0

muusd

1 year ago

For this to be a yes, a Democrat has to win the election right? If Trump (or any other republican or independent) wins then this will be NO right.

rjpoly

1 year ago

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-2024-united-states-presidential-election/which-party-will-win-the-2024-united-states-presidential-election?tid=1723016897210

0

rjpoly

1 year ago

Am I missing something? Seems like this is nearly identical to the "which party wins" market. Only difference I see is that this market would resolve differently if either a 3rd party wins or Joe Biden wins, but those are both exceedingly small probabilities. Not worth the current 3 cents price difference.