Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion on the betting market revolves around the likelihood of Iran launching another strike on Israel within 2024. Various users argued about the potential triggers for such an event, including recent retaliatory exchanges between Israel and Iran. There appears to be skepticism regarding the authenticity of reported attacks, which has fueled diverse betting strategies, with some participants noting the complexity of rules around proxy actions. The conversation reflects divided opinions on whether Iran will directly retaliate or if events might escalade through proxy actions attributed to Iran.

Debate over Israel-Iran tensions includes skepticism about reported attacks and how they affect betting odds, with participants noting the impact of potential proxy actions.
Strategies in this betting market are influenced by the interpretation of geopolitical events, with arguments about the equal likelihood of various scenarios and different perceptions on market mispricing.

Comments

Don’t trust this shit after what they did with the Iraq bet

I would be crying if my account was -145$

PS. Car lost money from last israel attacking iran bet. looks funny hes bluffing around on the comment. still remember he was crying at the moment

Mmm another UMA clown show brewing, if we get a strike from Iraq. Make sure you tripple read the rules and news reports, before buying YES, if we get a strike from Iraq. "Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market" Keyword Iranian forces.

🤺JustPunched

wait what is the point of your account? to lose money betting on the most inept countries in the world?

@truce ty for your donations lol

BE CAREFUL POLYMARKET CAN DECIDE ANYTHING THEY WANT WITHOUT ANY PROOFS OF REALITY

Shouldn't be gambling if you can't afford it

Unfortunately, I don’t have funds right now, but 10 dollars would really help. I’ll definitely pay it back as soon as I can.

"Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market."

Take notice that according to the rules, the market will resolve even if Iran will use proxies, as long as they take responsibility for the attack.

PS. Car lost money from last israel attacking iran bet. looks funny hes bluffing around on the comment. still remember he was crying at the moment

I believe you are right! But for the wrong reasons…

People thinking Israel is stronger 🤣 Israel has uncle usa using it as proxy, and now the israelis have acted unhinged for a year, exploiting us election. Helping Putin with distracting world with bloodbath on Gaza. Iran must strike back

You are right, buy more yes

Iran plans to activate its proxies for retaliation attack on Israel, defense officials estimate; Israel & US are closely monitoring militias in Iraq & Yemen.