Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
RobXK
1 year ago
mate, you can buy turnout over 50%; check the market; I am just basing this on market prices. I set turnout to be 155m which again is generous given current market pricing. And you still haven't given me an answer regarding a boatload of write-ins likely coming in later than resolution date
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0x279d4E19D5Be7Bc6d25F3C6777B6802B47AFbC0e-1727574846421
1 year ago
Also what's interesting that people don't separate between states or blue and red areas. It's very easy to see that blue areas have around double the 3rd party votes compared to red areas. Almost all of the outstanding votes are in deep blue states like washington, oregon, california, illinois and even in red states the missing votes are from blue cities. They latest updates on nbc: washington 5.26% 3rds (2390 votes), oregon 100% 3rds (124 votes), california 4.61% 3rds (6378 votes)
